Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Gaylord, MI

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FNUS53 KAPX 171925
FWFAPX

Fire Weather Planning Forecast for northern Lower Michigan
National Weather Service Gaylord MI
325 PM EDT Tue Jun 17 2025

...Clearing skies and calming winds tonight...

.DISCUSSION...Winds will quickly calm this evening along with cloud
cover. After a brief period of quiet conditions tonight, showers
and storms build this Wednesday from the south. Potential for a
few stronger/severe storms remain possible. RH`s remain well above
critical thresholds through Wednesday.


MIZ016-017-021>023-099-180830-
Emmet...Cheboygan...Charlevoix...Antrim...Otsego and Montmorency
Counties-
325 PM EDT Tue Jun 17 2025

.TONIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Partly cloudy (40-50 percent) until 2400, then
                    mostly cloudy (65-75 percent). Patchy fog after
                    2400.
Min Temperature.....56-61.
   24 HR Trend......6 degrees cooler.
Max Humidity........93-98 percent.
   24 HR Trend......12 percent wetter.
20-Foot Winds.......Northwest winds around 5 mph in the evening
                    becoming light. Gusts up to 25 mph.
Vent Rate...........Poor (14).
Mixing Height.......400 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Northwest around 9 mph shifting to the east
                    around 3 mph after midnight.
Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.01 in .
Chance of Thunder...8 percent.

.WEDNESDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly cloudy (75-85 percent). Patchy fog until
                    1200. Isolated rain showers until 1200, then
                    rain showers and slight chance of
                    thunderstorms.
Max Temperature.....73-78...except 63-68 near the coast.
   24 HR Trend......8 degrees cooler.
Min Humidity........60-65 percent.
   24 HR Trend......9 percent wetter...except 4 percent wetter
                    along the coast.
20-Foot Winds.......Light winds becoming east around 5 mph in the
                    afternoon.
Vent Rate...........Fair (147).
Mixing Height.......2000 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Southeast 6 to 9 mph.
Pcpn Amount......... 0.03- 0.27 in.
Chance of Thunder...22 percent.

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly cloudy (80-90 percent). Rain showers and
                    chance of thunderstorms until 2400, then chance
                    of rain showers.
Min Temperature.....52-57.
   24 HR Trend......5 degrees cooler.
Max Humidity........94-99 percent...except 82-87 percent along the
                    coast.
   24 HR Trend......5 percent wetter.
20-Foot Winds.......East winds around 5 mph shifting to the north
                    after midnight. Gusts up to 20 mph.
Vent Rate...........Poor (80).
Mixing Height.......800 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Northeast 12 to 15 mph.
Pcpn Amount......... 0.18- 0.51 in.
Chance of Thunder...31 percent.

.JUNETEENTH...
Sky/Weather.........Partly sunny (50-60 percent). Chance of rain
                    showers until 1200.
Max Temperature.....72-77...except 60-65 near the coast.
   24 HR Trend......1 degree warmer...except 4 degrees cooler near
                    the coast.
Min Humidity........46-51 percent...except 55-60 percent along the
                    coast.
   24 HR Trend......12 percent drier...except 5 percent drier along
                    the coast.
20-Foot Winds.......Northwest winds around 5 mph with occasional
                    gusts up to 18 mph.
Vent Rate...........Good (366).
Mixing Height.......2800 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Northwest around 12 mph.
Pcpn Amount......... 0.02- 0.14 in.
Chance of Thunder...8 percent.


$$

MIZ018-024-030-036-042-180830-
Presque Isle...Alpena...Alcona...Iosco and Arenac
Counties...including Eastern Huron NF-
325 PM EDT Tue Jun 17 2025

.TONIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Partly cloudy (40-50 percent) until 2400, then
                    mostly cloudy (65-75 percent). Slight chance of
                    thunderstorms and isolated rain showers until
                    2400. Patchy fog after 2400.
Min Temperature.....57-62.
   24 HR Trend......2 degrees cooler.
Max Humidity........93-98 percent.
   24 HR Trend......6 percent wetter...except 12 percent wetter
                    along the coast.
20-Foot Winds.......Northwest winds around 5 mph in the evening
                    becoming light. Gusts up to 25 mph.
Vent Rate...........Poor (16).
Mixing Height.......400 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....North 6 to 12 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.02 in .
Chance of Thunder...20 percent.

.WEDNESDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly cloudy (80-90 percent). Patchy fog until
                    1200. Isolated rain showers until 1200, then
                    numerous rain showers and slight chance of
                    thunderstorms.
Max Temperature.....71-76...except around 61 near the coast.
   24 HR Trend......15 degrees cooler.
Min Humidity........62-67 percent.
   24 HR Trend......28 percent wetter...except 33 percent wetter
                    along the coast.
20-Foot Winds.......East winds around 5 mph with occasional gusts
                    up to 13 mph.
Vent Rate...........Poor (113).
Mixing Height.......1600 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....East 6 to 9 mph.
Pcpn Amount......... 0.03- 0.84 in.
Chance of Thunder...20 percent.

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly cloudy (75-85 percent). Rain showers and
                    chance of thunderstorms until 2400, then chance
                    of rain showers.
Min Temperature.....53-58.
   24 HR Trend......3 degrees cooler.
Max Humidity........94-99 percent.
   24 HR Trend......3 percent wetter.
20-Foot Winds.......East winds around 5 mph shifting to the north
                    after midnight. Gusts up to 25 mph.
Vent Rate...........Poor (98).
Mixing Height.......700 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Northeast 15 to 18 mph.
Pcpn Amount......... 0.16- 0.72 in.
Chance of Thunder...32 percent.

.JUNETEENTH...
Sky/Weather.........Partly sunny (45-55 percent). Chance of rain
                    showers.
Max Temperature.....75-80...except 60-65 near the coast.
   24 HR Trend......4 degrees warmer.
Min Humidity........49-54 percent.
   24 HR Trend......17 percent drier.
20-Foot Winds.......Northwest winds around 10 mph with occasional
                    gusts up to 18 mph.
Vent Rate...........Excellent (640).
Mixing Height.......4100 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Northwest around 15 mph.
Pcpn Amount......... 0.02- 0.13 in.
Chance of Thunder...14 percent.


$$

MIZ020-025>027-180830-
Leelanau...Benzie...Grand Traverse and Kalkaska
Counties...including the Sleeping Bear Dunes NL-
325 PM EDT Tue Jun 17 2025

.TONIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly cloudy (55-65 percent).
Min Temperature.....58-63.
   24 HR Trend......5 degrees cooler.
Max Humidity........93-98 percent.
   24 HR Trend......10 percent wetter.
20-Foot Winds.......Northwest winds around 5 mph in the evening
                    becoming light. Gusts up to 20 mph.
Vent Rate...........Poor (16).
Mixing Height.......400 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Northwest around 9 mph shifting to the east
                    around 6 mph after midnight.
Pcpn Amount.........None.
Chance of Thunder...6 percent.

.WEDNESDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly cloudy (80-90 percent). Patchy fog until
                    1200. Scattered rain showers until 1200, then
                    rain showers and chance of thunderstorms.
Max Temperature.....71-76...except 57-62 near the coast.
   24 HR Trend......13 degrees cooler...except 4 degrees cooler
                    near the coast.
Min Humidity........66-71 percent.
   24 HR Trend......31 percent wetter...except 9 percent wetter
                    along the coast.
20-Foot Winds.......Southeast winds around 5 mph with occasional
                    gusts up to 13 mph.
Vent Rate...........Fair (164).
Mixing Height.......1600 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Southeast 9 to 12 mph.
Pcpn Amount......... 0.05- 0.49 in.
Chance of Thunder...30 percent.

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly cloudy (80-90 percent). Rain showers and
                    chance of thunderstorms until 2400, then chance
                    of rain showers.
Min Temperature.....52-57.
   24 HR Trend......7 degrees cooler.
Max Humidity........94-99 percent.
   24 HR Trend......7 percent wetter.
20-Foot Winds.......North winds around 5 mph with occasional gusts
                    up to 18 mph.
Vent Rate...........Poor (59).
Mixing Height.......700 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Northeast 12 to 15 mph.
Pcpn Amount......... 0.15- 0.55 in.
Chance of Thunder...35 percent.

.JUNETEENTH...
Sky/Weather.........Partly sunny (45-55 percent). Chance of rain
                    showers until 1200.
Max Temperature.....72-77...except 57-62 near the coast.
   24 HR Trend......Unchanged.
Min Humidity........50-55 percent.
   24 HR Trend......21 percent drier...except 10 percent drier
                    along the coast.
20-Foot Winds.......Northwest winds around 5 mph with occasional
                    gusts up to 18 mph.
Vent Rate...........Good (391).
Mixing Height.......2900 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Northwest around 12 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.09 in .
Chance of Thunder...13 percent.


$$

MIZ031>033-180830-
Manistee...Wexford and Missaukee Counties...Including the
northern quarter of Manistee NF-
325 PM EDT Tue Jun 17 2025

.TONIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly cloudy (55-65 percent). Patchy fog after
                    2400.
Min Temperature.....60-65.
   24 HR Trend......3 degrees cooler.
Max Humidity........90-95 percent.
   24 HR Trend......9 percent wetter...except 16 percent wetter
                    along the coast.
20-Foot Winds.......Northwest winds around 5 mph in the evening
                    becoming light. Gusts up to 20 mph.
Vent Rate...........Poor (21).
Mixing Height.......400 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Northwest around 9 mph shifting to the east
                    around 6 mph after midnight.
Pcpn Amount.........None.
Chance of Thunder...8 percent.

.WEDNESDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly cloudy (80-90 percent). Patchy fog until
                    1200. Scattered showers and slight chance of
                    thunderstorms until 1200, then showers and
                    chance of thunderstorms.
Max Temperature.....72-77.
   24 HR Trend......10 degrees cooler.
Min Humidity........71-76 percent.
   24 HR Trend......34 percent wetter...except 11 percent wetter
                    along the coast.
20-Foot Winds.......Southeast winds around 5 mph with occasional
                    gusts up to 18 mph.
Vent Rate...........Fair (185).
Mixing Height.......1700 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....East 9 to 12 mph.
Pcpn Amount......... 0.33- 0.78 in.
Chance of Thunder...30 percent.

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly cloudy (80-90 percent). Rain showers and
                    chance of thunderstorms until 2400, then chance
                    of rain showers.
Min Temperature.....52-57.
   24 HR Trend......8 degrees cooler.
Max Humidity........95-100 percent.
   24 HR Trend......8 percent wetter.
20-Foot Winds.......Northeast winds around 5 mph shifting to the
                    north after midnight.
Vent Rate...........Poor (90).
Mixing Height.......900 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Northeast 12 to 18 mph.
Pcpn Amount......... 0.25- 0.60 in.
Chance of Thunder...33 percent.

.JUNETEENTH...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly sunny (45-55 percent).
Max Temperature.....73-78...except around 70 near the coast.
   24 HR Trend......2 degrees warmer.
Min Humidity........48-53 percent...except 59-64 percent along the
                    coast.
   24 HR Trend......25 percent drier...except 10 percent drier
                    along the coast.
20-Foot Winds.......Northwest winds around 5 mph with occasional
                    gusts up to 18 mph.
Vent Rate...........Good (548).
Mixing Height.......3800 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Northwest around 12 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.09 in .
Chance of Thunder...13 percent.


$$

MIZ028-029-034-035-041-180830-
Crawford...Oscoda...Roscommon...Ogemaw and Gladwin
Counties...including Western Huron NF-
325 PM EDT Tue Jun 17 2025

.TONIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Partly cloudy (35-45 percent) until 2400, then
                    mostly cloudy (65-75 percent). Patchy fog after
                    2400.
Min Temperature.....60-65.
   24 HR Trend......2 degrees cooler.
Max Humidity........91-96 percent.
   24 HR Trend......5 percent wetter.
20-Foot Winds.......Northwest winds around 5 mph in the evening
                    becoming light. Gusts up to 20 mph.
Vent Rate...........Poor (24).
Mixing Height.......400 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Northwest around 12 mph shifting to the
                    northeast around 6 mph after midnight.
Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.01 in .
Chance of Thunder...13 percent.

.WEDNESDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly cloudy (75-85 percent). Patchy fog until
                    1200. Scattered rain showers until 1200, then
                    numerous rain showers and chance of
                    thunderstorms.
Max Temperature.....72-77.
   24 HR Trend......13 degrees cooler.
Min Humidity........68-73 percent.
   24 HR Trend......27 percent wetter.
20-Foot Winds.......Southeast winds around 5 mph with occasional
                    gusts up to 13 mph.
Vent Rate...........Fair (194).
Mixing Height.......1900 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....East 6 to 9 mph.
Pcpn Amount......... 0.11- 1.09 in.
Chance of Thunder...27 percent.

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly cloudy (75-85 percent). Rain showers and
                    chance of thunderstorms until 2400, then chance
                    of rain showers.
Min Temperature.....54-59.
   24 HR Trend......5 degrees cooler.
Max Humidity........95-100 percent.
   24 HR Trend......7 percent wetter.
20-Foot Winds.......East winds around 5 mph shifting to the
                    northwest after midnight.
Vent Rate...........Fair (171).
Mixing Height.......1100 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....East around 18 mph shifting to the north after
                    midnight.
Pcpn Amount......... 0.25- 0.70 in.
Chance of Thunder...30 percent.

.JUNETEENTH...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly sunny (45-55 percent). Chance of rain
                    showers until 1200.
Max Temperature.....73-78.
   24 HR Trend......3 degrees warmer.
Min Humidity........46-51 percent.
   24 HR Trend......23 percent drier.
20-Foot Winds.......Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph with occasional
                    gusts up to 18 mph.
Vent Rate...........Excellent (822).
Mixing Height.......5200 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Northwest around 15 mph.
Pcpn Amount......... 0.03- 0.13 in.
Chance of Thunder...17 percent.


$$

.EXTENDED...

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 50S.
HIGHS AROUND 80. WEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE MID 80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS
AROUND 10 MPH.
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 60S. HIGHS IN THE
LOWER 90S. SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 10 MPH.
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 70S. HIGHS AROUND 90.
SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 10 MPH.
.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER
60S. HIGHS IN THE MID 80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 10 MPH.

$$

SJC