Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Gaylord, MI

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FNUS53 KAPX 250837
FWFAPX

Fire Weather Planning Forecast for northern Lower Michigan
National Weather Service Gaylord MI
437 AM EDT Wed Jun 25 2025

...Rain chances increase tonight into Thursday...

.DISCUSSION...Cooler and less humid air is progressing into
northern Michigan. That will keep today dry. Shower and
thunderstorm chances increase beginning tonight, with a good
chance for showers and storms Thursday through Friday. The best
chance for heavy rain is Thursday night.

A light north to northeast breeze today, with mixing heights
around 4000 feet, and min humidity values into the 30s in spots.
Breezier east winds on Thursday.

MIZ016-017-021>023-099-252200-
Emmet...Cheboygan...Charlevoix...Antrim...Otsego and Montmorency
Counties-
437 AM EDT Wed Jun 25 2025

.TODAY...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly sunny (45-55 percent).
Max Temperature.....78-83...except around 71 near the coast.
   24 HR Trend......3 degrees warmer.
Min Humidity........35-40 percent.
   24 HR Trend......40 percent drier...except 31 percent drier
                    along the coast.
20-Foot Winds.......Northeast winds around 5 mph .
Vent Rate...........Fair (200).
Mixing Height.......3000 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Northeast around 6 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None.
Chance of Thunder...0 percent.

.TONIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly cloudy (75-85 percent). Slight chance of
                    rain showers until 2400. Chance of rain showers
                    and slight chance of thunderstorms after 2400.
Min Temperature.....57-62.
   24 HR Trend......4 degrees warmer.
Max Humidity........90-95 percent...except 80-85 percent along the
                    coast.
   24 HR Trend......2 percent wetter.
20-Foot Winds.......East winds around 5 mph with occasional gusts
                    up to 13 mph.
Vent Rate...........Poor (43).
Mixing Height.......500 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....East around 9 mph.
Pcpn Amount......... 0.14- 0.38 in.
Chance of Thunder...19 percent.

.THURSDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly cloudy (80-90 percent). Chance of rain
                    showers.
Max Temperature.....66-71...except around 61 near the coast.
   24 HR Trend......18 degrees cooler...except 13 degrees cooler
                    near the coast.
Min Humidity........70-75 percent.
   24 HR Trend......33 percent wetter.
20-Foot Winds.......East winds 5 to 10 mph with occasional gusts up
                    to 27 mph.
Vent Rate...........Fair (242).
Mixing Height.......1600 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....East around 15 mph.
Pcpn Amount......... 0.16- 0.44 in.
Chance of Thunder...18 percent.


$$

MIZ018-024-030-036-042-252200-
Presque Isle...Alpena...Alcona...Iosco and Arenac
Counties...including Eastern Huron NF-
437 AM EDT Wed Jun 25 2025

.TODAY...
Sky/Weather.........Partly sunny (50-60 percent).
Max Temperature.....77-82...except 62-67 near the coast.
   24 HR Trend......5 degrees cooler.
Min Humidity........38-43 percent.
   24 HR Trend......18 percent drier...except 6 percent drier along
                    the coast.
20-Foot Winds.......North winds around 5 mph shifting to the
                    northeast in the afternoon.
Vent Rate...........Fair (201).
Mixing Height.......2500 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Northeast around 9 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.01 in .
Chance of Thunder...0 percent.

.TONIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly cloudy (65-75 percent). Chance of rain
                    showers and slight chance of thunderstorms
                    after 2400.
Min Temperature.....56-61.
   24 HR Trend......1 degree warmer.
Max Humidity........87-92 percent.
   24 HR Trend......3 percent wetter...except 3 percent drier along
                    the coast.
20-Foot Winds.......East winds around 5 mph with occasional gusts
                    up to 13 mph.
Vent Rate...........Poor (30).
Mixing Height.......400 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....East around 9 mph.
Pcpn Amount......... 0.03- 0.21 in.
Chance of Thunder...18 percent.

.THURSDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly cloudy (75-85 percent). Chance of rain
                    showers.
Max Temperature.....70-75...except 51-56 near the coast.
   24 HR Trend......13 degrees cooler.
Min Humidity........68-73 percent.
   24 HR Trend......32 percent wetter...except 27 percent wetter
                    along the coast.
20-Foot Winds.......East winds 5 to 10 mph with occasional gusts up
                    to 23 mph.
Vent Rate...........Fair (236).
Mixing Height.......1600 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....East 12 to 15 mph.
Pcpn Amount......... 0.05- 0.46 in.
Chance of Thunder...19 percent.


$$

MIZ020-025>027-252200-
Leelanau...Benzie...Grand Traverse and Kalkaska
Counties...including the Sleeping Bear Dunes NL-
437 AM EDT Wed Jun 25 2025

.TODAY...
Sky/Weather.........Partly sunny (55-65 percent).
Max Temperature.....80-85...except 60-65 near the coast.
   24 HR Trend......2 degrees warmer.
Min Humidity........32-37 percent.
   24 HR Trend......34 percent drier.
20-Foot Winds.......Northeast winds around 5 mph with occasional
                    gusts up to 13 mph.
Vent Rate...........Fair (170).
Mixing Height.......2900 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Northeast 6 to 9 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.01 in .
Chance of Thunder...2 percent.

.TONIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly cloudy (75-85 percent). Slight chance of
                    thunderstorms until 2400. Chance of rain
                    showers. Chance of thunderstorms after 2400.
Min Temperature.....58-63.
   24 HR Trend......2 degrees warmer.
Max Humidity........89-94 percent.
   24 HR Trend......10 percent drier...except unchanged along the
                    coast.
20-Foot Winds.......East winds around 5 mph with occasional gusts
                    up to 13 mph.
Vent Rate...........Poor (44).
Mixing Height.......500 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....East 9 to 12 mph.
Pcpn Amount......... 0.14- 0.43 in.
Chance of Thunder...36 percent.

.THURSDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly cloudy (80-90 percent). Chance of
                    thunderstorms until 1200. Chance of rain
                    showers.
Max Temperature.....72-77...except around 61 near the coast.
   24 HR Trend......8 degrees cooler.
Min Humidity........71-76 percent.
   24 HR Trend......36 percent wetter.
20-Foot Winds.......East winds around 5 mph with occasional gusts
                    up to 18 mph.
Vent Rate...........Fair (246).
Mixing Height.......2000 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Southeast 12 to 15 mph.
Pcpn Amount......... 0.10- 0.35 in.
Chance of Thunder...32 percent.


$$

MIZ031>033-252200-
Manistee...Wexford and Missaukee Counties...Including the
northern quarter of Manistee NF-
437 AM EDT Wed Jun 25 2025

.TODAY...
Sky/Weather.........Partly sunny (65-75 percent). Slight chance of
                    showers.
Max Temperature.....81-86...except 72-77 near the coast.
   24 HR Trend......2 degrees warmer.
Min Humidity........34-39 percent.
   24 HR Trend......22 percent drier...except 34 percent drier
                    along the coast.
20-Foot Winds.......Northeast winds around 5 mph with occasional
                    gusts up to 13 mph.
Vent Rate...........Fair (245).
Mixing Height.......4100 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Northeast 6 to 9 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.01 in .
Chance of Thunder...5 percent.

.TONIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly cloudy (70-80 percent). Slight chance of
                    showers and thunderstorms until 2400, then
                    chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Min Temperature.....60-65.
   24 HR Trend......2 degrees cooler.
Max Humidity........90-95 percent.
   24 HR Trend......10 percent drier...except 4 percent drier along
                    the coast.
20-Foot Winds.......East winds around 5 mph with occasional gusts
                    up to 13 mph.
Vent Rate...........Poor (41).
Mixing Height.......500 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....East 9 to 12 mph.
Pcpn Amount......... 0.07- 0.29 in.
Chance of Thunder...41 percent.

.THURSDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly cloudy (75-85 percent). Chance of
                    thunderstorms until 1200. Chance of rain
                    showers.
Max Temperature.....76-81...except around 71 near the coast.
   24 HR Trend......6 degrees cooler.
Min Humidity........67-72 percent.
   24 HR Trend......33 percent wetter.
20-Foot Winds.......Southeast winds around 5 mph with occasional
                    gusts up to 13 mph.
Vent Rate...........Fair (291).
Mixing Height.......2400 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....South around 12 mph.
Pcpn Amount......... 0.06- 0.30 in.
Chance of Thunder...38 percent.


$$

MIZ028-029-034-035-041-252200-
Crawford...Oscoda...Roscommon...Ogemaw and Gladwin
Counties...including Western Huron NF-
437 AM EDT Wed Jun 25 2025

.TODAY...
Sky/Weather.........Partly sunny (55-65 percent). Slight chance of
                    rain showers until 1200.
Max Temperature.....79-84.
   24 HR Trend......1 degree cooler.
Min Humidity........31-36 percent.
   24 HR Trend......25 percent drier.
20-Foot Winds.......Light winds becoming east around 5 mph in the
                    afternoon.
Vent Rate...........Fair (240).
Mixing Height.......4400 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Northeast around 6 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.02 in .
Chance of Thunder...2 percent.

.TONIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly cloudy (65-75 percent). Slight chance of
                    rain showers until 2400. Chance of showers and
                    thunderstorms after 2400.
Min Temperature.....58-63.
   24 HR Trend......1 degree cooler.
Max Humidity........86-91 percent.
   24 HR Trend......6 percent drier.
20-Foot Winds.......East winds around 5 mph with occasional gusts
                    up to 13 mph.
Vent Rate...........Poor (49).
Mixing Height.......500 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....East around 9 mph.
Pcpn Amount......... 0.03- 0.27 in.
Chance of Thunder...30 percent.

.THURSDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly cloudy (70-80 percent). Chance of
                    thunderstorms until 1200. Chance of rain
                    showers.
Max Temperature.....73-78.
   24 HR Trend......11 degrees cooler.
Min Humidity........68-73 percent.
   24 HR Trend......36 percent wetter.
20-Foot Winds.......East winds around 5 mph .
Vent Rate...........Good (320).
Mixing Height.......2400 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Southeast around 12 mph.
Pcpn Amount......... 0.04- 0.38 in.
Chance of Thunder...28 percent.


$$

.EXTENDED...

.FRIDAY...SHOWERS AND CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER
50S. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S. SOUTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER
50S. HIGHS AROUND 80. NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE
UPPER 80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 60S.
HIGHS IN THE LOWER 80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 60. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S.
WEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.

$$

JZ