Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Gaylord, MI
Issued by NWS Gaylord, MI
049
FNUS53 KAPX 220846
FWFAPX
Fire Weather Planning Forecast for northern Lower Michigan
National Weather Service Gaylord MI
446 AM EDT Sat Aug 22 2026
...Turning cooler and windier on Sunday...
.DISCUSSION...Showers and a few thunderstorms are likely in
northeast lower Michigan into this evening, with a smaller chance
for rain as you head west of I-75. A smaller chance of showers,
and cooler and breezier weather, will prevail on Sunday. Minimum
humidity levels will be mainly in the 60s percent today, and in
the 50s Sunday. Winds will become northwest this afternoon, with
some gusts of 20 to 25 mph. Northwest winds Sunday will be
gustier, around 30 mph. Mixing heights will be 3000 to 4000 feet
today, closer to 5000 feet Sunday.
MIZ016-017-021>023-099-222200-
Emmet...Cheboygan...Charlevoix...Antrim...Otsego and Montmorency
Counties-
446 AM EDT Sat Aug 22 2026
.TODAY...
Sky/Weather.........Partly sunny (50-60 percent). Patchy fog until
1200. Slight chance of thunderstorms until
1200. Chance of rain showers. Chance of
thunderstorms after 1200.
Max Temperature.....69-74.
24 HR Trend......3 degrees cooler.
Min Humidity........61-66 percent.
24 HR Trend......3 percent wetter.
20-Foot Winds.......Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph with occasional
gusts up to 23 mph.
Vent Rate...........Good (559).
Mixing Height.......3600 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Northwest 9 to 15 mph.
Pcpn Amount......... 0.03- 0.20 in.
Chance of Thunder...31 percent.
.TONIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Partly cloudy (40-50 percent). Chance of rain
showers and slight chance of thunderstorms
until 2400, then slight chance of rain showers.
Min Temperature.....55-60.
24 HR Trend......4 degrees cooler.
Max Humidity........91-96 percent...except 79-84 percent along the
coast.
24 HR Trend......6 percent drier.
20-Foot Winds.......Northwest winds around 10 mph with occasional
gusts up to 27 mph.
Vent Rate...........Poor (101).
Mixing Height.......800 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Northwest around 15 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.05 in .
Chance of Thunder...23 percent.
.SUNDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Partly sunny (55-65 percent). Chance of rain
showers.
Max Temperature.....62-67.
24 HR Trend......7 degrees cooler.
Min Humidity........58-63 percent.
24 HR Trend......2 percent drier.
20-Foot Winds.......Northwest winds 10 to 15 mph with occasional
gusts up to 32 mph.
Vent Rate...........Excellent (737).
Mixing Height.......4100 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Northwest 18 to 21 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.10 in .
Chance of Thunder...8 percent.
$$
MIZ018-024-030-036-042-222200-
Presque Isle...Alpena...Alcona...Iosco and Arenac
Counties...including Eastern Huron NF-
446 AM EDT Sat Aug 22 2026
.TODAY...
Sky/Weather.........Partly sunny (55-65 percent). Patchy fog until
1200. Chance of rain showers and slight chance
of thunderstorms until 1200, then rain showers
likely and chance of thunderstorms.
Max Temperature.....70-75.
24 HR Trend......5 degrees cooler.
Min Humidity........62-67 percent.
24 HR Trend......20 percent wetter.
20-Foot Winds.......Southwest winds around 5 mph shifting to the
northwest in the afternoon. Gusts up to 25 mph.
Vent Rate...........Good (412).
Mixing Height.......3200 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Southwest around 6 mph shifting to the
northwest around 12 mph in the afternoon.
Pcpn Amount......... 0.04- 0.43 in.
Chance of Thunder...35 percent.
.TONIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly cloudy (50-60 percent) until 2400, then
partly cloudy (40-50 percent). Chance of
showers and thunderstorms until 2400Slight
chance of rain showers after 2400.
Min Temperature.....55-60.
24 HR Trend......3 degrees cooler.
Max Humidity........91-96 percent...except 82-87 percent along the
coast.
24 HR Trend......6 percent drier.
20-Foot Winds.......Northwest winds around 10 mph with occasional
gusts up to 27 mph.
Vent Rate...........Poor (75).
Mixing Height.......600 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Northwest around 15 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.14 in .
Chance of Thunder...34 percent.
.SUNDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly sunny (40-50 percent). Chance of rain
showers.
Max Temperature.....67-72.
24 HR Trend......4 degrees cooler.
Min Humidity........51-56 percent.
24 HR Trend......9 percent drier.
20-Foot Winds.......Northwest winds 10 to 15 mph with occasional
gusts up to 32 mph.
Vent Rate...........Excellent (830).
Mixing Height.......4700 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Northwest around 21 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.06 in .
Chance of Thunder...13 percent.
$$
MIZ020-025>027-222200-
Leelanau...Benzie...Grand Traverse and Kalkaska
Counties...including the Sleeping Bear Dunes NL-
446 AM EDT Sat Aug 22 2026
.TODAY...
Sky/Weather.........Partly sunny (50-60 percent). Patchy fog until
1200. Slight chance of thunderstorms until
1200. Chance of rain showers. Chance of
thunderstorms after 1200.
Max Temperature.....69-74.
24 HR Trend......4 degrees cooler.
Min Humidity........61-66 percent.
24 HR Trend......2 percent wetter.
20-Foot Winds.......Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph with occasional
gusts up to 23 mph.
Vent Rate...........Good (489).
Mixing Height.......3400 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Northwest 9 to 15 mph.
Pcpn Amount......... 0.02- 0.13 in.
Chance of Thunder...35 percent.
.TONIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Partly cloudy (35-45 percent). Chance of
thunderstorms until 2400. Chance of rain
showers.
Min Temperature.....54-59...except around 61 near the coast.
24 HR Trend......4 degrees cooler.
Max Humidity........88-93 percent...except 76-81 percent along the
coast.
24 HR Trend......7 percent drier...except 16 percent drier along
the coast.
20-Foot Winds.......Northwest winds around 10 mph with occasional
gusts up to 27 mph.
Vent Rate...........Poor (113).
Mixing Height.......800 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Northwest around 15 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.08 in .
Chance of Thunder...26 percent.
.SUNDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Partly sunny (50-60 percent). Chance of rain
showers.
Max Temperature.....63-68.
24 HR Trend......7 degrees cooler.
Min Humidity........58-63 percent.
24 HR Trend......2 percent drier.
20-Foot Winds.......Northwest winds 10 to 15 mph with occasional
gusts up to 32 mph.
Vent Rate...........Excellent (862).
Mixing Height.......4900 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Northwest 18 to 21 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.09 in .
Chance of Thunder...10 percent.
$$
MIZ031>033-222200-
Manistee...Wexford and Missaukee Counties...Including the
northern quarter of Manistee NF-
446 AM EDT Sat Aug 22 2026
.TODAY...
Sky/Weather.........Partly sunny (45-55 percent). Patchy fog until
1200. Slight chance of thunderstorms until
1200. Chance of rain showers. Chance of
thunderstorms after 1200.
Max Temperature.....70-75.
24 HR Trend......4 degrees cooler.
Min Humidity........59-64 percent.
24 HR Trend......3 percent wetter.
20-Foot Winds.......Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph with occasional
gusts up to 23 mph.
Vent Rate...........Good (587).
Mixing Height.......4000 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Northwest 9 to 15 mph.
Pcpn Amount......... 0.01- 0.24 in.
Chance of Thunder...33 percent.
.TONIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Partly cloudy (35-45 percent). Chance of
showers and thunderstorms until 2400, then
slight chance of rain showers.
Min Temperature.....54-59...except around 61 near the coast.
24 HR Trend......4 degrees cooler.
Max Humidity........88-93 percent...except 76-81 percent along the
coast.
24 HR Trend......7 percent drier...except 16 percent drier along
the coast.
20-Foot Winds.......Northwest winds around 5 mph with occasional
gusts up to 23 mph.
Vent Rate...........Poor (74).
Mixing Height.......600 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....North around 15 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.05 in .
Chance of Thunder...28 percent.
.SUNDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Partly sunny (50-60 percent). Chance of rain
showers after 1200.
Max Temperature.....63-68.
24 HR Trend......7 degrees cooler.
Min Humidity........56-61 percent.
24 HR Trend......2 percent drier.
20-Foot Winds.......Northwest winds around 10 mph with occasional
gusts up to 27 mph.
Vent Rate...........Excellent (862).
Mixing Height.......4900 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Northwest 18 to 21 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.09 in .
Chance of Thunder...9 percent.
$$
MIZ028-029-034-035-041-222200-
Crawford...Oscoda...Roscommon...Ogemaw and Gladwin
Counties...including Western Huron NF-
446 AM EDT Sat Aug 22 2026
.TODAY...
Sky/Weather.........Partly sunny (55-65 percent). Patchy fog until
1200. Slight chance of thunderstorms until
1200. Rain showers likely. Chance of
thunderstorms after 1200.
Max Temperature.....71-76.
24 HR Trend......5 degrees cooler.
Min Humidity........56-61 percent.
24 HR Trend......5 percent wetter.
20-Foot Winds.......West winds around 5 mph shifting to the
northwest in the afternoon. Gusts up to 25 mph.
Vent Rate...........Excellent (607).
Mixing Height.......4300 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....West around 6 mph shifting to the northwest
around 12 mph in the afternoon.
Pcpn Amount......... 0.05- 0.30 in.
Chance of Thunder...35 percent.
.TONIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Partly cloudy (30-40 percent). Chance of
showers and thunderstorms until 2400Slight
chance of rain showers after 2400.
Min Temperature.....53-58.
24 HR Trend......3 degrees cooler.
Max Humidity........91-96 percent.
24 HR Trend......7 percent drier.
20-Foot Winds.......Northwest winds around 10 mph with occasional
gusts up to 23 mph.
Vent Rate...........Poor (73).
Mixing Height.......600 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Northwest around 15 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.04 in .
Chance of Thunder...33 percent.
.SUNDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly sunny (40-50 percent). Chance of rain
showers after 1200.
Max Temperature.....66-71.
24 HR Trend......6 degrees cooler.
Min Humidity........53-58 percent.
24 HR Trend......5 percent drier.
20-Foot Winds.......Northwest winds around 10 mph with occasional
gusts up to 27 mph.
Vent Rate...........Excellent (916).
Mixing Height.......5400 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Northwest 18 to 21 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.05 in .
Chance of Thunder...10 percent.
$$
.EXTENDED...
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER
50S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S. NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND 10 MPH.
.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. PATCHY FOG IN THE MORNING. LOWS IN THE
UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S. WEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SHOWERS LIKELY AND CHANCE OF
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S.
SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S.
HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 50S.
HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S. NORTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
$$
JZ