157
FNUS53 KAPX 030615
FWFAPX

Fire Weather Planning Forecast for northern Lower Michigan
National Weather Service Gaylord MI
215 AM EDT Sun Aug 3 2025

...Rain-free weather set to continue for several more days...

.DISCUSSION... High pressure will only very slowly work across the
area, resulting in rain-free weather continuing through at least the
middle of the week. Temperatures will continue to warm, with highs
today likely nearing/topping 80 degrees...with readings both Monday
and Tuesday increasing at least a few degrees. Combination of these
warm temperatures and limited low level moisture will result in
afternoon relative humidity values dropping below 40 percent this
afternoon through Tuesday afternoon. Good news is winds continue to
look relative light, precluding any real significant fire weather
concerns despite this extended stretch of dry weather.

MIZ016-017-021>023-099-032300-
Emmet...Cheboygan...Charlevoix...Antrim...Otsego and Montmorency
Counties-
215 AM EDT Sun Aug 3 2025

.TODAY...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly sunny (25-35 percent). Areas of smoke.
Max Temperature.....78-83...except 70-75 near the coast.
   24 HR Trend......3 degrees warmer.
Min Humidity........37-42 percent.
   24 HR Trend......6 percent drier.
20-Foot Winds.......Southwest winds around 5 mph shifting to the
                    northwest in the afternoon.
Vent Rate...........Excellent (694).
Mixing Height.......5900 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....West 9 to 12 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None.
Chance of Thunder...0 percent.

.TONIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly clear (15-25 percent). Areas of smoke
                    until 2400.
Min Temperature.....55-60...except 63-68 near the coast.
   24 HR Trend......2 degrees warmer.
Max Humidity........87-92 percent...except 76-81 percent along the
                    coast.
   24 HR Trend......Unchanged...except 13 percent drier along the
                    coast.
20-Foot Winds.......Northwest winds around 5 mph in the evening
                    becoming light.
Vent Rate...........Poor (16).
Mixing Height.......400 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Northwest around 6 mph shifting to the east
                    after midnight.
Pcpn Amount.........None.
Chance of Thunder...0 percent.

.MONDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly sunny (25-35 percent). Areas of smoke.
Max Temperature.....81-86...except 73-78 near the coast.
   24 HR Trend......2 degrees warmer.
Min Humidity........38-43 percent.
   24 HR Trend......1 percent wetter.
20-Foot Winds.......Light winds becoming east around 5 mph in the
                    afternoon.
Vent Rate...........Fair (289).
Mixing Height.......5900 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Southeast 3 to 6 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None.
Chance of Thunder...4 percent.


$$

MIZ018-024-030-036-042-032300-
Presque Isle...Alpena...Alcona...Iosco and Arenac
Counties...including Eastern Huron NF-
215 AM EDT Sun Aug 3 2025

.TODAY...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly sunny (25-35 percent). Areas of smoke.
Max Temperature.....80-85...except 72-77 near the coast.
   24 HR Trend......4 degrees warmer.
Min Humidity........37-42 percent.
   24 HR Trend......4 percent drier.
20-Foot Winds.......West winds around 5 mph with occasional gusts
                    up to 13 mph.
Vent Rate...........Good (576).
Mixing Height.......6400 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....West 6 to 9 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None.
Chance of Thunder...0 percent.

.TONIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly clear (15-25 percent). Areas of smoke.
Min Temperature.....55-60...except 63-68 near the coast.
   24 HR Trend......3 degrees warmer.
Max Humidity........91-96 percent...except 82-87 percent along the
                    coast.
   24 HR Trend......Unchanged.
20-Foot Winds.......East winds around 5 mph in the evening becoming
                    light.
Vent Rate...........Poor (19).
Mixing Height.......400 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Northeast around 6 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None.
Chance of Thunder...0 percent.

.MONDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly sunny (25-35 percent). Areas of smoke.
Max Temperature.....81-86...except 69-74 near the coast.
   24 HR Trend......1 degree cooler.
Min Humidity........39-44 percent.
   24 HR Trend......4 percent wetter.
20-Foot Winds.......Light winds becoming east around 5 mph in the
                    afternoon.
Vent Rate...........Fair (284).
Mixing Height.......4800 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....East 3 to 6 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.05 in .
Chance of Thunder...4 percent.


$$

MIZ020-025>027-032300-
Leelanau...Benzie...Grand Traverse and Kalkaska
Counties...including the Sleeping Bear Dunes NL-
215 AM EDT Sun Aug 3 2025

.TODAY...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly sunny (25-35 percent). Patchy fog until
                    1200. Areas of smoke.
Max Temperature.....78-83...except 70-75 near the coast.
   24 HR Trend......3 degrees warmer.
Min Humidity........39-44 percent.
   24 HR Trend......4 percent drier...except 10 percent drier along
                    the coast.
20-Foot Winds.......Light winds becoming northwest around 5 mph in
                    the afternoon.
Vent Rate...........Good (386).
Mixing Height.......5400 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....West around 6 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None.
Chance of Thunder...0 percent.

.TONIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly clear (20-30 percent). Areas of smoke.
Min Temperature.....56-61...except 66-71 near the coast.
   24 HR Trend......5 degrees warmer.
Max Humidity........83-88 percent...except 73-78 percent along the
                    coast.
   24 HR Trend......13 percent drier.
20-Foot Winds.......North winds around 5 mph in the evening
                    becoming light.
Vent Rate...........Poor (17).
Mixing Height.......400 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....North around 6 mph shifting to the east after
                    midnight.
Pcpn Amount.........None.
Chance of Thunder...0 percent.

.MONDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly sunny (25-35 percent). Areas of smoke.
Max Temperature.....81-86...except 72-77 near the coast.
   24 HR Trend......3 degrees warmer.
Min Humidity........37-42 percent.
   24 HR Trend......4 percent drier...except 2 percent wetter along
                    the coast.
20-Foot Winds.......Light winds becoming east around 5 mph in the
                    afternoon.
Vent Rate...........Fair (270).
Mixing Height.......6000 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Southeast 3 to 6 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None.
Chance of Thunder...3 percent.


$$

MIZ031>033-032300-
Manistee...Wexford and Missaukee Counties...Including the
northern quarter of Manistee NF-
215 AM EDT Sun Aug 3 2025

.TODAY...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly sunny (30-40 percent). Haze and patchy
                    fog until 1200. Areas of smoke.
Max Temperature.....79-84...except 72-77 near the coast.
   24 HR Trend......4 degrees warmer.
Min Humidity........38-43 percent...except 47-52 percent along the
                    coast.
   24 HR Trend......3 percent drier...except 10 percent drier along
                    the coast.
20-Foot Winds.......Light winds becoming northwest around 5 mph in
                    the afternoon.
Vent Rate...........Good (334).
Mixing Height.......6200 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....West around 6 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None.
Chance of Thunder...0 percent.

.TONIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Partly cloudy (20-30 percent). Areas of smoke.
Min Temperature.....56-61.
   24 HR Trend......6 degrees warmer.
Max Humidity........85-90 percent...except 76-81 percent along the
                    coast.
   24 HR Trend......7 percent drier...except 16 percent drier along
                    the coast.
20-Foot Winds.......North winds around 5 mph in the evening
                    becoming light.
Vent Rate...........Poor (23).
Mixing Height.......400 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....North around 6 mph shifting to the northeast
                    after midnight.
Pcpn Amount.........None.
Chance of Thunder...0 percent.

.MONDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly sunny (25-35 percent). Areas of smoke.
Max Temperature.....83-88...except around 81 near the coast.
   24 HR Trend......3 degrees warmer.
Min Humidity........35-40 percent.
   24 HR Trend......4 percent drier.
20-Foot Winds.......Light winds becoming southeast around 5 mph in
                    the afternoon.
Vent Rate...........Good (332).
Mixing Height.......6500 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Southeast around 6 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None.
Chance of Thunder...2 percent.


$$

MIZ028-029-034-035-041-032300-
Crawford...Oscoda...Roscommon...Ogemaw and Gladwin
Counties...including Western Huron NF-
215 AM EDT Sun Aug 3 2025

.TODAY...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly sunny (30-40 percent). Haze until 1200.
                    Areas of smoke.
Max Temperature.....80-85.
   24 HR Trend......4 degrees warmer.
Min Humidity........37-42 percent.
   24 HR Trend......3 percent drier.
20-Foot Winds.......Light winds becoming west around 5 mph in the
                    afternoon.
Vent Rate...........Good (503).
Mixing Height.......7500 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....West around 6 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None.
Chance of Thunder...0 percent.

.TONIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Partly cloudy (25-35 percent). Areas of smoke.
Min Temperature.....55-60.
   24 HR Trend......5 degrees warmer.
Max Humidity........89-94 percent.
   24 HR Trend......6 percent drier.
20-Foot Winds.......North winds around 5 mph in the evening
                    becoming light.
Vent Rate...........Poor (22).
Mixing Height.......400 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....North around 6 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None.
Chance of Thunder...0 percent.

.MONDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly sunny (25-35 percent). Areas of smoke.
Max Temperature.....81-86.
   24 HR Trend......1 degree warmer.
Min Humidity........36-41 percent.
   24 HR Trend......1 percent wetter.
20-Foot Winds.......Light winds becoming southeast around 5 mph in
                    the afternoon.
Vent Rate...........Good (325).
Mixing Height.......6700 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Southeast 3 to 6 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.02 in .
Chance of Thunder...4 percent.


$$

.EXTENDED...

.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. AREAS OF SMOKE IN THE EVENING. LOWS IN
THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 80S. EAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 60. HIGHS IN THE MID 80S.
EAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE
MID 80S. SOUTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER
80S. SOUTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE
UPPER 80S. SOUTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.

$$

MSB