946
FNUS53 KAPX 011921
FWFAPX

Fire Weather Planning Forecast for northern Lower Michigan
National Weather Service Gaylord MI
321 PM EDT Sat Nov 1 2025

...Lake effect showers continue tonight into Sunday...

.DISCUSSION...
Light scattered rain showers currently in the Traverse Bay region
today will continue to linger near the shorelines tonight into
Sunday morning. Conditions remain relatively quiet Sunday morning
until southwest winds build in the afternoon gusting well into the
20s. Rain spreads west to east across northern Michigan Sunday night
with only a tenth or so of QPF expected by Monday morning.


MIZ016-017-021>023-099-020845-
Emmet...Cheboygan...Charlevoix...Antrim...Otsego and Montmorency
Counties-
321 PM EDT Sat Nov 1 2025

.TONIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly cloudy (45-55 percent). Isolated rain
                    showers until 2400.
Min Temperature.....28-33...except 36-41 near the coast.
   24 HR Trend......4 degrees cooler.
Max Humidity........88-93 percent.
   24 HR Trend......10 percent wetter.
20-Foot Winds.......North winds around 5 mph in the evening
                    becoming light.
Vent Rate...........Poor (14).
Mixing Height.......400 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....North around 6 mph shifting to the southwest
                    around 3 mph after midnight.
Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.06 in .
Chance of Thunder...0 percent.

.SUNDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly sunny (35-45 percent). Isolated rain
                    showers until 1200.
Max Temperature.....48-53.
   24 HR Trend......6 degrees warmer.
Min Humidity........43-48 percent.
   24 HR Trend......11 percent drier...except 1 percent wetter
                    along the coast.
20-Foot Winds.......Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph with occasional
                    gusts up to 32 mph.
Vent Rate...........Excellent (920).
Mixing Height.......4100 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Southwest around 9 mph increasing to around 24
                    mph in the afternoon.
Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.02 in .
Chance of Thunder...0 percent.

.SUNDAY NIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly cloudy (70-80 percent). Scattered rain
                    showers until 2400, then numerous rain showers.
Min Temperature.....39-44.
   24 HR Trend......14 degrees warmer.
Max Humidity........92-97 percent...except 83-88 percent along the
                    coast.
   24 HR Trend......2 percent drier...except 7 percent drier along
                    the coast.
20-Foot Winds.......Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph with occasional
                    gusts up to 41 mph.
Vent Rate...........Fair (282).
Mixing Height.......1400 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Southwest 24 to 30 mph.
Pcpn Amount......... 0.03- 0.13 in.
Chance of Thunder...2 percent.

.MONDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly sunny (40-50 percent). Scattered rain
                    showers.
Max Temperature.....51-56.
   24 HR Trend......3 degrees warmer.
Min Humidity........40-45 percent.
   24 HR Trend......2 percent wetter...except 12 percent drier
                    along the coast.
20-Foot Winds.......West winds 10 to 15 mph with occasional gusts
                    up to 36 mph.
Vent Rate...........Excellent (1193).
Mixing Height.......4500 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....West 27 to 30 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.07 in .
Chance of Thunder...2 percent.


$$

MIZ018-024-030-036-042-020845-
Presque Isle...Alpena...Alcona...Iosco and Arenac
Counties...including Eastern Huron NF-
321 PM EDT Sat Nov 1 2025

.TONIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly cloudy (50-60 percent) until 2400, then
                    partly cloudy (40-50 percent).
Min Temperature.....26-31...except 33-38 near the coast.
   24 HR Trend......5 degrees cooler.
Max Humidity........88-93 percent...except 75-80 percent along the
                    coast.
   24 HR Trend......9 percent wetter.
20-Foot Winds.......Northwest winds around 5 mph .
Vent Rate...........Poor (16).
Mixing Height.......400 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....North around 6 mph shifting to the west after
                    midnight.
Pcpn Amount.........None.
Chance of Thunder...0 percent.

.SUNDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly sunny (30-40 percent).
Max Temperature.....50-55.
   24 HR Trend......6 degrees warmer.
Min Humidity........43-48 percent.
   24 HR Trend......1 percent drier.
20-Foot Winds.......Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph with occasional
                    gusts up to 23 mph.
Vent Rate...........Excellent (831).
Mixing Height.......4300 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Southwest around 6 mph increasing to around 21
                    mph in the afternoon.
Pcpn Amount.........None.
Chance of Thunder...0 percent.

.SUNDAY NIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly cloudy (60-70 percent). Numerous rain
                    showers after 2400.
Min Temperature.....37-42...except 44-49 near the coast.
   24 HR Trend......10 degrees warmer.
Max Humidity........89-94 percent...except 76-81 percent along the
                    coast.
   24 HR Trend......3 percent drier...except 2 percent wetter along
                    the coast.
20-Foot Winds.......Southwest winds around 10 mph with occasional
                    gusts up to 32 mph.
Vent Rate...........Poor (117).
Mixing Height.......800 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Southwest 18 to 24 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.06 in .
Chance of Thunder...1 percent.

.MONDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly cloudy (65-75 percent) until 1200, then
                    mostly sunny (25-35 percent). Numerous rain
                    showers until 1200, then scattered rain
                    showers.
Max Temperature.....52-57.
   24 HR Trend......3 degrees warmer.
Min Humidity........39-44 percent.
   24 HR Trend......6 percent drier.
20-Foot Winds.......West winds around 10 mph with occasional gusts
                    up to 32 mph.
Vent Rate...........Excellent (1283).
Mixing Height.......4900 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....West 24 to 30 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.05 in .
Chance of Thunder...2 percent.


$$

MIZ020-025>027-020845-
Leelanau...Benzie...Grand Traverse and Kalkaska
Counties...including the Sleeping Bear Dunes NL-
321 PM EDT Sat Nov 1 2025

.TONIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly cloudy (45-55 percent). Isolated rain
                    showers.
Min Temperature.....28-33...except 39-44 near the coast.
   24 HR Trend......6 degrees cooler.
Max Humidity........91-96 percent...except 79-84 percent along the
                    coast.
   24 HR Trend......3 percent wetter.
20-Foot Winds.......North winds around 5 mph in the evening
                    becoming light.
Vent Rate...........Poor (14).
Mixing Height.......400 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....North around 6 mph shifting to the south around
                    3 mph after midnight.
Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.04 in .
Chance of Thunder...0 percent.

.SUNDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly sunny (35-45 percent).
Max Temperature.....49-54.
   24 HR Trend......5 degrees warmer.
Min Humidity........51-56 percent.
   24 HR Trend......16 percent drier...except 9 percent drier along
                    the coast.
20-Foot Winds.......Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph with occasional
                    gusts up to 32 mph.
Vent Rate...........Excellent (846).
Mixing Height.......4000 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....South around 9 mph increasing to southwest
                    around 24 mph in the afternoon.
Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.01 in .
Chance of Thunder...0 percent.

.SUNDAY NIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly cloudy (65-75 percent). Scattered rain
                    showers until 2400, then numerous rain showers.
Min Temperature.....37-42...except 45-50 near the coast.
   24 HR Trend......12 degrees warmer.
Max Humidity........94-99 percent...except 80-85 percent along the
                    coast.
   24 HR Trend......1 percent wetter...except 4 percent drier along
                    the coast.
20-Foot Winds.......Southwest winds around 10 mph with occasional
                    gusts up to 41 mph.
Vent Rate...........Good (302).
Mixing Height.......1400 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Southwest 24 to 30 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.10 in .
Chance of Thunder...1 percent.

.MONDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Partly sunny (50-60 percent) until 1200, then
                    sunny (20-30 percent). Scattered rain showers.
Max Temperature.....52-57.
   24 HR Trend......5 degrees warmer.
Min Humidity........41-46 percent.
   24 HR Trend......12 percent drier.
20-Foot Winds.......West winds around 10 mph with occasional gusts
                    up to 36 mph.
Vent Rate...........Excellent (1003).
Mixing Height.......4100 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....West 24 to 27 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.05 in .
Chance of Thunder...1 percent.


$$

MIZ031>033-020845-
Manistee...Wexford and Missaukee Counties...Including the
northern quarter of Manistee NF-
321 PM EDT Sat Nov 1 2025

.TONIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly cloudy (50-60 percent) until 2400, then
                    partly cloudy (40-50 percent).
Min Temperature.....27-32...except 34-39 near the coast.
   24 HR Trend......6 degrees cooler.
Max Humidity........92-97 percent.
   24 HR Trend......Unchanged.
20-Foot Winds.......North winds around 5 mph in the evening
                    becoming light.
Vent Rate...........Poor (12).
Mixing Height.......400 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....North around 6 mph shifting to the southeast
                    around 3 mph after midnight.
Pcpn Amount.........None.
Chance of Thunder...0 percent.

.SUNDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly sunny (30-40 percent).
Max Temperature.....48-53.
   24 HR Trend......4 degrees warmer.
Min Humidity........51-56 percent.
   24 HR Trend......4 percent drier.
20-Foot Winds.......South winds 5 to 10 mph with occasional gusts
                    up to 27 mph.
Vent Rate...........Excellent (749).
Mixing Height.......3800 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....South around 6 mph increasing to southwest
                    around 21 mph in the afternoon.
Pcpn Amount.........None.
Chance of Thunder...0 percent.

.SUNDAY NIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly cloudy (60-70 percent). Numerous rain
                    showers after 2400.
Min Temperature.....38-43.
   24 HR Trend......9 degrees warmer.
Max Humidity........91-96 percent.
   24 HR Trend......1 percent wetter.
20-Foot Winds.......Southwest winds around 10 mph with occasional
                    gusts up to 32 mph.
Vent Rate...........Fair (187).
Mixing Height.......900 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Southwest 21 to 27 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.08 in .
Chance of Thunder...0 percent.

.MONDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Partly sunny (55-65 percent) until 1200, then
                    sunny (15-25 percent). Numerous rain showers
                    until 1200.
Max Temperature.....52-57.
   24 HR Trend......4 degrees warmer.
Min Humidity........38-43 percent.
   24 HR Trend......16 percent drier.
20-Foot Winds.......West winds around 10 mph with occasional gusts
                    up to 32 mph.
Vent Rate...........Excellent (929).
Mixing Height.......3900 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....West 24 to 27 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.05 in .
Chance of Thunder...1 percent.


$$

MIZ028-029-034-035-041-020845-
Crawford...Oscoda...Roscommon...Ogemaw and Gladwin
Counties...including Western Huron NF-
321 PM EDT Sat Nov 1 2025

.TONIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Partly cloudy (40-50 percent).
Min Temperature.....24-29.
   24 HR Trend......6 degrees cooler.
Max Humidity........87-92 percent.
   24 HR Trend......6 percent wetter.
20-Foot Winds.......Light winds.
Vent Rate...........Poor (12).
Mixing Height.......400 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....North around 6 mph shifting to the southwest
                    around 3 mph after midnight.
Pcpn Amount.........None.
Chance of Thunder...0 percent.

.SUNDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly sunny (30-40 percent).
Max Temperature.....49-54.
   24 HR Trend......4 degrees warmer.
Min Humidity........44-49 percent.
   24 HR Trend......2 percent wetter.
20-Foot Winds.......Southwest winds around 5 mph with occasional
                    gusts up to 23 mph.
Vent Rate...........Excellent (798).
Mixing Height.......4100 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Southwest around 6 mph increasing to around 21
                    mph in the afternoon.
Pcpn Amount.........None.
Chance of Thunder...0 percent.

.SUNDAY NIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly cloudy (60-70 percent). Scattered rain
                    showers after 2400.
Min Temperature.....36-41.
   24 HR Trend......11 degrees warmer.
Max Humidity........89-94 percent.
   24 HR Trend......1 percent wetter.
20-Foot Winds.......Southwest winds around 10 mph with occasional
                    gusts up to 32 mph.
Vent Rate...........Fair (169).
Mixing Height.......1000 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Southwest 21 to 24 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.05 in .
Chance of Thunder...0 percent.

.MONDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly sunny (45-55 percent). Numerous rain
                    showers until 1200, then scattered rain
                    showers.
Max Temperature.....52-57.
   24 HR Trend......3 degrees warmer.
Min Humidity........38-43 percent.
   24 HR Trend......12 percent drier.
20-Foot Winds.......West winds around 10 mph with occasional gusts
                    up to 32 mph.
Vent Rate...........Excellent (1200).
Mixing Height.......4700 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....West 24 to 27 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.04 in .
Chance of Thunder...1 percent.


$$

.EXTENDED...

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID
50S. WEST WINDS AROUND 10 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE UPPER
30S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 50S. WEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 30. HIGHS AROUND 50. WEST
WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH RAIN LIKELY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S.
HIGHS IN THE MID 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 10 MPH.
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE MID
30S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 50S. WEST WINDS AROUND 10 MPH.

$$

SJC