Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Gaylord, MI

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FNUS53 KAPX 151829
FWFAPX

Fire Weather Planning Forecast for northern Lower Michigan
National Weather Service Gaylord MI
229 PM EDT Sun Jun 15 2025

...Diminishing cloud cover tonight followed by precipitation
chances Monday...

.DISCUSSION...Cloud cover will diminish tonight along with light
winds veering from the north to the southeast by Monday morning.
Mondays weather remains pretty quiet with partly cloudy skies and
highs around 80 for most locations. Afternoon lake breeze
processes could turn southern winds to the east, but are expected
to remain light. RH values are expected to stay well above
critical thresholds.


MIZ016-017-021>023-099-160815-
Emmet...Cheboygan...Charlevoix...Antrim...Otsego and Montmorency
Counties-
229 PM EDT Sun Jun 15 2025

.TONIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Partly cloudy (30-40 percent).
Min Temperature.....55-60.
   24 HR Trend......2 degrees warmer.
Max Humidity........69-74 percent.
   24 HR Trend......11 percent drier.
20-Foot Winds.......East winds around 5 mph shifting to the south
                    after midnight.
Vent Rate...........Poor (29).
Mixing Height.......400 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Southeast 6 to 9 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None.
Chance of Thunder...0 percent.

.MONDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly sunny (40-50 percent).
Max Temperature.....79-84...except around 71 near the coast.
   24 HR Trend......6 degrees warmer.
Min Humidity........40-45 percent...except 50-55 percent along the
                    coast.
   24 HR Trend......7 percent wetter.
20-Foot Winds.......Southwest winds around 5 mph with occasional
                    gusts up to 13 mph.
Vent Rate...........Fair (284).
Mixing Height.......4200 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Southwest 6 to 9 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.01 in .
Chance of Thunder...9 percent.

.MONDAY NIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Partly cloudy (40-50 percent).
Min Temperature.....59-64.
   24 HR Trend......5 degrees warmer.
Max Humidity........88-93 percent.
   24 HR Trend......23 percent wetter.
20-Foot Winds.......Light winds becoming south around 5 mph after
                    midnight. Gusts up to 20 mph.
Vent Rate...........Poor (31).
Mixing Height.......400 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....South 6 to 15 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.02 in .
Chance of Thunder...12 percent.

.TUESDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly sunny (40-50 percent). Chance of rain
                    showers.
Max Temperature.....81-86...except around 71 near the coast.
   24 HR Trend......Unchanged.
Min Humidity........51-56 percent...except 64-69 percent along the
                    coast.
   24 HR Trend......15 percent wetter.
20-Foot Winds.......Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph with occasional
                    gusts up to 23 mph.
Vent Rate...........Excellent (901).
Mixing Height.......3600 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Southwest around 21 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.06 in .
Chance of Thunder...24 percent.


$$

MIZ018-024-030-036-042-160815-
Presque Isle...Alpena...Alcona...Iosco and Arenac
Counties...including Eastern Huron NF-
229 PM EDT Sun Jun 15 2025

.TONIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Partly cloudy (30-40 percent).
Min Temperature.....49-54.
   24 HR Trend......1 degree cooler.
Max Humidity........73-78 percent.
   24 HR Trend......12 percent drier...except 6 percent drier along
                    the coast.
20-Foot Winds.......East winds around 5 mph in the evening becoming
                    light.
Vent Rate...........Poor (22).
Mixing Height.......400 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Southeast around 6 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None.
Chance of Thunder...0 percent.

.MONDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly sunny (35-45 percent).
Max Temperature.....79-84...except 61-66 near the coast.
   24 HR Trend......8 degrees warmer.
Min Humidity........38-43 percent.
   24 HR Trend......5 percent wetter.
20-Foot Winds.......Light winds becoming southeast around 5 mph in
                    the afternoon.
Vent Rate...........Good (310).
Mixing Height.......4200 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....South around 6 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None.
Chance of Thunder...7 percent.

.MONDAY NIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Partly cloudy (30-40 percent).
Min Temperature.....55-60.
   24 HR Trend......8 degrees warmer.
Max Humidity........90-95 percent.
   24 HR Trend......19 percent wetter.
20-Foot Winds.......Southeast winds around 5 mph with occasional
                    gusts up to 13 mph.
Vent Rate...........Poor (47).
Mixing Height.......400 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....South 9 to 12 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None.
Chance of Thunder...12 percent.

.TUESDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly sunny (40-50 percent). Chance of rain
                    showers.
Max Temperature.....84-89...except 67-72 near the coast.
   24 HR Trend......4 degrees warmer...except 10 degrees warmer
                    near the coast.
Min Humidity........47-52 percent.
   24 HR Trend......10 percent wetter...except 5 percent wetter
                    along the coast.
20-Foot Winds.......Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph with occasional
                    gusts up to 18 mph.
Vent Rate...........Excellent (1063).
Mixing Height.......4500 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Southwest 18 to 21 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.03 in .
Chance of Thunder...22 percent.


$$

MIZ020-025>027-160815-
Leelanau...Benzie...Grand Traverse and Kalkaska
Counties...including the Sleeping Bear Dunes NL-
229 PM EDT Sun Jun 15 2025

.TONIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Partly cloudy (40-50 percent).
Min Temperature.....54-59.
   24 HR Trend......2 degrees warmer.
Max Humidity........79-84 percent.
   24 HR Trend......6 percent drier...except 3 percent wetter along
                    the coast.
20-Foot Winds.......Northeast winds around 5 mph shifting to the
                    southeast after midnight.
Vent Rate...........Poor (24).
Mixing Height.......400 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....East around 6 mph shifting to the southeast
                    around 9 mph after midnight.
Pcpn Amount.........None.
Chance of Thunder...1 percent.

.MONDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly sunny (45-55 percent).
Max Temperature.....79-84...except 57-62 near the coast.
   24 HR Trend......7 degrees warmer...except 1 degree warmer near
                    the coast.
Min Humidity........43-48 percent.
   24 HR Trend......4 percent wetter...except 11 percent wetter
                    along the coast.
20-Foot Winds.......South winds around 5 mph shifting to the
                    southwest in the afternoon.
Vent Rate...........Good (349).
Mixing Height.......4000 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....South around 9 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.01 in .
Chance of Thunder...6 percent.

.MONDAY NIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Partly cloudy (45-55 percent).
Min Temperature.....59-64.
   24 HR Trend......4 degrees warmer.
Max Humidity........91-96 percent...except 82-87 percent along the
                    coast.
   24 HR Trend......21 percent wetter...except 15 percent wetter
                    along the coast.
20-Foot Winds.......South winds around 5 mph with occasional gusts
                    up to 18 mph.
Vent Rate...........Poor (26).
Mixing Height.......400 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....South 9 to 15 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.03 in .
Chance of Thunder...13 percent.

.TUESDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Partly sunny (50-60 percent). Chance of rain
                    showers.
Max Temperature.....78-83...except 59-64 near the coast.
   24 HR Trend......1 degree cooler.
Min Humidity........56-61 percent.
   24 HR Trend......13 percent wetter...except 7 percent wetter
                    along the coast.
20-Foot Winds.......Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph with occasional
                    gusts up to 23 mph.
Vent Rate...........Excellent (788).
Mixing Height.......3300 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Southwest around 21 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.03 in .
Chance of Thunder...22 percent.


$$

MIZ031>033-160815-
Manistee...Wexford and Missaukee Counties...Including the
northern quarter of Manistee NF-
229 PM EDT Sun Jun 15 2025

.TONIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Partly cloudy (40-50 percent).
Min Temperature.....54-59.
   24 HR Trend......Unchanged.
Max Humidity........72-77 percent.
   24 HR Trend......11 percent drier...except unchanged along the
                    coast.
20-Foot Winds.......East winds around 5 mph shifting to the
                    southeast after midnight.
Vent Rate...........Poor (31).
Mixing Height.......400 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Southeast 6 to 9 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None.
Chance of Thunder...2 percent.

.MONDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly sunny (40-50 percent).
Max Temperature.....81-86...except 69-74 near the coast.
   24 HR Trend......5 degrees warmer.
Min Humidity........40-45 percent...except 49-54 percent along the
                    coast.
   24 HR Trend......2 percent wetter.
20-Foot Winds.......South winds around 5 mph with occasional gusts
                    up to 13 mph.
Vent Rate...........Good (425).
Mixing Height.......4900 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....South around 9 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.01 in .
Chance of Thunder...7 percent.

.MONDAY NIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Partly cloudy (35-45 percent).
Min Temperature.....59-64.
   24 HR Trend......5 degrees warmer.
Max Humidity........88-93 percent.
   24 HR Trend......21 percent wetter...except 15 percent wetter
                    along the coast.
20-Foot Winds.......South winds around 5 mph with occasional gusts
                    up to 13 mph.
Vent Rate...........Poor (39).
Mixing Height.......400 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....South 9 to 12 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.01 in .
Chance of Thunder...12 percent.

.TUESDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Partly sunny (50-60 percent). Chance of rain
                    showers.
Max Temperature.....80-85...except 69-74 near the coast.
   24 HR Trend......Unchanged.
Min Humidity........54-59 percent...except 64-69 percent along the
                    coast.
   24 HR Trend......14 percent wetter.
20-Foot Winds.......Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph with occasional
                    gusts up to 23 mph.
Vent Rate...........Excellent (1013).
Mixing Height.......4200 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Southwest 18 to 24 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.01 in .
Chance of Thunder...22 percent.


$$

MIZ028-029-034-035-041-160815-
Crawford...Oscoda...Roscommon...Ogemaw and Gladwin
Counties...including Western Huron NF-
229 PM EDT Sun Jun 15 2025

.TONIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Partly cloudy (35-45 percent).
Min Temperature.....50-55.
   24 HR Trend......1 degree cooler.
Max Humidity........69-74 percent.
   24 HR Trend......8 percent drier.
20-Foot Winds.......East winds around 5 mph in the evening becoming
                    light.
Vent Rate...........Poor (24).
Mixing Height.......400 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Southeast around 6 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None.
Chance of Thunder...0 percent.

.MONDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly sunny (40-50 percent).
Max Temperature.....79-84.
   24 HR Trend......7 degrees warmer.
Min Humidity........38-43 percent.
   24 HR Trend......3 percent wetter.
20-Foot Winds.......Light winds becoming south around 5 mph in the
                    afternoon.
Vent Rate...........Good (457).
Mixing Height.......5800 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....South around 6 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None.
Chance of Thunder...9 percent.

.MONDAY NIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Partly cloudy (30-40 percent).
Min Temperature.....58-63.
   24 HR Trend......7 degrees warmer.
Max Humidity........91-96 percent.
   24 HR Trend......27 percent wetter.
20-Foot Winds.......South winds around 5 mph with occasional gusts
                    up to 13 mph.
Vent Rate...........Poor (40).
Mixing Height.......400 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....South 9 to 12 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None.
Chance of Thunder...14 percent.

.TUESDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly sunny (35-45 percent). Chance of rain
                    showers after 1200.
Max Temperature.....82-87.
   24 HR Trend......2 degrees warmer.
Min Humidity........49-54 percent.
   24 HR Trend......11 percent wetter.
20-Foot Winds.......Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph with occasional
                    gusts up to 18 mph.
Vent Rate...........Excellent (1411).
Mixing Height.......5700 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Southwest 15 to 24 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.03 in .
Chance of Thunder...23 percent.


$$

.EXTENDED...

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH SHOWERS LIKELY AND CHANCE OF
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S. WEST
WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.JUNETEENTH...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE MID 50S.
HIGHS IN THE MID 70S. NORTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER
50S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S. WEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER
50S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 10 MPH.
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER
60S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 10 MPH.

$$

SJC