Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Gaylord, MI
Issued by NWS Gaylord, MI
870
FNUS53 KAPX 121843
FWFAPX
Fire Weather Planning Forecast for northern Lower Michigan
National Weather Service Gaylord MI
243 PM EDT Sat Sep 12 2026
...Trending Cooler; Still Active into Next Week...
.DISCUSSION... Winds to flip from SSW to NW through the evening,
tapering through the overnight hours as mixing processes diminish.
Will see a quick return to efficient mixing and ventilation
through the morning tomorrow, albeit with cooler weather
anticipated as highs range from the mid-upper 60s to lower 70s
closer to Saginaw Bay. NW winds will again be gusty, with
downsloping potentially sending RH values into the low 40s -
upper 30s across the Saginaw Bay region if mixing can become
efficient enough. Much of the same for Monday, albeit with
lighter and more varable winds... low RHs will be more omnipresent
and will have a much better chance to dip into the 30s, with
another day of temperatures in the 60s and 70s. Looking ahead,
rain chances, along with thunder potential, return early Tuesday,
largely tapering by Tuesday night. Still some mixed signals
regarding the spatial extent and intensity of any rainfall
expected, but this is certainly the next appreciable rain chance
to make note of.
MIZ016-017-021>023-099-130815-
Emmet...Cheboygan...Charlevoix...Antrim...Otsego and Montmorency
Counties-
243 PM EDT Sat Sep 12 2026
.TONIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly cloudy (55-65 percent) until 2400, then
partly cloudy (40-50 percent). Scattered rain
showers and isolated thunderstorms until
2400Slight chance of rain showers after 2400.
Min Temperature.....50-55...except 59-64 near the coast.
24 HR Trend......5 degrees cooler.
Max Humidity........91-96 percent...except 78-83 percent along the
coast.
24 HR Trend......4 percent wetter...except 16 percent wetter
along the coast.
20-Foot Winds.......Northwest winds around 5 mph in the evening
becoming light. Gusts up to 25 mph.
Vent Rate...........Poor (31).
Mixing Height.......500 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Northwest 9 to 12 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.06 in .
Chance of Thunder...9 percent.
.SUNDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Partly sunny (55-65 percent). Slight chance of
rain showers after 1200.
Max Temperature.....65-70.
24 HR Trend......12 degrees cooler.
Min Humidity........52-57 percent.
24 HR Trend......6 percent wetter...except 4 percent drier along
the coast.
20-Foot Winds.......West winds 5 to 10 mph with occasional gusts up
to 27 mph.
Vent Rate...........Excellent (901).
Mixing Height.......5000 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....West 12 to 18 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.02 in .
Chance of Thunder...5 percent.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Partly cloudy (35-45 percent).
Min Temperature.....45-50...except 53-58 near the coast.
24 HR Trend......6 degrees cooler.
Max Humidity........91-96 percent...except 69-74 percent along the
coast.
24 HR Trend......Unchanged...except 11 percent drier along the
coast.
20-Foot Winds.......Northwest winds around 5 mph with occasional
gusts up to 27 mph.
Vent Rate...........Poor (37).
Mixing Height.......600 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Northwest 9 to 15 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.01 in .
Chance of Thunder...6 percent.
.MONDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly sunny (25-35 percent).
Max Temperature.....67-72.
24 HR Trend......2 degrees warmer.
Min Humidity........36-41 percent.
24 HR Trend......18 percent drier.
20-Foot Winds.......Light winds.
Vent Rate...........Good (356).
Mixing Height.......5300 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Northwest around 6 mph shifting to the west in
the afternoon.
Pcpn Amount.........None.
Chance of Thunder...0 percent.
$$
MIZ018-024-030-036-042-130815-
Presque Isle...Alpena...Alcona...Iosco and Arenac
Counties...including Eastern Huron NF-
243 PM EDT Sat Sep 12 2026
.TONIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly cloudy (60-70 percent) until 2400, then
partly cloudy (45-55 percent). Scattered rain
showers and isolated thunderstorms until 2400.
Min Temperature.....51-56...except 59-64 near the coast.
24 HR Trend......2 degrees cooler.
Max Humidity........94-99 percent...except 82-87 percent along the
coast.
24 HR Trend......6 percent wetter.
20-Foot Winds.......Northwest winds around 5 mph with occasional
gusts up to 23 mph.
Vent Rate...........Poor (30).
Mixing Height.......400 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Northwest 9 to 12 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.05 in .
Chance of Thunder...13 percent.
.SUNDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Partly sunny (55-65 percent).
Max Temperature.....69-74...except 60-65 near the coast.
24 HR Trend......11 degrees cooler.
Min Humidity........47-52 percent.
24 HR Trend......4 percent drier.
20-Foot Winds.......Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph with occasional
gusts up to 27 mph.
Vent Rate...........Excellent (829).
Mixing Height.......5000 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Northwest 9 to 18 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.02 in .
Chance of Thunder...3 percent.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Partly cloudy (35-45 percent).
Min Temperature.....43-48...except 52-57 near the coast.
24 HR Trend......9 degrees cooler.
Max Humidity........94-99 percent...except 78-83 percent along the
coast.
24 HR Trend......Unchanged.
20-Foot Winds.......Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph with occasional
gusts up to 27 mph.
Vent Rate...........Poor (40).
Mixing Height.......500 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Northwest 9 to 15 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.01 in .
Chance of Thunder...4 percent.
.MONDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Sunny (15-25 percent).
Max Temperature.....66-71...except 58-63 near the coast.
24 HR Trend......Unchanged.
Min Humidity........37-42 percent.
24 HR Trend......11 percent drier...except 6 percent drier along
the coast.
20-Foot Winds.......Northwest winds around 5 mph shifting to the
east in the afternoon.
Vent Rate...........Good (329).
Mixing Height.......5100 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Northwest 6 to 9 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None.
Chance of Thunder...0 percent.
$$
MIZ020-025>027-130815-
Leelanau...Benzie...Grand Traverse and Kalkaska
Counties...including the Sleeping Bear Dunes NL-
243 PM EDT Sat Sep 12 2026
.TONIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly cloudy (60-70 percent) until 2400, then
partly cloudy (45-55 percent). Scattered rain
showers until 2400.
Min Temperature.....50-55...except 59-64 near the coast.
24 HR Trend......4 degrees cooler.
Max Humidity........95-100 percent...except 82-87 percent along the
coast.
24 HR Trend......7 percent wetter...except 13 percent wetter
along the coast.
20-Foot Winds.......Northwest winds around 5 mph in the evening
becoming light. Gusts up to 20 mph.
Vent Rate...........Poor (27).
Mixing Height.......500 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....North around 9 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.04 in .
Chance of Thunder...6 percent.
.SUNDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Partly sunny (50-60 percent).
Max Temperature.....65-70...except 58-63 near the coast.
24 HR Trend......11 degrees cooler.
Min Humidity........49-54 percent.
24 HR Trend......2 percent drier...except 11 percent drier along
the coast.
20-Foot Winds.......Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph with occasional
gusts up to 27 mph.
Vent Rate...........Excellent (884).
Mixing Height.......5100 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Northwest 9 to 18 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None.
Chance of Thunder...1 percent.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Partly cloudy (30-40 percent).
Min Temperature.....44-49...except 56-61 near the coast.
24 HR Trend......7 degrees cooler.
Max Humidity........92-97 percent...except 67-72 percent along the
coast.
24 HR Trend......4 percent drier...except 11 percent drier along
the coast.
20-Foot Winds.......Northwest winds around 5 mph in the evening
becoming light. Gusts up to 30 mph.
Vent Rate...........Poor (42).
Mixing Height.......700 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Northwest 9 to 12 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None.
Chance of Thunder...2 percent.
.MONDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly sunny (30-40 percent).
Max Temperature.....68-73...except 61-66 near the coast.
24 HR Trend......3 degrees warmer.
Min Humidity........37-42 percent.
24 HR Trend......17 percent drier.
20-Foot Winds.......Light winds becoming south around 5 mph in the
afternoon.
Vent Rate...........Good (333).
Mixing Height.......5100 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....North around 6 mph shifting to the southwest in
the afternoon.
Pcpn Amount.........None.
Chance of Thunder...0 percent.
$$
MIZ031>033-130815-
Manistee...Wexford and Missaukee Counties...Including the
northern quarter of Manistee NF-
243 PM EDT Sat Sep 12 2026
.TONIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly cloudy (60-70 percent). Isolated rain
showers until 2400.
Min Temperature.....52-57.
24 HR Trend......2 degrees cooler.
Max Humidity........95-100 percent.
24 HR Trend......Unchanged...except 7 percent wetter along the
coast.
20-Foot Winds.......West winds around 5 mph in the evening becoming
light. Gusts up to 25 mph.
Vent Rate...........Poor (23).
Mixing Height.......400 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Northwest around 9 mph shifting to the north
after midnight.
Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.02 in .
Chance of Thunder...8 percent.
.SUNDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Partly sunny (55-65 percent).
Max Temperature.....67-72.
24 HR Trend......10 degrees cooler.
Min Humidity........49-54 percent.
24 HR Trend......2 percent drier...except 12 percent drier along
the coast.
20-Foot Winds.......Light winds becoming northwest around 10 mph in
the afternoon. Gusts up to 30 mph.
Vent Rate...........Excellent (805).
Mixing Height.......4700 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Northwest 9 to 18 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None.
Chance of Thunder...1 percent.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Partly cloudy (20-30 percent).
Min Temperature.....42-47...except 49-54 near the coast.
24 HR Trend......9 degrees cooler.
Max Humidity........92-97 percent.
24 HR Trend......Unchanged.
20-Foot Winds.......Northwest winds around 5 mph in the evening
becoming light. Gusts up to 25 mph.
Vent Rate...........Poor (19).
Mixing Height.......400 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....North 6 to 12 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None.
Chance of Thunder...0 percent.
.MONDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Sunny (20-30 percent). Patchy fog until 1200.
Max Temperature.....69-74.
24 HR Trend......2 degrees warmer.
Min Humidity........36-41 percent.
24 HR Trend......15 percent drier...except 6 percent drier along
the coast.
20-Foot Winds.......Light winds becoming south around 5 mph in the
afternoon.
Vent Rate...........Good (364).
Mixing Height.......5200 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Northeast around 6 mph shifting to the south in
the afternoon.
Pcpn Amount.........None.
Chance of Thunder...0 percent.
$$
MIZ028-029-034-035-041-130815-
Crawford...Oscoda...Roscommon...Ogemaw and Gladwin
Counties...including Western Huron NF-
243 PM EDT Sat Sep 12 2026
.TONIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly cloudy (65-75 percent) until 2400, then
partly cloudy (45-55 percent). Scattered rain
showers until 2400.
Min Temperature.....52-57.
24 HR Trend......Unchanged.
Max Humidity........95-100 percent.
24 HR Trend......2 percent wetter.
20-Foot Winds.......West winds around 5 mph in the evening becoming
light. Gusts up to 20 mph.
Vent Rate...........Poor (24).
Mixing Height.......400 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Northwest 6 to 12 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.04 in .
Chance of Thunder...12 percent.
.SUNDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Partly sunny (60-70 percent).
Max Temperature.....71-76.
24 HR Trend......11 degrees cooler.
Min Humidity........49-54 percent.
24 HR Trend......5 percent drier.
20-Foot Winds.......Light winds becoming northwest around 10 mph in
the afternoon. Gusts up to 25 mph.
Vent Rate...........Excellent (806).
Mixing Height.......4800 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Northwest 9 to 18 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None.
Chance of Thunder...1 percent.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Partly cloudy (30-40 percent).
Min Temperature.....41-46.
24 HR Trend......7 degrees cooler.
Max Humidity........94-99 percent.
24 HR Trend......Unchanged.
20-Foot Winds.......Northwest winds around 5 mph in the evening
becoming light. Gusts up to 25 mph.
Vent Rate...........Poor (28).
Mixing Height.......400 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Northwest 9 to 12 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None.
Chance of Thunder...2 percent.
.MONDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Sunny (15-25 percent).
Max Temperature.....67-72.
24 HR Trend......1 degree warmer.
Min Humidity........37-42 percent.
24 HR Trend......13 percent drier.
20-Foot Winds.......Light winds.
Vent Rate...........Good (363).
Mixing Height.......5600 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....North around 6 mph shifting to the south in the
afternoon.
Pcpn Amount.........None.
Chance of Thunder...0 percent.
$$
.EXTENDED...
.TUESDAY...SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S.
SOUTH WINDS AROUND 10 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS AROUND
70. NORTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S. EAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 50. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S.
NORTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER
40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S. NORTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
$$
HAD