Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Gaylord, MI
Issued by NWS Gaylord, MI
101
FNUS53 KAPX 171852
FWFAPX
Fire Weather Planning Forecast for northern Lower Michigan
National Weather Service Gaylord MI
252 PM EDT Thu Sep 17 2026
...Rain-free through Friday; Rain returns Friday night/ Saturday...
.DISCUSSION...
Rain-free weather continues tonight through much of Friday, with
chances for showers returning mainly Friday night into Saturday.
Some locally heavy rain will be possible Saturday for areas south
of M-32. Light winds continue through tonight and Friday with
northeast winds developing Friday morning, then turning east to
southeast on Saturday, increasing with gusts 15-25 mph possible...
Winds turn northeast and remain gusty for Sunday. Minimum RH
values will remain above critical levels through this weekend.
MIZ016-017-021>023-099-180815-
Emmet...Cheboygan...Charlevoix...Antrim...Otsego and Montmorency
Counties-
252 PM EDT Thu Sep 17 2026
.TONIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly clear (15-25 percent). Patchy fog after
2400.
Min Temperature.....48-53.
24 HR Trend......2 degrees cooler.
Max Humidity........94-99 percent...except 84-89 percent along the
coast.
24 HR Trend......2 percent wetter.
20-Foot Winds.......Northwest winds around 5 mph in the evening
becoming light.
Vent Rate...........Poor (21).
Mixing Height.......400 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....North 6 to 9 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None.
Chance of Thunder...0 percent.
.FRIDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly sunny (45-55 percent). Patchy fog until
1200.
Max Temperature.....63-68.
24 HR Trend......6 degrees cooler.
Min Humidity........43-48 percent.
24 HR Trend......2 percent wetter...except 5 percent drier along
the coast.
20-Foot Winds.......Northeast winds around 5 mph with occasional
gusts up to 13 mph.
Vent Rate...........Fair (215).
Mixing Height.......3300 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Northeast around 9 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None.
Chance of Thunder...0 percent.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly cloudy (65-75 percent).
Min Temperature.....47-52...except 54-59 near the coast.
24 HR Trend......Unchanged.
Max Humidity........84-89 percent...except 69-74 percent along the
coast.
24 HR Trend......17 percent drier.
20-Foot Winds.......East winds around 5 mph in the evening becoming
light.
Vent Rate...........Poor (26).
Mixing Height.......400 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....East around 6 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.03 in .
Chance of Thunder...0 percent.
.SATURDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Partly sunny (60-70 percent). Chance of rain
until 1200.
Max Temperature.....63-68.
24 HR Trend......1 degree warmer.
Min Humidity........48-53 percent.
24 HR Trend......8 percent wetter.
20-Foot Winds.......Southeast winds around 5 mph with occasional
gusts up to 18 mph.
Vent Rate...........Good (325).
Mixing Height.......3500 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Southeast 9 to 12 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.07 in .
Chance of Thunder...0 percent.
$$
MIZ018-024-030-036-042-180815-
Presque Isle...Alpena...Alcona...Iosco and Arenac
Counties...including Eastern Huron NF-
252 PM EDT Thu Sep 17 2026
.TONIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly clear (20-30 percent).
Min Temperature.....45-50...except 54-59 near the coast.
24 HR Trend......2 degrees cooler.
Max Humidity........95-100 percent...except 85-90 percent along the
coast.
24 HR Trend......2 percent wetter.
20-Foot Winds.......Light winds becoming north around 5 mph after
midnight.
Vent Rate...........Poor (15).
Mixing Height.......400 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....North 6 to 9 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None.
Chance of Thunder...0 percent.
.FRIDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly sunny (40-50 percent). Patchy fog until
1200.
Max Temperature.....65-70...except 53-58 near the coast.
24 HR Trend......5 degrees cooler.
Min Humidity........46-51 percent.
24 HR Trend......2 percent wetter.
20-Foot Winds.......Northeast winds around 5 mph with occasional
gusts up to 13 mph.
Vent Rate...........Fair (286).
Mixing Height.......3500 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Northeast around 9 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None.
Chance of Thunder...0 percent.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly cloudy (65-75 percent). Chance of rain
after 2400.
Min Temperature.....48-53...except 57-62 near the coast.
24 HR Trend......1 degree cooler...except 6 degrees warmer near
the coast.
Max Humidity........83-88 percent...except 57-62 percent along the
coast.
24 HR Trend......14 percent drier...except 20 percent drier
along the coast.
20-Foot Winds.......Northeast winds around 5 mph in the evening
becoming light.
Vent Rate...........Poor (19).
Mixing Height.......400 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....East around 6 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.01 in .
Chance of Thunder...0 percent.
.SATURDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly cloudy (70-80 percent). Chance of rain.
Max Temperature.....62-67.
24 HR Trend......Unchanged.
Min Humidity........52-57 percent.
24 HR Trend......10 percent wetter...except 4 percent wetter
along the coast.
20-Foot Winds.......East winds around 5 mph with occasional gusts
up to 18 mph.
Vent Rate...........Fair (278).
Mixing Height.......3000 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....East around 9 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.29 in .
Chance of Thunder...0 percent.
$$
MIZ020-025>027-180815-
Leelanau...Benzie...Grand Traverse and Kalkaska
Counties...including the Sleeping Bear Dunes NL-
252 PM EDT Thu Sep 17 2026
.TONIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Partly cloudy (25-35 percent). Patchy fog after
2400.
Min Temperature.....46-51...except 59-64 near the coast.
24 HR Trend......3 degrees cooler.
Max Humidity........95-100 percent...except 79-84 percent along the
coast.
24 HR Trend......1 percent wetter.
20-Foot Winds.......North winds around 5 mph in the evening
becoming light. Gusts up to 20 mph.
Vent Rate...........Poor (22).
Mixing Height.......400 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....North 6 to 9 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None.
Chance of Thunder...0 percent.
.FRIDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Partly sunny (45-55 percent). Patchy fog until
1200.
Max Temperature.....65-70.
24 HR Trend......4 degrees cooler.
Min Humidity........45-50 percent.
24 HR Trend......2 percent drier.
20-Foot Winds.......Northeast winds around 5 mph with occasional
gusts up to 13 mph.
Vent Rate...........Fair (207).
Mixing Height.......3200 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Northeast around 9 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.01 in .
Chance of Thunder...0 percent.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly cloudy (80-90 percent). Chance of rain
after 2400.
Min Temperature.....49-54...except 57-62 near the coast.
24 HR Trend......7 degrees warmer.
Max Humidity........83-88 percent...except 67-72 percent along the
coast.
24 HR Trend......14 percent drier.
20-Foot Winds.......East winds around 5 mph with occasional gusts
up to 13 mph.
Vent Rate...........Poor (44).
Mixing Height.......500 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....East around 9 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.08 in .
Chance of Thunder...3 percent.
.SATURDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly cloudy (80-90 percent). Chance of rain.
Max Temperature.....62-67.
24 HR Trend......3 degrees cooler.
Min Humidity........56-61 percent.
24 HR Trend......15 percent wetter.
20-Foot Winds.......Southeast winds around 5 mph with occasional
gusts up to 18 mph.
Vent Rate...........Fair (236).
Mixing Height.......2300 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Southeast around 12 mph.
Pcpn Amount......... 0.02- 0.21 in.
Chance of Thunder...3 percent.
$$
MIZ031>033-180815-
Manistee...Wexford and Missaukee Counties...Including the
northern quarter of Manistee NF-
252 PM EDT Thu Sep 17 2026
.TONIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Partly cloudy (40-50 percent). Patchy fog after
2400.
Min Temperature.....46-51.
24 HR Trend......5 degrees cooler.
Max Humidity........94-99 percent.
24 HR Trend......2 percent wetter.
20-Foot Winds.......North winds around 5 mph in the evening
becoming light.
Vent Rate...........Poor (25).
Mixing Height.......400 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....North 6 to 9 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None.
Chance of Thunder...0 percent.
.FRIDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly sunny (45-55 percent). Patchy fog until
1200.
Max Temperature.....66-71.
24 HR Trend......3 degrees cooler.
Min Humidity........45-50 percent.
24 HR Trend......2 percent drier.
20-Foot Winds.......Northeast winds around 5 mph with occasional
gusts up to 13 mph.
Vent Rate...........Fair (230).
Mixing Height.......3400 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Northeast around 9 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.01 in .
Chance of Thunder...0 percent.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Cloudy (85-95 percent). Chance of rain.
Min Temperature.....51-56.
24 HR Trend......6 degrees warmer.
Max Humidity........88-93 percent...except 67-72 percent along the
coast.
24 HR Trend......14 percent drier.
20-Foot Winds.......East winds around 5 mph with occasional gusts
up to 13 mph.
Vent Rate...........Poor (36).
Mixing Height.......500 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....East around 9 mph.
Pcpn Amount......... 0.02- 0.25 in.
Chance of Thunder...5 percent.
.SATURDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Cloudy (85-95 percent). Rain likely until 1200,
then chance of rain.
Max Temperature.....61-66.
24 HR Trend......6 degrees cooler.
Min Humidity........57-62 percent.
24 HR Trend......20 percent wetter.
20-Foot Winds.......East winds around 5 mph with occasional gusts
up to 18 mph.
Vent Rate...........Fair (212).
Mixing Height.......1800 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....East 12 to 15 mph.
Pcpn Amount......... 0.13- 0.43 in.
Chance of Thunder...6 percent.
$$
MIZ028-029-034-035-041-180815-
Crawford...Oscoda...Roscommon...Ogemaw and Gladwin
Counties...including Western Huron NF-
252 PM EDT Thu Sep 17 2026
.TONIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Partly cloudy (30-40 percent).
Min Temperature.....45-50.
24 HR Trend......3 degrees cooler.
Max Humidity........95-100 percent.
24 HR Trend......2 percent wetter.
20-Foot Winds.......Light winds.
Vent Rate...........Poor (19).
Mixing Height.......400 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....North 6 to 9 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None.
Chance of Thunder...0 percent.
.FRIDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Sunny (20-30 percent) until 1200, then partly
sunny (50-60 percent). Patchy fog until 1200.
Max Temperature.....66-71.
24 HR Trend......3 degrees cooler.
Min Humidity........45-50 percent.
24 HR Trend......1 percent wetter.
20-Foot Winds.......Northeast winds around 5 mph with occasional
gusts up to 13 mph.
Vent Rate...........Fair (267).
Mixing Height.......3900 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Northeast around 9 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None.
Chance of Thunder...0 percent.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly cloudy (80-90 percent). Chance of rain
after 2400.
Min Temperature.....48-53.
24 HR Trend......1 degree warmer.
Max Humidity........85-90 percent.
24 HR Trend......17 percent drier.
20-Foot Winds.......East winds around 5 mph in the evening becoming
light.
Vent Rate...........Poor (25).
Mixing Height.......400 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....East around 9 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.05 in .
Chance of Thunder...1 percent.
.SATURDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly cloudy (80-90 percent). Chance of rain.
Max Temperature.....60-65.
24 HR Trend......4 degrees cooler.
Min Humidity........54-59 percent.
24 HR Trend......21 percent wetter.
20-Foot Winds.......East winds around 5 mph with occasional gusts
up to 13 mph.
Vent Rate...........Fair (225).
Mixing Height.......2300 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....East 9 to 12 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.41 in .
Chance of Thunder...3 percent.
$$
.EXTENDED...
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER
40S. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S. NORTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS AROUND 60.
NORTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER
60S. NORTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID
60S. EAST WINDS AROUND 10 MPH.
.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE
UPPER 60S. EAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
$$
NSC