792
FNUS73 KAPX 160908
FWSAPX

Spot Forecast for Old State North...MIDNR
National Weather Service Gaylord MI
508 AM EDT Mon Jun 16 2025

Forecast is based on ignition time of 1100 EDT on June 16.
If conditions become unrepresentative... contact the National Weather
Service.

Please contact our office at (989)732-9306, if you have questions
or concerns with this forecast.

.DISCUSSION...Partly sunny skies today. There is a slight chance for
a shower or thunderstorms to fire late in the afternoon. Winds at the
burn site will be light, from the southwest mainly, at about 5 mph.
Humidity values will lower through the 40s in the afternoon. Mixing
heights peak a bit above 5000 feet late in the day.

.REST OF TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Partly sunny (45-55 percent). Chance of showers
                    and slight chance of thunderstorms late in the
                    afternoon.
Chance of thunder...16 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 82.
Min humidity........42 percent.
20-foot winds.......South to southwest winds around 5 mph.
Transport winds.....Southwest 6 to 9 mph.
Mixing height.......2200-3900 ft AGL increasing to 5000-5600 ft AGL
                    in the afternoon.
Ventilation index...Fair to good (175.0-510.0).

TIME (EDT)      11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........44  46  47  48  50  51  53
Weather cov.....                        CHC
Weather type....                        RW
Tstm cov........                        SCH
Chc of thdr (%).0   0   0   0   0   0   20
Temp............72  76  78  80  80  81  82
RH..............49  47  45  44  43  43  42
20 ft wind dir..S   SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW
20 ft wind spd..5   5   5   5   5   5   5
20 ft wind gust.10  10  10  10  10  10  10
Mix hgt (kft)...2.2 3.9 5.0 5.5 5.6 5.4 5.1
Transp wind dir.S   SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW
Transp wind spd.8   8   9   9   8   7   6
Vrate kt-ft.....176 319 466 510 457 386 303
Ventrate Cat....FR  GD  GD  GD  GD  GD  GD

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (50-60 percent) then becoming
                    partly cloudy (35-45 percent). Chance of
                    showers and slight chance of thunderstorms
                    early in the evening.
Chance of thunder...16 percent.
Min temperature.....Around 60.
Max humidity........100 percent.
20-foot winds.......Light winds. Gusty and erratic winds expected
                    near thunderstorms early in the evening.
Transport winds.....South 5 to 14 mph.
Mixing height.......3700-4700 ft AGL decreasing to 400-1300 ft AGL
                    early in the evening.
Ventilation index...Poor to good (23.0-349.0).

TIME (EDT)      6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
Sky (%).........54  56  57  51  45  39  37  35  33  35  37  39
Weather cov.....CHC CHC
Weather type....RW  RW
Tstm cov........SCH SCH
Chc of thdr (%).20  20  10  10  10  10  10  10  0   0   0   10
Temp............80  79  78  75  71  68  66  64  63  62  62  62
RH..............43  45  49  60  72  76  73  78  85  89  91  94
20 ft wind dir..S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S
20 ft wind spd..5   5   5   6   6   6   7   7   7   8   8   8
20 ft wind gust.9   9   9   9   9   9   13  13  13  14  14  14
Mix hgt (kft)...4.7 3.7 1.3 0.5 0.5 0.4 0.5 0.6 0.5 0.5 0.6 0.6
Transp wind dir.SW  SW  S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S
Transp wind spd.7   7   6   5   7   8   13  14  13  13  14  14
Vrate kt-ft.....349 268 74  23  36  40  66  80  70  66  80  87
Ventrate Cat....GD  FR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR

.TUESDAY...

Sky/weather.........Partly sunny (50-60 percent). Chance of showers
                    early in the morning. Chance of thunderstorms
                    late in the afternoon.
Chance of thunder...32 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 81.
Min humidity........60 percent.
20-foot winds.......Southwest winds increasing to 10 to 15 mph with
                    gusts to 25 mph. Gusty and erratic winds expected
                    near thunderstorms late in the morning.
Transport winds.....Southwest 14 to 21 mph shifting to the west 22
                    to 28 mph in the late morning and afternoon.
Mixing height.......700-2000 ft AGL increasing to 2800-4000 ft AGL
                    in the late morning and afternoon.
Ventilation index...Poor to good (83.0-453.0) increasing to
                    excellent (666.0) in the late morning and
                    afternoon.

TIME (EDT)      6 AM   8 AM   10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM
Sky (%).........43     52     61     66     68     65
Weather cov.....       CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE
Weather type....NONE   RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR
Tstm cov........                     S CHC  CHANCE CHANCE
Chc of thdr (%).10     10     10     20     30     30
Temp............60     65     73     77     79     80
RH..............100    92     72     66     62     61
20 ft wind dir..S      S      SW     SW     SW     W
20 ft wind spd..9      9      12     13     13     13
20 ft wind gust.20     20     22     23     23     23
Mix hgt (ft)....700    1100   2800   3500   3900   4000
Transport wind..S 14   SW 15  SW 25  SW 26  W 26   W 24
Vrate kt-ft.....94     161    717    938    1042   956
Ventrate Cat....POOR   FAIR   EXNT   EXNT   EXNT   EXNT

$$
Forecaster...JZ
Requested by...Jeff Vasher
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2515927.0/APX
.DELDT 06/16/25
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL vasherj@michigan.gov