Spot Forecast
Issued by NWS Gaylord, MI

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FNUS73 KAPX 181420
FWSAPX

Spot Forecast for Bischoff...USFS
National Weather Service Gaylord MI
1020 AM EDT Wed Jun 18 2025

Forecast is based on forecast start time of 1000 EDT on June 18.
If conditions become unrepresentative... contact the National Weather
Service.

Please contact our office at (989)732-9306, if you have questions
or concerns with this forecast.

.DISCUSSION...Occasional mostly light rain will spread across the
burn location into this afternoon. Heavier rain and embedded
thunderstorms expected to arrive later this afternoon and evening,
with potential for well over an inch of rain by later this
evening at the burn location. Light east winds become northeast
tonight. Low mixing heights expected through tonight. Rain
gradually ends Thursday, but low level moisture will remain
abundant.

.REST OF TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (80-90 percent). Chance of
                    showers late in the morning, then showers
                    likely and chance of thunderstorms in the
                    afternoon.
Chance of thunder...28 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 71.
Min humidity........76 percent.
20-foot winds.......Light winds becoming east 5 to 7 mph in the
                    afternoon. Gusty and erratic winds expected
                    near thunderstorms late in the afternoon.
Transport winds.....East 6 to 9 mph.
Mixing height.......700-1300 ft AGL.
Ventilation index...Poor (39.0).

TIME (EDT)      10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........92  91  84  92  86  80  81  91
Weather cov.....SCH CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC LKY
Weather type....RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW
Tstm cov........                SCH SCH SCH CHC
Chc of thdr (%).10  10  10  10  20  20  20  30
Temp............66  68  69  69  69  69  69  69
RH..............84  78  78  78  78  78  76  76
20 ft wind dir..NE  NE  E   E   E   E   E   E
20 ft wind spd..3   3   6   6   6   7   7   7
20 ft wind gust.6   6   7   7   7   10  10  10
Mix hgt (kft)...0.7 0.9 0.9 1.1 1.1 1.2 1.3 1.2
Transp wind dir.E   SE  E   E   E   E   E   E
Transp wind spd.6   6   6   6   7   7   8   9
Vrate kt-ft.....39  50  50  65  76  85  108 109
Ventrate Cat....PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Cloudy (85-95 percent). Rain showers and chance
                    of thunderstorms.
Chance of thunder...32 percent.
Min temperature.....Around 59.
Max humidity........97 percent.
20-foot winds.......East winds 7 to 9 mph shifting to the northwest
                    around 6 mph after 3 am. Gusty and erratic
                    winds expected near thunderstorms in the
                    evening and overnight.
Transport winds.....East 8 to 14 mph shifting to the north 15 to 20
                    mph overnight.
Mixing height.......500-1100 ft AGL.
Ventilation index...Poor to fair (43.0-211.0).

TIME (EDT)      6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
Sky (%).........91  85  94  94  93  88  97  97  97  96  96  95
Weather cov.....LKY LKY LKY LKY LKY DEF DEF DEF DEF DEF DEF DEF
Weather type....RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RN  RN  RN  RN
Tstm cov........CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC
Chc of thdr (%).30  30  30  30  30  30  30  30  10  10  10  0
Temp............68  67  65  63  62  61  61  61  61  60  59  59
RH..............78  81  84  90  93  97  97  97  97  97  96  95
20 ft wind dir..E   E   E   NE  NE  NE  NE  NE  NE  N   N   N
20 ft wind spd..8   8   8   8   8   8   12  12  12  12  12  12
20 ft wind gust.12  12  12  15  15  15  18  18  18  18  18  18
Mix hgt (kft)...0.9 0.8 0.6 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.6 0.6 0.7 0.8 1.1 0.9
Transp wind dir.E   E   E   E   NE  NE  NE  NE  NE  N   N   N
Transp wind spd.8   8   9   9   10  13  14  15  17  20  20  20
Vrate kt-ft.....76  61  51  43  49  66  76  91  127 154 211 169
Ventrate Cat....PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  FR  FR  FR

.JUNETEENTH...

Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (70-80 percent) then becoming
                    mostly sunny (40-50 percent). Rain early in the
                    morning, then chance of showers early in the
                    morning.
Chance of thunder...20 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 77.
Min humidity........53 percent.
20-foot winds.......Northwest winds 7 to 9 mph. Gusty and erratic
                    winds expected near thunderstorms late in the
                    afternoon.
Transport winds.....North 14 to 20 mph shifting to the northwest
                    late in the afternoon.
Mixing height.......900-2700 ft AGL increasing to 3500-4700 ft AGL
                    in the afternoon.
Ventilation index...Fair to good (160.0-562.0) increasing to
                    excellent (660.0) late in the afternoon.

TIME (EDT)      6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........91  86  82  79  77  74  66  57  49  46  42  39
Weather cov.....DEF DEF CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC
Weather type....RN  RN  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW
Tstm cov........                                SCH SCH SCH SCH
Chc of thdr (%).0   0   10  10  10  10  10  10  20  20  20  20
Temp............60  60  61  63  66  69  71  73  75  76  76  76
RH..............93  94  93  88  81  73  66  61  58  55  54  53
20 ft wind dir..NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW
20 ft wind spd..10  10  10  10  10  10  12  12  12  12  12  12
20 ft wind gust.20  20  20  20  20  20  20  20  20  17  17  17
Mix hgt (kft)...0.9 0.9 1.0 1.4 1.7 2.0 2.7 3.5 4.1 4.6 4.7 4.4
Transp wind dir.N   N   N   N   N   NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW
Transp wind spd.20  18  17  15  14  15  15  16  17  17  16  15
Vrate kt-ft.....170 160 177 212 239 298 408 562 712 796 783 660
Ventrate Cat....FR  FR  FR  FR  FR  FR  GD  GD  EXL EXL EXL EXL

$$
Forecaster...MSB
Requested by...Jackson Nelson
Type of request...WILDFIRE
.TAG 2516181.0/APX
.DELDT 06/18/25
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL SM.FS.midc@usda.gov