Spot Forecast
Issued by NWS Gaylord, MI
Issued by NWS Gaylord, MI
Versions:
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FNUS73 KAPX 041439
FWSAPX
Spot Forecast for SAR Training Exercise...Oakland Co. S.O.
National Weather Service Gaylord MI
1039 AM EDT Sat Oct 4 2025
Forecast is based on forecast start time of 0800 EDT on October 06.
If conditions become unrepresentative... contact the National Weather
Service.
Please contact our office at (989)732-9306, if you have questions
or concerns with this forecast.
.DISCUSSION... Changing weather conditions anticipated through
Monday, as a cold front moves through the Straits region. Winds
may be out of the southwest at the start of the forecast period,
but will shift to the northwest through the morning and into the
afternoon. There will be some stronger gusts with this frontal
passage, perhaps in the order of 20 to 25 knots. Once this front
clears in the morning hours, anticipation is that winds will taper
quite considerably in the wake of the frontal passage through the
afternoon, with that trend carrying through the remainder of the
forecast period.
Showery activity is a solid bet through the day Monday as well...
with shower chances lingering throughout the forecast period. As
it currently stands, the best shot for showers will be Monday
morning into the afternoon in conjunction with the frontal
passage. Additional, albeit lessening with time, chances for
showers will carry through Monday night, before shower coverage
decreases considerably into Tuesday. As it currently stands,
thunder chances look quite minimal through the forecast period
with the passage of this front.
Temperatures will be cooling throughout the forecast period,
starting well into the 60s Monday morning, falling into the lower
60s by Monday afternoon. Overnight lows Monday night in the 40s to
near 50... with temperatures on Tuesday holding in the upper 50s
to near 60. Waves will generally be 2ft or less during the
forecast period, though higher wind and waves will be possible
south of Mackinac Island and into the more open waters of the
Straits and northern Lake Huron. Visibilities will largely be
unrestricted outside of rain showers, though certainly may
decrease in and around any rain showers.
For enroute and areal forecasts please contact the NWS Gaylord MI office.
.MONDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (70-80 percent). Chance of rain
showers early in the morning, then rain showers
likely early in the morning. Chance of rain
showers late in the afternoon.
Chance of pcpn......60 percent.
Chance of thunder...18 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 65 early in the morning, falling to 57-60
through the afternoon.
Surface winds.......SW winds 10 to 17 knots shifting NW 6 to 10 knots
through the morning into the afternoon. Gusts of
20-25 knots possible in the morning, becoming more
tapered by the afternoon.
Wave Height.........Waves calm to 2 feet.
Wave period.........3 seconds.
Freezing Spray......None.
Lake Surface Temp...60 Degrees Fahrenheit.
Wave Direction......321.
TIME (EDT) 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........80 82 84 87 86 85 84 85 86 88
Weather cov.....LKY LKY LKY LKY LKY LKY CHC CHC CHC CHC
Weather type....RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW
Tstm cov........
Chc of pcpn (%).60 60 60 60 60 60 50 50 50 50
Chc of thdr (%).20 20 20 10 10 10 10 10 10 10
Temp............59 59 61 62 62 62 61 61 61 60
Surface wnd dir.SW W W W NW NW NW NW NW NW
Surface wnd spd.17 14 14 14 10 10 10 9 9 9
Surface wnd gst.26 20 20 20 16 16 16 15 15 15
Wave Direction..230 270 270 270 300 300 300 320 320 320
Wave period (s).3 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2
Wave height (ft)1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1
Freezing spray..
.MONDAY NIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (65-75 percent). Chance of rain
showers early in the evening, then rain showers
likely early in the evening. Chance of rain
showers overnight.
Chance of pcpn......60 percent.
Chance of thunder...7 percent.
Min temperature.....Around 48.
Surface winds.......North winds 4 to 8 knots in the evening.
Wave Height.........Waves calm to 2 feet.
Wave period.........4 seconds.
Freezing Spray......None.
Lake Surface Temp...60 Degrees Fahrenheit.
Wave Direction......102.
TIME (EDT) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
Sky (%).........82 78 73 74 74 75 72 69 66 62 58 54
Weather cov.....CHC CHC LKY LKY LKY LKY LKY LKY CHC CHC CHC CHC
Weather type....RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW
Tstm cov........
Chc of pcpn (%).50 50 60 60 60 60 60 60 30 30 30 30
Chc of thdr (%).10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 0 0 0 0
Temp............59 57 56 54 53 52 51 51 51 50 50 50
Surface wnd dir.N N N N N N NW NW NW NW NW NW
Surface wnd spd.8 8 8 6 6 6 5 5 5 5 5 5
Surface wnd gst.13 13 13 10 10 10 8 8 8 8 8 8
Wave Direction..340 340 340 290 290 290 250 250 250 100 100 100
Wave period (s).2 2 2 2 2 2 3 3 3 4 4 4
Wave height (ft)1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1
Freezing spray..
.TUESDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (35-45 percent). Chance of rain
showers early in the morning.
Chance of pcpn......30 percent.
Chance of thunder...2 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 59.
Surface winds.......West winds 4 to 16 knots.
Wave Height.........Waves calm to 2 feet.
Wave period.........4 seconds.
Freezing Spray......None.
Lake Surface Temp...60 Degrees Fahrenheit.
Wave Direction......308.
TIME (EDT) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........49 45 40 38 37 35 35 34 34 33 31 30
Weather cov.....CHC CHC
Weather type....RW RW
Tstm cov........
Chc of pcpn (%).30 30 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10
Chc of thdr (%).0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Temp............49 49 50 51 54 55 57 58 58 59 58 57
Surface wnd dir.W W W W W W W W W NW NW NW
Surface wnd spd.6 6 6 11 11 11 14 14 14 16 16 16
Surface wnd gst.10 10 10 16 16 16 21 21 21 24 24 24
Wave Direction..170 170 170 270 270 270 290 290 290 310 310 310
Wave period (s).4 4 4 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2
Wave height (ft)1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1
Freezing spray..
$$
Forecaster...HAD
Requested by...J. Suszko
Type of request...MARINE
.TAG 2522028.0/APX
.DELDT 10/04/25
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL suszkoj@oakgov.com