329
FNUS73 KAPX 090015
FWSAPX

Spot Forecast for HVE 8/9/2026 (with SAR risk)...USNPS/SLBE
National Weather Service Gaylord MI
815 PM EDT Sat Aug 8 2026

Forecast is based on forecast start time of 1000 EDT on August 09.
If conditions become unrepresentative... contact the National Weather
Service.

Please contact our office at (989)732-9306, if you have questions
or concerns with this forecast.

.DISCUSSION...

An active weather day Sunday as a cold front approaches from the
north early, then a warm front from the south and west later. The
cold front is expected to stall north of the Leelanau Penisula,
however showers and a storm or two could form within the vicinity
of the forecast point Sunday morning. South-southwest winds will
quickly become southwest and strengthen after 10 AM EDT to 10 to
15 knots with gusts up to 20 knots lasting through the afternoon.
Better chances for showers and storms exists in the afternoon as
they form over WI and continue east over Lake MI. Gusty and
erratic winds will be possible near thunderstorms. Winds will
gradually diminish after 10 PM EDT and shift to the west, then
northwest. Chances for showers and storms continue overnight.

.SUNDAY...

Sky/weather.........Partly sunny (60-70 percent) then becoming
                    mostly cloudy (80-90 percent). Chance of
                    showers late in the afternoon.
Chance of pcpn......50 percent.
Chance of thunder...30 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 74.
Surface winds.......Southwest winds 10 to 15 knots with gusts
up to 20 knots. Stronger gusts possible
near thunderstorms.
Ceiling (kft).......21 decreasing to 7.3.
Visibility (sm).....10.
Wave Height.........Waves calm to 2 feet.
Wave period.........4 seconds.
Freezing Spray......None.
Lake Surface Temp...68 Degrees Fahrenheit.
Wave Direction......243.

TIME (EDT)      10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........63  70  88  89  93  89  84  79
Weather cov.....            CHC CHC CHC CHC SCH
Weather type....            RW  RW  RW  RW  RW
Tstm cov........
Chc of pcpn (%).10  10  10  10  50  50  50  20
Chc of thdr (%).10  10  10  10  0   0   0   10
Temp............70  71  71  71  71  71  72  71
Ceiling (kft)...22  22  21  12  9.0 9.2 7.7 7.3
Visibility (sm).10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10
Surface wnd dir.SSW SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW
Surface wnd spd.6   9   12  12  15  15  15  15
Surface wnd gst.10  12  16  19  21  21  21  21
Wave Direction..270 270 250 250 250 240 240 240
Wave period (s).4   4   3   3   3   4   4   4
Wave height (ft)1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1


.SUNDAY NIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (80-90 percent). Chance of
                    showers and slight chance of thunderstorms
                    through the night.
Chance of pcpn......30 percent.
Chance of thunder...15 percent.
Min temperature.....Around 64.
Surface winds.......Southwest winds 10 to 15 knots decreasing to
                    10 knots or less after 10 PM EDT, then
                    shifting to the northwest overnight.
Ceiling (kft).......8.1 increasing to 9.0 early in the evening,
                    decreasing to 2.2 overnight.
Visibility (sm).....8 decreasing to 5 overnight.
Wave Height.........Waves calm to 2 feet.
Wave period.........6 seconds.
Freezing Spray......None.
Lake Surface Temp...68 Degrees Fahrenheit.
Wave Direction......280.

TIME (EDT)      6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
Sky (%).........75  72  81  86  75  77  94  93  85  95  86  92
Weather cov.....SCH SCH SCH CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC SCH
Weather type....RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW
Tstm cov........                    SCH SCH SCH
Chc of pcpn (%).20  20  20  20  20  30  30  30  30  30  30  0
Chc of thdr (%).10  10  10  10  10  20  20  20  10  10  0   0
Temp............71  70  69  68  67  67  66  66  66  67  66  66
Ceiling (kft)...8.1 9.0 9.8 9.0 8.2 7.4 5.9 4.5 3.0 2.7 2.5 2.2
Visibility (sm).10  10  10  10  9   9   9   8   8   7   6   5
Surface wnd dir.SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  W   W   W   NW  NW  NW
Surface wnd spd.12  10  10  6   6   6   5   5   5   6   6   6
Surface wnd gst.20  16  14  10  9   9
Wave Direction..280 280 280 280 280 280 280 280 280 280 280 280
Wave period (s).6   6   6   6   6   6   6   6   6   6   6   6
Wave height (ft)1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1

$$
Forecaster...ELD
Requested by...Luke Wassink
Type of request...MARINE
.TAG 2619260.0/APX
.DELDT 08/08/26
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL Luke_Wassink@nps.gov