Spot Forecast
Issued by NWS Gaylord, MI

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733
FNUS73 KAPX 070552
FWSAPX

Spot Forecast for Bobcat Trail...MIDNR
National Weather Service Gaylord MI
152 AM EDT Thu May 7 2026

Forecast is based on ignition time of 1100 EDT on May 07.
If conditions become unrepresentative... contact the National Weather
Service.

Please contact our office at (989)732-9306, if you have questions
or concerns with this forecast.

.DISCUSSION...West winds at the burn site today, light this morning,
but becoming sustained generally near 10 mph late morning into the
afternoon. Occasional gusts to near 20 mph possible. By evening, winds
become light and variable before turning calm tonight. Despite a rogue
shower possible this afternoon, RHs progged to fall to the upper 20
to near 30% range with excellent RH recovery tonight. Mixing heights
progged to rise to greater than 6 kft late this morning through the
afternoon.

Similar conditions anticipated at the burn site Friday, although daytime
high temperatures likely a few degrees warmer, RHs a few percent lower,
with continued occasionally breezy daytime winds.

.REST OF TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Partly sunny (60-70 percent). Slight chance of
                    rain showers late in the morning.
Chance of thunder...4 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 50.
Min humidity........31 percent.
20-foot winds.......West winds 6 to 9 mph. Gusts up to 20 mph in
                    the afternoon.
Transport winds.....West 17 to 20 mph.
Mixing height.......5900-7300 ft AGL.
Ventilation index...Excellent (883.0).

TIME (EDT)      11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........66  73  74  72  64  64  58
Weather cov.....SCH SCH SCH
Weather type....RW  RW  RW
Tstm cov........
Chc of thdr (%).0   0   0   0   0   0   0
Temp............45  46  47  48  48  49  49
RH..............43  38  37  35  34  33  31
20 ft wind dir..W   W   W   W   W   W   W
20 ft wind spd..7   9   9   9   9   9   9
20 ft wind gust.15  20  20  20  20  20  20
Mix hgt (kft)...5.9 6.1 6.4 6.6 7.0 7.1 7.3
Transp wind dir.W   W   W   W   W   W   W
Transp wind spd.17  18  18  18  20  20  18
Vrate kt-ft.....883 976 10281061119412081169
Ventrate Cat....EXL EXL EXL EXL EXL EXL EXL

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (35-50 percent). Slight chance of
                    rain showers early in the evening. Widespread
                    frost overnight.
Chance of thunder...4 percent.
Min temperature.....Around 31.
Max humidity........92 percent.
20-foot winds.......West winds 6 to 7 mph early in the evening
                    becoming light.
Transport winds.....West 13 to 18 mph decreasing to 6 to 9 mph in
                    the late evening and overnight.
Mixing height.......5800-6700 ft AGL decreasing to 400-600 ft AGL.
Ventilation index...Excellent (806.0) decreasing to poor to good
                    (21.0-327.0) early in the evening.

TIME (EDT)      6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
Sky (%).........36  24  24  33  31  51  59  60  43  37  43  40
Weather cov.....        SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH WID WID WID WID
Weather type....        RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  FST FST FST FST
Tstm cov........
Chc of thdr (%).0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
Temp............48  48  46  42  39  36  35  34  34  32  32  32
RH..............33  34  38  46  57  67  72  75  78  85  85  89
20 ft wind dir..W   W   W   NW  NW  NW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW
20 ft wind spd..9   9   9   3   3   3   2   2   2   3   3   3
20 ft wind gust.18  18  18  9   9   9   7   7   7   8   8   8
Mix hgt (kft)...6.7 5.8 3.0 0.6 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.5 0.4 0.5 0.4
Transp wind dir.W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W   SW
Transp wind spd.18  16  13  8   7   6   7   7   8   8   9   9
Vrate kt-ft.....1066806 327 41  26  21  25  26  33  29  36  32
Ventrate Cat....EXL EXL GD  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR

.FRIDAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (25-35 percent). Widespread frost
                    early in the morning. Areas of frost early in
                    the morning.
Chance of thunder...0 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 57.
Min humidity........25 percent.
20-foot winds.......Light winds early in the morning.
Transport winds.....West 8 to 17 mph increasing to 20 to 22 mph
                    late in the morning.
Mixing height.......400-900 ft AGL increasing to 7200-8600 ft AGL.
Ventilation index...Poor to fair (29.0-249.0) increasing to
                    excellent (1292.0).

TIME (EDT)      6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........41  17  34  13  18  39  46  44  50  33  27  31
Weather cov.....WID WID ARS
Weather type....FST FST FST
Tstm cov........
Chc of thdr (%).0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
Temp............32  32  36  40  46  49  51  53  54  55  56  56
RH..............89  92  82  70  51  44  33  28  27  27  28  28
20 ft wind dir..SW  SW  SW  W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W
20 ft wind spd..3   3   3   8   8   8   12  12  12  12  12  12
20 ft wind gust.9   9   9   17  17  17  24  24  24  24  24  24
Mix hgt (kft)...0.4 0.4 0.9 2.5 5.0 6.9 7.2 7.7 8.0 8.6 8.2 7.5
Transp wind dir.W   SW  W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W
Transp wind spd.8   8   9   12  17  20  21  22  22  22  21  21
Vrate kt-ft.....29  30  75  249 752 1167129214721513164114691351
Ventrate Cat....PR  PR  PR  FR  EXL EXL EXL EXL EXL EXL EXL EXL

$$
Forecaster...MJG
Requested by...650
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2612966.0/APX
.DELDT 05/07/26
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL CORSERJ@MICHIGAN.GOV