528
FNUS73 KAPX 052033
FWSAPX

Spot Forecast for Benzie Ln Fire...MIDNR
National Weather Service Gaylord MI
433 PM EDT Sun Oct 5 2025

Forecast is based on forecast start time of 1600 EDT on October 05.
If conditions become unrepresentative... contact the National Weather
Service.

Please contact our office at (989)732-9306, if you have questions
or concerns with this forecast.

.DISCUSSION...

Southwest winds of 5 to 10 with gusts up to 18 mph will start to
become 3 to 7 mph with occasional gusts up to 15 mph this evening.
Elevated winds will likely last through the night tonight as a
cold front approaches from the northeast. Southwest winds will
strengthen again Monday morning, ahead of the front.  Winds will
turn northwest during the mid to late afternoon hours, and will be
shifty/squirrely during this transition. Min RH values in the 40s
tomorrow. A few isolated and brief showers could be seen Monday
morning, however the wetting rains will hold off until Monday
afternoon. Chances for embedded storms exist Monday afternoon and
evening. Gusty and erratic winds could be seen from outflow winds.


.REST OF TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Partly sunny (40-50 percent).
Chance of thunder...0 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 84.
Min humidity........33 percent.
20-foot winds.......Southwest winds around 8 mph with frequent gusts up to 18 mph.
Transport winds.....Southwest 24 to 25 mph.
Mixing height.......5800-6200 ft AGL.
Ventilation index...Excellent (1408.0).

TIME (EDT)      4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........51  42
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
Chc of thdr (%).0   0
Temp............83  84
RH..............36  33
20 ft wind dir..SW  SW
20 ft wind spd..12  12
20 ft wind gust.18  18
Mix hgt (kft)...6.2 5.8
Transp wind dir.SW  SW
Transp wind spd.25  24
Vrate kt-ft.....15621408
Ventrate Cat....EXL EXL

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Mostly clear (20-30 percent).
Chance of thunder...1 percent.
Min temperature.....Around 57.
Max humidity........90 percent.
20-foot winds.......Southwest winds 5 to 8 mph. Occasional gusts
up to 15 mph overnight. Transport winds.....Southwest 15 to 22 mph
decreasing to 10 to 16 mph early in the evening. Mixing
height.......4400 ft AGL decreasing to 500-1200 ft AGL.
Ventilation index...Excellent (964.0) decreasing to poor to fair
(60.0-181.0).

TIME (EDT)      6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
Sky (%).........33  27  34  38  22  31  36  33  27  21  10  7
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
Chc of thdr (%).0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
Temp............81  77  70  67  65  64  63  63  63  62  61  59
RH..............35  42  53  61  63  63  65  60  60  65  70  78
20 ft wind dir..SW  SW  SW  S   S   S   SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW
20 ft wind spd..10  10  10  6   6   6   6   6   6   7   7   7
20 ft wind gust.17  17  17  17  17  17  10  10  10  10  10  10
Mix hgt (kft)...4.4 1.2 0.6 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.6 0.6 0.5 0.6 0.7
Transp wind dir.SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW
Transp wind spd.22  15  10  12  12  13  13  15  16  16  15  16
Vrate kt-ft.....964 181 62  60  60  66  66  82  89  84  82  106
Ventrate Cat....EXL FR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR

.MONDAY...

Sky/weather.........Sunny (10-20 percent) then becoming partly
                    sunny (55-65 percent). Chance of rain showers
               in the afternoon.
Chance of thunder...22 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 80.
Min humidity........46 percent.
20-foot winds.......Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph. Gusts up to 20 mph
                    in the afternoon. Gusty and erratic winds
                    expected near thunderstorms late in the
                    afternoon.
Transport winds.....Southwest 15 to 23 mph.
Mixing height.......600-1900 ft AGL increasing to 2700-4600 ft AGL
                    late in the morning.
Ventilation index...Poor to good (90.0-391.0) increasing to good to
                    excellent (557.0-981.0) late in the morning.

TIME (EDT)      6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........7   7   14  12  18  22  52  47  58  73  71  64
Weather cov.....                                CHC CHC CHC CHC
Weather type....                                RW  RW  RW  RW
Tstm cov........                                            SCH
Chc of thdr (%).0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   10  10  10  20
Temp............59  59  58  63  69  74  76  78  79  78  77  75
RH..............80  80  90  87  73  62  58  52  49  52  52  56
20 ft wind dir..SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  W   W   W
20 ft wind spd..7   7   7   9   9   9   9   9   9   9   9   9
20 ft wind gust.18  18  18  18  18  18  20  20  20  20  20  20
Mix hgt (kft)...0.6 0.6 0.7 1.3 1.9 2.7 3.4 4.0 4.5 4.6 4.0 3.2
Transp wind dir.SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  W   W   W   SW  SW  W
Transp wind spd.15  16  15  17  21  23  22  22  22  21  18  17
Vrate kt-ft.....90  93  110 231 391 616 740 872 981 946 744 557
Ventrate Cat....PR  PR  PR  FR  GD  EXL EXL EXL EXL EXL EXL GD

$$
Forecaster...ELD
Requested by...Nate Stearns
Type of request...WILDFIRE
.TAG 2522996.0/APX
.DELDT 10/05/25
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL stearnsn@michigan.gov