753
ABNT20 KNHC 160535
TWOAT

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
200 AM EDT Wed Jul 16 2025

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of America:

Northeastern and north-central Gulf (AL93):
Surface observations indicate that a broad area of low pressure
continues to move westward across the Florida Panhandle and is
producing disorganized shower and thunderstorm activity mainly south
of its center. This system is forecast to continue moving westward,
and could emerge or redevelop over the far northeastern to
north-central portion of the Gulf, reaching the coast of Louisiana
by Thursday. If this system moves far enough offshore, environmental
conditions over the Gulf appear generally favorable for additional
development, and a tropical depression could still form over the
next couple of days before the system moves fully inland by the end
of the week.

Regardless of development, heavy rainfall could produce localized
flash flooding over portions of Florida through through today.
Heavy rainfall could also cause flash flooding for portions of the
north-central Gulf Coast beginning late today and continuing through
Friday. For additional information, please refer to products issued
by your local National Weather Service office.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...40 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...medium...40 percent.

$$
Forecaster Papin