092
ABNT20 KNHC 161136
TWOAT

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
800 AM EDT Wed Jul 16 2025

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of America:

Northeastern and north-central Gulf (AL93):
Surface and radar observations indicate that a broad area of low
pressure is moving westward across the Florida Panhandle between
Tallahassee and Panama City. The associated shower and thunderstorm
activity is disorganized and located mainly south and southwest of
the center. This system is forecast to continue moving westward, and
could emerge or redevelop over the far northeastern to north-central
portion of the Gulf later today or tonight, reaching the coast of
Louisiana by Thursday. If this system moves far enough offshore,
environmental conditions over the Gulf appear generally favorable
for additional development, and a tropical depression could still
form over the next couple of days before the system moves fully
inland by the end of the week.

Regardless of development, heavy rainfall could produce localized
flash flooding over portions of Florida through through today.
Heavy rainfall could also cause flash flooding for portions of the
north-central Gulf Coast beginning late today and continuing through
Friday. For additional information, please refer to products issued
by the Weather Prediction Center and your local National Weather
Service office.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...40 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...medium...40 percent.

$$
Forecaster Beven