964
ABNT20 KNHC 152309
TWOAT

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
800 PM EDT Tue Jul 15 2025

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of America:

Northeastern and north-central Gulf (AL93):
Satellite and radar data indicate that the low pressure area moving
across the northern Florida peninsula continues to produce
disorganized shower and thunderstorm activity, mainly to the south
and southwest of its center. The system is forecast to move
westward, and it could emerge over the far northeastern and
north-central Gulf, possibly approaching the coast of Louisiana on
Thursday. Environmental conditions over the Gulf appear generally
favorable for additional development, and a tropical depression
could form if the system moves far enough offshore over the next
couple of days.

Regardless of development, heavy rainfall could produce localized
flash flooding over portions of Florida through Wednesday. Heavy
rainfall could also cause flash flooding for portions of the
north-central Gulf Coast beginning late Wednesday and continuing
through Friday. For additional information, please refer to products
issued by your local National Weather Service office.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...40 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...medium...40 percent.

$$
Forecaster Hagen