143
ABNT20 KNHC 161727
TWOAT

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
200 PM EDT Wed Jul 16 2025

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of America:

Northeastern and north-central Gulf (AL93):
Surface and radar observations indicate that a westward-moving
broad area of low pressure is located along the coast of the
Florida Panhandle near Panama City. The associated shower and
thunderstorm activity remains disorganized and located mainly south
and southwest of the center. This system is forecast to continue
moving westward across the northern portion of the Gulf through
tonight, reaching the coast of Louisiana by Thursday. If this system
moves far enough offshore, environmental conditions over the Gulf
appear generally favorable for additional development, and a
tropical depression could form over the next day or two before
the system moves fully inland by the end of the week.

Regardless of development, heavy rainfall could produce localized
flash flooding over portions of Florida through through today.
Heavy rainfall could also cause flash flooding for portions of the
north-central Gulf Coast beginning late today and continuing through
Friday. For additional information, please refer to products issued
by the Weather Prediction Center and your local National Weather
Service office.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...40 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...medium...40 percent.

$$
Forecaster Beven