054
ABNT20 KNHC 212318
TWOAT

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
800 PM EDT Fri Jun 21 2024

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

Southwestern Atlantic Ocean (AL92):
Satellite imagery and National Weather Service Doppler radar data
indicate that the well-defined low pressure area located about 40
miles southeast of Brunswick, Georgia, is producing only minimal
shower and thunderstorm activity at this time.  The low is likely
to move inland during the next several hours, and the chances of
the system becoming a tropical depression are decreasing.
However, interests along the coasts of Georgia and northeastern
Florida should continue to monitor the progress of the system until
it moves inland.  For more information, refer to High Seas
Forecasts issued by the National Weather Service, as well as local
forecasts issued by your local National Weather Service Forecast
Office.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...40 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...medium...40 percent.

Southwestern Gulf of Mexico:
Satellite imagery and surface observations indicate a broad area of
low pressure is forming over the Bay of Campeche.  Environmental
conditions appear conducive for gradual development of this system
as it moves slowly west-northwestward or northwestward, and a
tropical depression could form over the southwestern Gulf of Mexico
this weekend.  Interests along the Gulf coast of Mexico should
monitor the progress of this system.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...50 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...medium...50 percent.

&&

High Seas Forecasts issued by the National Weather Service can be
found under AWIPS header NFDHSFAT1, WMO header FZNT01 KWBC, and
online at ocean.weather.gov/shtml/NFDHSFAT1.php.  Local National
Weather Service forecasts can be found at www.weather.gov.

$$
Forecaster Beven