978
ABNT20 KNHC 220502
TWOAT

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
200 AM EDT Sat Jun 22 2024

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

Southwestern Atlantic Ocean (AL92):
Satellite imagery, surface observations, and National Weather
Service Doppler radar data indicate that the well-defined low
pressure area is moving inland over southeastern Georgia.
Therefore, tropical cyclone formation from this system is not
expected.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...low...near 0 percent.

Southwestern Gulf of Mexico:
Satellite imagery and surface observations indicate a broad area of
low pressure is located over the Bay of Campeche.  Environmental
conditions appear conducive for gradual development of this system
as it moves slowly west-northwestward or northwestward, and a
tropical depression could form over the southwestern Gulf of Mexico
this weekend.  Interests along the Gulf coast of Mexico should
monitor the progress of this system.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...50 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...medium...50 percent.

$$
Forecaster Beven