Tropical Cyclone Probabilities
Issued by NWS

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FONT12 KNHC 222047
PWSAT2

TROPICAL STORM BERTHA WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER  14
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL022026
2100 UTC WED JUL 22 2026

AT 2100Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM BERTHA WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 29.8 NORTH...LONGITUDE 89.8 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS NEAR 40 KTS...45 MPH...75 KM/H.

Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)
   ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME
   EASTERN  DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME
   CENTRAL  DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME

WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS

CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST
   ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)...
   ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)...
   ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)...
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS

PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE
    OP  IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING
        AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY)
   (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN
        18Z WED AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)

PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT
PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN
THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT.
PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY
64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT.


  - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - -

               FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM
  TIME       18Z WED 06Z THU 18Z THU 06Z FRI 18Z FRI 18Z SAT 18Z SUN
PERIODS         TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO
             06Z THU 18Z THU 06Z FRI 18Z FRI 18Z SAT 18Z SUN 18Z MON

FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
LOCATION       KT

GULFPORT MS    34 81   X(81)   X(81)   X(81)   X(81)   X(81)   X(81)

STENNIS MS     34 65   X(65)   X(65)   X(65)   X(65)   X(65)   X(65)

BURAS LA       34 99   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)

GFAM 280N 890W 34 90   X(90)   X(90)   X(90)   X(90)   X(90)   X(90)

NEW ORLEANS LA 34 95   X(95)   X(95)   X(95)   X(95)   X(95)   X(95)

HOUMA LA       34 99   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)
HOUMA LA       50  3   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)

GFAM 280N 910W 34 36   X(36)   X(36)   X(36)   X(36)   X(36)   X(36)

BATON ROUGE LA 34 15   1(16)   X(16)   X(16)   X(16)   X(16)   X(16)

MORGAN CITY LA 34 79   2(81)   X(81)   X(81)   X(81)   X(81)   X(81)

LAFAYETTE LA   34 13   7(20)   X(20)   X(20)   X(20)   X(20)   X(20)

NEW IBERIA LA  34 27   9(36)   X(36)   X(36)   X(36)   X(36)   X(36)

GFAM 280N 930W 34  2  18(20)   X(20)   X(20)   X(20)   X(20)   X(20)

LAKE CHARLES   34  1   9(10)   X(10)   X(10)   X(10)   X(10)   X(10)

CAMERON LA     34  1  40(41)   1(42)   X(42)   X(42)   X(42)   X(42)
CAMERON LA     50  X   3( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)

KOUNTZE TX     34  X   3( 3)   2( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)

PORT ARTHUR TX 34  X  11(11)   1(12)   X(12)   X(12)   X(12)   X(12)

GALVESTON TX   34  X  20(20)  13(33)   X(33)   X(33)   X(33)   X(33)

HOUSTON TX     34  X   2( 2)   8(10)   X(10)   X(10)   X(10)   X(10)

FREEPORT TX    34  X   5( 5)  18(23)   X(23)   X(23)   X(23)   X(23)

GFAM 280N 950W 34  X   5( 5)   5(10)   X(10)   X(10)   X(10)   X(10)

HIGH ISLAND TX 34  X  19(19)   4(23)   X(23)   X(23)   X(23)   X(23)

MATAGORDA TX   34  X   1( 1)  17(18)   X(18)   X(18)   X(18)   X(18)

PORT O CONNOR  34  X   X( X)  11(11)   X(11)   X(11)   X(11)   X(11)

ROCKPORT TX    34  X   X( X)   3( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)

$$
FORECASTER BERG