671
FONT12 KNHC 220241
PWSAT2

TROPICAL STORM BERTHA WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER  11
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL022026
0300 UTC WED JUL 22 2026

AT 0300Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM BERTHA WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 29.4 NORTH...LONGITUDE 87.7 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS NEAR 50 KTS...60 MPH...95 KM/H.

Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)
   ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME
   EASTERN  DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME
   CENTRAL  DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME

WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS

CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST
   ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)...
   ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)...
   ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)...
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS

PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE
    OP  IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING
        AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY)
   (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN
        00Z WED AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)

PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT
PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN
THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT.
PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY
64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT.


  - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - -

               FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM
  TIME       00Z WED 12Z WED 00Z THU 12Z THU 00Z FRI 00Z SAT 00Z SUN
PERIODS         TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO
             12Z WED 00Z THU 12Z THU 00Z FRI 00Z SAT 00Z SUN 00Z MON

FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
LOCATION       KT

GFAM 290N 870W 34 99   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)
GFAM 290N 870W 50 50   X(50)   X(50)   X(50)   X(50)   X(50)   X(50)

GULFPORT MS    34  1   5( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)

STENNIS MS     34  X   7( 7)   X( 7)   X( 7)   X( 7)   X( 7)   X( 7)

BURAS LA       34  6  40(46)   1(47)   X(47)   X(47)   X(47)   X(47)
BURAS LA       50  X   3( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)

GFAM 280N 890W 34  5  10(15)   X(15)   X(15)   X(15)   X(15)   X(15)

NEW ORLEANS LA 34  X  11(11)   3(14)   X(14)   X(14)   X(14)   X(14)

HOUMA LA       34  X  12(12)  10(22)   X(22)   X(22)   X(22)   X(22)

GFAM 280N 910W 34  X   5( 5)   7(12)   X(12)   X(12)   X(12)   X(12)

BATON ROUGE LA 34  X   X( X)   2( 2)   X( 2)   1( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)

MORGAN CITY LA 34  X   4( 4)  11(15)   X(15)   X(15)   X(15)   X(15)

LAFAYETTE LA   34  X   X( X)   4( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)

NEW IBERIA LA  34  X   X( X)   6( 6)   1( 7)   X( 7)   X( 7)   X( 7)

GFAM 280N 930W 34  X   X( X)   6( 6)   4(10)   X(10)   X(10)   X(10)

LAKE CHARLES   34  X   X( X)   1( 1)   2( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)

CAMERON LA     34  X   X( X)   8( 8)  12(20)   X(20)   X(20)   X(20)

PORT ARTHUR TX 34  X   X( X)   X( X)   4( 4)   1( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)

GALVESTON TX   34  X   X( X)   1( 1)  17(18)   3(21)   X(21)   X(21)
GALVESTON TX   50  X   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   1( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)

HOUSTON TX     34  X   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)   2( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)

FREEPORT TX    34  X   X( X)   X( X)   4( 4)   2( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)

GFAM 280N 950W 34  X   X( X)   X( X)   8( 8)   2(10)   X(10)   X(10)

HIGH ISLAND TX 34  X   X( X)   1( 1)   5( 6)   1( 7)   X( 7)   X( 7)

MATAGORDA TX   34  X   X( X)   X( X)   8( 8)   7(15)   X(15)   X(15)

PORT O CONNOR  34  X   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)   7(10)   X(10)   X(10)

$$
FORECASTER PASCH