Tropical Cyclone Probabilities
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FONT14 KNHC 100844
PWSAT4

POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE ISAIAS WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER  15
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL092026
0900 UTC SAT OCT 10 2026

AT 0900Z THE CENTER OF POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE ISAIAS WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 32.0 NORTH...LONGITUDE 86.5 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS NEAR 30 KTS...35 MPH...55 KM/H.

Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)
   ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME
   EASTERN  DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME
   CENTRAL  DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME

WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS

CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST
   ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)...
   ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)...
   ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)...
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS

PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE
    OP  IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING
        AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY)
   (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN
        06Z SAT AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)

PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT
PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN
THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT.
PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY
64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT.


  - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - -

               FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM
  TIME       06Z SAT 18Z SAT 06Z SUN 18Z SUN 06Z MON 06Z TUE 06Z WED
PERIODS         TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO
             18Z SAT 06Z SUN 18Z SUN 06Z MON 06Z TUE 06Z WED 06Z THU

FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
LOCATION       KT

TALLAHASSEE FL 34 24   X(24)   X(24)   X(24)   X(24)   X(24)   X(24)

APALACHICOLA   34  4   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)

PANAMA CITY FL 34 96   X(96)   X(96)   X(96)   X(96)   X(96)   X(96)

DESTIN EXEC AP 34 99   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)

ALBANY GA      34 94   X(94)   X(94)   X(94)   X(94)   X(94)   X(94)

COLUMBUS GA    34 99   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)

DOTHAN AL      34 99   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)

BIRMINGHAM AL  34 77   X(77)   X(77)   X(77)   X(77)   X(77)   X(77)

MONTGOMERY AL  34 99   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)

WHITING FLD FL 34 99   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)

PENSACOLA FL   34 98   X(98)   X(98)   X(98)   X(98)   X(98)   X(98)

$$
FORECASTER BLAKE