Tropical Cyclone Probabilities
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FONT15 KNHC 010252
PWSAT5

TROPICAL STORM EDOUARD WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER   3
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL052026
0300 UTC TUE SEP 01 2026

AT 0300Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM EDOUARD WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 28.6 NORTH...LONGITUDE 91.8 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS NEAR 35 KTS...40 MPH...65 KM/H.

Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)
   ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME
   EASTERN  DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME
   CENTRAL  DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME

WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS

CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST
   ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)...
   ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)...
   ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)...
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS

PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE
    OP  IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING
        AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY)
   (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN
        00Z TUE AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)

PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT
PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN
THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT.
PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY
64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT.


  - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - -

               FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM
  TIME       00Z TUE 12Z TUE 00Z WED 12Z WED 00Z THU 00Z FRI 00Z SAT
PERIODS         TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO
             12Z TUE 00Z WED 12Z WED 00Z THU 00Z FRI 00Z SAT 00Z SUN

FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
LOCATION       KT

LAKE CHARLES   34  2  17(19)   X(19)   X(19)   X(19)   X(19)   X(19)

CAMERON LA     34 21  41(62)   1(63)   X(63)   X(63)   X(63)   X(63)
CAMERON LA     50  3  11(14)   X(14)   X(14)   X(14)   X(14)   X(14)

JASPER TX      34  X   5( 5)   3( 8)   X( 8)   X( 8)   X( 8)   X( 8)

KOUNTZE TX     34  X  19(19)   4(23)   X(23)   X(23)   X(23)   X(23)

PORT ARTHUR TX 34  2  33(35)   2(37)   X(37)   X(37)   X(37)   X(37)

GALVESTON TX   34  X  10(10)   2(12)   X(12)   X(12)   X(12)   X(12)

HOUSTON TX     34  X   2( 2)   2( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)

HIGH ISLAND TX 34  1  20(21)   1(22)   X(22)   X(22)   X(22)   X(22)

$$
FORECASTER BROWN