021
WTNT25 KNHC 100851
TCMAT5

TROPICAL STORM JERRY FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  12
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL102025
0900 UTC FRI OCT 10 2025

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 19.2N  62.5W AT 10/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  45 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 315 DEGREES AT  15 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1007 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  45 KT WITH GUSTS TO  55 KT.
34 KT.......140NE 160SE   0SW  50NW.
4 M SEAS....275NE 210SE  60SW 150NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 19.2N  62.5W AT 10/0900Z
AT 10/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 18.6N  62.2W

FORECAST VALID 10/1800Z 20.9N  63.3W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT...140NE 150SE  20SW  40NW.

FORECAST VALID 11/0600Z 23.3N  63.4W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 30NE  30SE   0SW   0NW.
34 KT...120NE 140SE  30SW  40NW.

FORECAST VALID 11/1800Z 25.9N  63.0W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 40NE  40SE   0SW   0NW.
34 KT...110NE 120SE  40SW  40NW.

FORECAST VALID 12/0600Z 28.4N  62.5W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 40NE  40SE   0SW  10NW.
34 KT...110NE 120SE  50SW  50NW.

FORECAST VALID 12/1800Z 30.5N  61.8W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 40NE  40SE  20SW  20NW.
34 KT...110NE 110SE  50SW  50NW.

FORECAST VALID 13/0600Z 31.6N  60.3W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 40NE  40SE  20SW  30NW.
34 KT...100NE 100SE  50SW  50NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 14/0600Z 31.6N  56.7W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 40NE  40SE  30SW  30NW.
34 KT... 90NE 100SE  50SW  60NW.

OUTLOOK VALID 15/0600Z 31.5N  51.4W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 20NE  30SE  20SW   0NW.
34 KT... 80NE 110SE  90SW  80NW.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 19.2N  62.5W

INTERMEDIATE PUBLIC ADVISORY...WTNT35 KNHC/MIATCPAT5...AT 10/1200Z

NEXT ADVISORY AT 10/1500Z

$$
FORECASTER REINHART