986
WTNT25 KNHC 090843
TCMAT5

TROPICAL STORM JERRY FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   8
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL102025
0900 UTC THU OCT 09 2025

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.7N  57.7W AT 09/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 290 DEGREES AT  17 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  999 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  55 KT WITH GUSTS TO  65 KT.
50 KT....... 80NE  50SE   0SW   0NW.
34 KT.......130NE 150SE   0SW  70NW.
4 M SEAS....300NE 180SE  30SW  90NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.7N  57.7W AT 09/0900Z
AT 09/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 15.5N  57.1W

FORECAST VALID 09/1800Z 17.0N  59.7W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 70NE  50SE   0SW   0NW.
34 KT...130NE 140SE  20SW  70NW.

FORECAST VALID 10/0600Z 18.8N  61.7W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 70NE  50SE   0SW  20NW.
34 KT...120NE 130SE  30SW  60NW.

FORECAST VALID 10/1800Z 21.2N  62.8W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
64 KT... 15NE   0SE   0SW   0NW.
50 KT... 70NE  50SE  10SW  20NW.
34 KT...130NE 130SE  30SW  60NW.

FORECAST VALID 11/0600Z 23.8N  63.1W
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
64 KT... 15NE  15SE   0SW  10NW.
50 KT... 70NE  50SE  20SW  30NW.
34 KT...130NE 140SE  40SW  60NW.

FORECAST VALID 11/1800Z 26.2N  62.8W
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.
64 KT... 20NE  15SE  10SW  10NW.
50 KT... 70NE  60SE  20SW  30NW.
34 KT...130NE 140SE  60SW  70NW.

FORECAST VALID 12/0600Z 28.4N  62.2W
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.
64 KT... 20NE  20SE  10SW  15NW.
50 KT... 60NE  60SE  20SW  30NW.
34 KT...130NE 140SE  60SW  80NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 13/0600Z 31.7N  60.1W
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
50 KT... 50NE  50SE  30SW  40NW.
34 KT...110NE 120SE  70SW  80NW.

OUTLOOK VALID 14/0600Z 31.8N  54.7W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
50 KT... 50NE  60SE  50SW  40NW.
34 KT...100NE 120SE  90SW  80NW.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 15.7N  57.7W

INTERMEDIATE PUBLIC ADVISORY...WTNT35 KNHC/MIATCPAT5...AT 09/1200Z

NEXT ADVISORY AT 09/1500Z

$$
FORECASTER REINHART