336
WTNT25 KNHC 092034
TCMAT5

TROPICAL STORM JERRY FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  10
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL102025
2100 UTC THU OCT 09 2025

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.3N  60.6W AT 09/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 300 DEGREES AT  16 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1001 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  55 KT WITH GUSTS TO  65 KT.
50 KT....... 70NE  70SE   0SW   0NW.
34 KT.......150NE 150SE   0SW  70NW.
4 M SEAS....275NE 180SE  60SW 120NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.3N  60.6W AT 09/2100Z
AT 09/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 16.8N  60.1W

FORECAST VALID 10/0600Z 18.6N  62.0W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 70NE  70SE   0SW   0NW.
34 KT...140NE 140SE  30SW  80NW.

FORECAST VALID 10/1800Z 21.0N  63.1W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 60NE  60SE   0SW  20NW.
34 KT...120NE 140SE  40SW  60NW.

FORECAST VALID 11/0600Z 23.7N  63.4W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 60NE  60SE   0SW  20NW.
34 KT...110NE 140SE  50SW  50NW.

FORECAST VALID 11/1800Z 26.5N  63.2W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
64 KT... 15NE  15SE   0SW   0NW.
50 KT... 50NE  50SE  20SW  30NW.
34 KT...100NE 130SE  50SW  50NW.

FORECAST VALID 12/0600Z 28.4N  62.9W
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
64 KT... 15NE  15SE   0SW   0NW.
50 KT... 50NE  50SE  20SW  30NW.
34 KT...100NE 130SE  60SW  60NW.

FORECAST VALID 12/1800Z 30.7N  61.3W
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
64 KT... 15NE  15SE   0SW   0NW.
50 KT... 50NE  50SE  20SW  30NW.
34 KT...100NE 130SE  60SW  60NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 13/1800Z 32.3N  57.9W
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
50 KT... 50NE  50SE  20SW  30NW.
34 KT...100NE 120SE  60SW  60NW.

OUTLOOK VALID 14/1800Z 32.2N  51.0W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
50 KT... 50NE  60SE  50SW  40NW.
34 KT... 90NE 120SE 100SW  80NW.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 17.3N  60.6W

INTERMEDIATE PUBLIC ADVISORY...WTNT35 KNHC/MIATCPAT5...AT 10/0000Z

NEXT ADVISORY AT 10/0300Z

$$
FORECASTER CANGIALOSI