Marine/Aviation Tropical Cyclone Advisory
Issued by NWS

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459
WTNT25 KNHC 222030
TCMAT5

POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE ERIN FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  46
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL052025
2100 UTC FRI AUG 22 2025

POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 40.0N  59.7W AT 22/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  20 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE EAST-NORTHEAST OR  65 DEGREES AT  29 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  957 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  80 KT WITH GUSTS TO 100 KT.
64 KT....... 90NE 110SE 110SW 100NW.
50 KT.......180NE 190SE 170SW 150NW.
34 KT.......380NE 330SE 270SW 280NW.
4 M SEAS....330NE 480SE 780SW 360NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 40.0N  59.7W AT 22/2100Z
AT 22/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 39.4N  61.4W

FORECAST VALID 23/0600Z 41.5N  54.5W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
64 KT... 80NE 100SE 100SW  90NW.
50 KT...180NE 190SE 170SW 150NW.
34 KT...360NE 350SE 300SW 280NW.

FORECAST VALID 23/1800Z 44.0N  45.5W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.
64 KT...  0NE 120SE 120SW  90NW.
50 KT...140NE 190SE 170SW 120NW.
34 KT...400NE 360SE 320SW 260NW.

FORECAST VALID 24/0600Z 48.0N  35.5W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.
64 KT...  0NE 120SE 150SW  60NW.
50 KT...120NE 190SE 180SW 100NW.
34 KT...370NE 420SE 400SW 260NW.

FORECAST VALID 24/1800Z 52.0N  27.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.
64 KT...  0NE 120SE 150SW  50NW.
50 KT...120NE 220SE 200SW 120NW.
34 KT...350NE 400SE 380SW 300NW.

FORECAST VALID 25/0600Z 55.0N  23.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
64 KT...  0NE  60SE  60SW   0NW.
50 KT...100NE 200SE 180SW 120NW.
34 KT...350NE 440SE 450SW 320NW.

FORECAST VALID 25/1800Z 58.0N  21.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT...  0NE  90SE  90SW   0NW.
34 KT...330NE 420SE 550SW 300NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 26/1800Z 59.0N  21.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT...180NE 300SE 480SW 210NW.

OUTLOOK VALID 27/1800Z 57.0N  17.5W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT...  0NE 200SE 330SW 120NW.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 40.0N  59.7W

THIS IS THE LAST FORECAST/ADVISORY ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE
CENTER ON THIS SYSTEM. ADDITIONAL INFORMATION ON THIS SYSTEM CAN BE
FOUND IN HIGH SEAS FORECASTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE...UNDER AWIPS HEADER NFDHSFAT1 AND WMO HEADER FZNT01 KWBC.


$$
FORECASTER BLAKE