946
WTNT25 KNHC 081451
TCMAT5

TROPICAL STORM JERRY FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   5
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL102025
1500 UTC WED OCT 08 2025

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 13.9N  52.7W AT 08/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 290 DEGREES AT  20 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1003 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  50 KT WITH GUSTS TO  60 KT.
50 KT....... 50NE  50SE   0SW   0NW.
34 KT.......110NE 100SE   0SW  70NW.
4 M SEAS....240NE 240SE  30SW  60NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 13.9N  52.7W AT 08/1500Z
AT 08/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 13.3N  51.6W

FORECAST VALID 09/0000Z 14.7N  55.1W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 50NE  40SE   0SW   0NW.
34 KT...120NE 110SE  30SW  80NW.

FORECAST VALID 09/1200Z 16.1N  58.2W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 50NE  40SE   0SW  20NW.
34 KT...120NE 110SE  30SW  80NW.

FORECAST VALID 10/0000Z 17.9N  60.5W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 50NE  40SE   0SW  20NW.
34 KT...120NE 120SE  40SW  70NW.

FORECAST VALID 10/1200Z 20.0N  61.9W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
64 KT... 25NE  20SE   0SW  15NW.
50 KT... 50NE  40SE  20SW  30NW.
34 KT...120NE 120SE  50SW  70NW.

FORECAST VALID 11/0000Z 22.5N  62.4W
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
64 KT... 25NE  25SE   0SW  15NW.
50 KT... 50NE  60SE  20SW  30NW.
34 KT...110NE 120SE  50SW  70NW.

FORECAST VALID 11/1200Z 25.1N  62.2W
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
64 KT... 25NE  25SE   0SW  15NW.
50 KT... 50NE  60SE  20SW  30NW.
34 KT...110NE 140SE  60SW  80NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 12/1200Z 29.6N  61.0W
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
50 KT... 50NE  60SE  30SW  30NW.
34 KT...110NE 150SE  80SW  90NW.

OUTLOOK VALID 13/1200Z 32.7N  56.9W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
50 KT... 50NE  60SE  40SW  30NW.
34 KT... 80NE 120SE  90SW  60NW.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 13.9N  52.7W

INTERMEDIATE PUBLIC ADVISORY...WTNT35 KNHC/MIATCPAT5...AT 08/1800Z

NEXT ADVISORY AT 08/2100Z

$$
FORECASTER BERG