038
WTNT25 KNHC 091439
TCMAT5

TROPICAL STORM JERRY FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   9
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL102025
1500 UTC THU OCT 09 2025

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.9N  59.1W AT 09/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 285 DEGREES AT  16 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  999 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  55 KT WITH GUSTS TO  65 KT.
50 KT....... 80NE  50SE   0SW   0NW.
34 KT.......130NE 150SE   0SW  70NW.
4 M SEAS....275NE 180SE  30SW  90NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.9N  59.1W AT 09/1500Z
AT 09/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 15.6N  58.5W

FORECAST VALID 10/0000Z 17.1N  60.9W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 70NE  50SE   0SW   0NW.
34 KT...130NE 140SE  30SW  70NW.

FORECAST VALID 10/1200Z 19.0N  62.4W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 70NE  50SE   0SW  20NW.
34 KT...120NE 140SE  40SW  60NW.

FORECAST VALID 11/0000Z 21.7N  63.1W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
64 KT... 15NE   0SE   0SW   0NW.
50 KT... 70NE  50SE  10SW  20NW.
34 KT...130NE 140SE  40SW  60NW.

FORECAST VALID 11/1200Z 24.2N  63.2W
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
64 KT... 15NE  15SE   0SW  10NW.
50 KT... 60NE  50SE  20SW  30NW.
34 KT...120NE 140SE  50SW  50NW.

FORECAST VALID 12/0000Z 26.5N  62.9W
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
64 KT... 20NE  15SE   0SW  10NW.
50 KT... 70NE  60SE  20SW  30NW.
34 KT...120NE 130SE  60SW  60NW.

FORECAST VALID 12/1200Z 28.5N  62.4W
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.
64 KT... 20NE  20SE  10SW  15NW.
50 KT... 60NE  60SE  20SW  30NW.
34 KT...110NE 130SE  60SW  70NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 13/1200Z 31.3N  59.4W
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.
50 KT... 50NE  50SE  30SW  40NW.
34 KT...100NE 120SE  70SW  70NW.

OUTLOOK VALID 14/1200Z 31.4N  54.6W
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
50 KT... 50NE  60SE  50SW  40NW.
34 KT... 90NE 120SE  90SW  80NW.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 15.9N  59.1W

INTERMEDIATE PUBLIC ADVISORY...WTNT35 KNHC/MIATCPAT5...AT 09/1800Z

NEXT ADVISORY AT 09/2100Z

$$
FORECASTER CANGIALOSI