103
WTNT25 KNHC 110856
TCMAT5

TROPICAL STORM JERRY FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  16
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL102025
0900 UTC SAT OCT 11 2025

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 24.5N  63.4W AT 11/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  45 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH OR   5 DEGREES AT  14 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1004 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  50 KT WITH GUSTS TO  60 KT.
50 KT.......  0NE  60SE   0SW   0NW.
34 KT.......150NE 180SE   0SW   0NW.
4 M SEAS....275NE 210SE  90SW 150NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 24.5N  63.4W AT 11/0900Z
AT 11/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 23.5N  63.7W

FORECAST VALID 11/1800Z 26.4N  63.2W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT...140NE 170SE   0SW   0NW.

FORECAST VALID 12/0600Z 29.0N  62.6W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT...130NE 140SE   0SW   0NW.

FORECAST VALID 12/1800Z 31.1N  61.9W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT...120NE 120SE  20SW   0NW.

FORECAST VALID 13/0600Z 33.0N  60.6W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 90NE 100SE  30SW   0NW.

FORECAST VALID 13/1800Z 33.2N  58.5W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 70NE  80SE  30SW   0NW.

FORECAST VALID 14/0600Z 32.5N  56.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT... 30NE  60SE  50SW   0NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 15/0600Z...DISSIPATED

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 24.5N  63.4W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 11/1500Z

$$
FORECASTER REINHART