019
FGUS63 KKRF 301512
ESPBBL

HYDROLOGIC ENSEMBLE FORECAST SERVICE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE
MISSOURI BASIN RIVER FORECAST CENTER PLEASANT HILL MO
1511Z Wed Sep 30 2026

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**** THESE ARE 10 DAY FORECASTS PRODUCED WITH HEFS  ****

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Hydrologic Ensemble Forecast Service (HEFS) probabilities
are displayed in the table below. The table lists the flood
categories and probability of exceeding each category in the
next 10 days.

-- BIG BLUE FORECAST GROUP --
                ISSUANCE       MINOR        MODERATE       MAJOR
               STG   PROB    STG   PROB    STG   PROB    STG   PROB
:BIG BLUE R AT SURPRISE NE NO.2
SRPN1 (OAX)    6.0   23%     7.0   22%     10.0  12%     12.0  <5%
:LINCOLN CR AT SEWARD NE 3WNW
SWDN1 (OAX)    13.0  97%     15.0  88%     17.0  66%     20.0  6%
:BIG BLUE R AT SEWARD NE
SWRN1 (OAX)    16.0  32%     18.0  25%     22.0  7%      27.0  <5%
:W FK BIG BLUE R AT DORCHESTER NE 6NW
DRGN1 (OAX)    13.0  84%     15.0  69%     22.0  20%     24.4  11%
:BIG BLUE R AT CRETE NE 2S
CRTN1 (OAX)    19.0  97%     21.0  97%     25.0  68%     31.0  16%
:TURKEY CR AT WILBER NE 3W
WLBN1 (OAX)    11.0  97%     12.5  93%     16.0  23%     21.0  <5%
:TURKEY CR AT DEWITT NE 2SE
DEWN1 (OAX)    21.5  97%     23.5  82%     25.0  51%     27.0  16%
:BIG BLUE R AT BEATRICE NE
BEAN1 (OAX)    16.0  97%     18.0  92%     26.0  26%     32.0  <5%
:BIG BLUE R AT BARNESTON NE
BARN1 (OAX)    18.0  97%     20.0  92%     27.0  31%     33.0  <5%
:BIG BLUE R AT MARYSVILLE KS
MRYK1 (TOP)    33.0  64%     35.0  44%     38.2  17%     43.0  <5%
:LITTLE BLUE R AT DEWEESE NE 4SE
DWEN1 (GID)    8.0   79%     10.0  55%     16.0  25%     17.0  23%
:LITTLE BLUE R AT FAIRBURY NE
FRBN1 (OAX)    17.0  56%     18.5  36%     20.0  31%     23.0  18%
:LITTLE BLUE R AT HOLLENBERG KS
HBGK1 (TOP)    17.0  31%     19.0  24%     19.4  23%     45.0  <5%
:MILL CR AT WASHINGTON KS 1ESE
WSHK1 (TOP)    16.0  55%     18.0  33%     19.0  26%     35.0  5%
:LITTLE BLUE R AT BARNES KS 4NE
BANK1 (TOP)    14.0  97%     16.0  84%     23.0  25%     39.0  <5%
:BLACK VERMILLION R AT FRANKFORT KS
FKFK1 (TOP)    17.0  79%     19.0  72%     27.5  37%     40.5  <5%
:BIG BLUE R AT BLO TUTTLE CREEK RES
MNTK1 (TOP)    17.0  <5%     19.0  <5%     27.0  <5%     30.0  <5%

:END OF MESSAGE

$$