144
FGUS63 KKRF 251512
ESPBBL

HYDROLOGIC ENSEMBLE FORECAST SERVICE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE
MISSOURI BASIN RIVER FORECAST CENTER PLEASANT HILL MO
1512Z Fri Sep 25 2026

********************************************************

**** THESE ARE 10 DAY FORECASTS PRODUCED WITH HEFS  ****

********************************************************

Hydrologic Ensemble Forecast Service (HEFS) probabilities
are displayed in the table below. The table lists the flood
categories and probability of exceeding each category in the
next 10 days.

-- BIG BLUE FORECAST GROUP --
                ISSUANCE       MINOR        MODERATE       MAJOR
               STG   PROB    STG   PROB    STG   PROB    STG   PROB
:BIG BLUE R AT SURPRISE NE NO.2
SRPN1 (OAX)    6.0   32%     7.0   28%     10.0  7%      12.0  <5%
:LINCOLN CR AT SEWARD NE 3WNW
SWDN1 (OAX)    13.0  97%     15.0  75%     17.0  50%     20.0  8%
:BIG BLUE R AT SEWARD NE
SWRN1 (OAX)    16.0  46%     18.0  34%     22.0  5%      27.0  <5%
:W FK BIG BLUE R AT DORCHESTER NE 6NW
DRGN1 (OAX)    13.0  82%     15.0  70%     22.0  10%     24.4  <5%
:BIG BLUE R AT CRETE NE 2S
CRTN1 (OAX)    19.0  97%     21.0  97%     25.0  73%     31.0  14%
:TURKEY CR AT WILBER NE 3W
WLBN1 (OAX)    11.0  93%     12.5  89%     16.0  26%     21.0  <5%
:TURKEY CR AT DEWITT NE 2SE
DEWN1 (OAX)    21.5  76%     23.5  51%     25.0  33%     27.0  <5%
:BIG BLUE R AT BEATRICE NE
BEAN1 (OAX)    16.0  85%     18.0  80%     26.0  34%     32.0  <5%
:BIG BLUE R AT BARNESTON NE
BARN1 (OAX)    18.0  71%     20.0  61%     27.0  16%     33.0  <5%
:BIG BLUE R AT MARYSVILLE KS
MRYK1 (TOP)    33.0  27%     35.0  21%     38.2  10%     43.0  <5%
:LITTLE BLUE R AT DEWEESE NE 4SE
DWEN1 (GID)    8.0   74%     10.0  55%     16.0  15%     17.0  11%
:LITTLE BLUE R AT FAIRBURY NE
FRBN1 (OAX)    17.0  46%     18.5  36%     20.0  24%     23.0  <5%
:LITTLE BLUE R AT HOLLENBERG KS
HBGK1 (TOP)    17.0  20%     19.0  6%      19.4  6%      45.0  <5%
:MILL CR AT WASHINGTON KS 1ESE
WSHK1 (TOP)    16.0  27%     18.0  20%     19.0  19%     35.0  <5%
:LITTLE BLUE R AT BARNES KS 4NE
BANK1 (TOP)    14.0  81%     16.0  75%     23.0  28%     39.0  <5%
:BLACK VERMILLION R AT FRANKFORT KS
FKFK1 (TOP)    17.0  70%     19.0  68%     27.5  21%     40.5  <5%
:BIG BLUE R AT BLO TUTTLE CREEK RES
MNTK1 (TOP)    17.0  <5%     19.0  <5%     27.0  <5%     30.0  <5%

:END OF MESSAGE

$$