River Forecast
Issued by NWS
Issued by NWS
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FGUS53 KKRF 040106
RVFBBL
RIVER FORECAST
NWS MISSOURI BASIN RIVER FORECAST CENTER PLEASANT HILL MO
0103Z WED NOV 4 2026
:
: THIS PRODUCT HAS PRELIMINARY DATA AND SUBJECT TO REVISION.
: REFER TO YOUR LOCAL WFO FOR THE LATEST OFFICIAL RIVER FORECAST.
: FORECAST GROUP IS BIGBLUE
: *** EVENING FORECAST ***
: ==> This forecast includes obsd precip & 48 hours of QPF
RIVER/STATION FS TDY F O R E C A S T
LINCOLN CREEK
SEWARD 3 WNW NE 15.0 11.2 CREST NEAR 14.0 FT 11/04
EARLY PM
W FK BIG BLUE RIVER
DORCHESTER 6 NW NE 15.0 4.1 CREST NEAR 14.8 FT 11/06 PM
BIG BLUE RIVER
CRETE 2 S NE 21.0 9.3 CREST NEAR 19.8 FT 11/07 AM
LITTLE BLUE RIVER
DEWEESE 4 SE NE 10.0 6.7 CREST NEAR 8.8 FT 11/04
EARLY AM
BARNES 4 NE KS 16.0 4.8 CREST NEAR 15.4 FT 11/05 AM
BIG BLUE RIVER
BLUE RAPIDS NO.2 KS 26.0 17.2 CREST NEAR 26.1 FT 11/05 PM
:________________________________________________________________
:SEWARD 3 WNW, NE - LINCOLN CREEK HSA - OAX
:MINOR FLOOD STAGE 15.0 FT FCST ISSUANCE STAGE 13.0 FT
:MODERATE FLOOD STAGE 17.0 FT MAJOR FLOOD STAGE 20.0 FT
:LATEST RIVER STAGE 11.2 FT AT 0045Z ON NOV 04
:obs Stage / 06Z / 12Z / 18Z / 00Z
: 1103 / 4.4 / 4.7 / 8.7 / 11.1
:
.AR :CREST: SWDN1 1104 Z DC202611040103/DH1800/HGIFFXZ 14.0
.ER SWDN1 20261104 Z DC202611040103/DH06/HGIFFZZ/DIH6
:Stage Fcst / 12Z / 18Z / 00Z / 06Z
.E1 : 1103 : / 12.0
.E2 : 1104 : / 12.9 / 14.0 / 13.8 / 12.6
.E3 : 1105 : / 11.4 / 10.5 / 9.8 / 9.4
.E4 : 1106 : / 9.1 / 9.0 / 8.9 / 8.7
.E5 : 1107 : / 8.6 / 8.4 / 8.2 / 8.0
.E6 : 1108 : / 7.7 / 7.5 / 7.2
:Local observed 6-hr basin-averaged precip(inches) (PAST 24 hrs):
: / 06Z / 12Z / 18Z / 00Z
: 1103 / 0.83 / 0.40 / 0.41 / 0.16
:
:Local observed 24-hr basin-averaged precip total
: QPE Total Ending Nov 4 at 00Z is 1.80 inches
:
:Local forecast 6-hr basin-averaged precip(inches) (NEXT 48 hrs):
: / 12Z / 18Z / 00Z / 06Z
: 1103 / 0.00
: 1104 / 0.00 / 0.00 / 0.00 / 0.00
: 1105 / 0.02 / 0.00 / 0.00
:
:Local forecast 48-hr basin-averaged precip total
: QPF Total Ending Nov 06 0.02 inches
:________________________________________________________________
:DORCHESTER 6 NW, NE - W FK BIG BLUE RIVER HSA - OAX
:MINOR FLOOD STAGE 15.0 FT FCST ISSUANCE STAGE 13.0 FT
:MODERATE FLOOD STAGE 22.0 FT MAJOR FLOOD STAGE 24.4 FT
:LATEST RIVER STAGE 4.1 FT AT 0000Z ON NOV 04
:obs Stage / 06Z / 12Z / 18Z / 00Z
: 1103 / 3.3 / 3.5 / 3.8 / 4.1
:
.AR :CREST: DRGN1 1107 Z DC202611040103/DH0000/HGIFFXZ 14.8
.ER DRGN1 20261104 Z DC202611040103/DH06/HGIFFZZ/DIH6
:Stage Fcst / 12Z / 18Z / 00Z / 06Z
.E1 : 1103 : / 4.1
.E2 : 1104 : / 4.0 / 4.8 / 6.6 / 9.2
.E3 : 1105 : / 11.1 / 12.3 / 13.3 / 14.1
.E4 : 1106 : / 14.6 / 14.7 / 14.8 / 14.6
.E5 : 1107 : / 14.2 / 13.7 / 13.1 / 12.3
.E6 : 1108 : / 11.5 / 10.6 / 9.7
:Local observed 6-hr basin-averaged precip(inches) (PAST 24 hrs):
: / 06Z / 12Z / 18Z / 00Z
: 1103 / 0.33 / 0.38 / 0.32 / 0.20
:
:Local observed 24-hr basin-averaged precip total
: QPE Total Ending Nov 4 at 00Z is 1.23 inches
:
:Local forecast 6-hr basin-averaged precip(inches) (NEXT 48 hrs):
: / 12Z / 18Z / 00Z / 06Z
: 1103 / 0.00
: 1104 / 0.00 / 0.00 / 0.00 / 0.00
: 1105 / 0.02 / 0.00 / 0.00
:
:Local forecast 48-hr basin-averaged precip total
: QPF Total Ending Nov 06 0.02 inches
:________________________________________________________________
:CRETE 2 S, NE - BIG BLUE RIVER HSA - OAX
:MINOR FLOOD STAGE 21.0 FT FCST ISSUANCE STAGE 19.0 FT
:MODERATE FLOOD STAGE 25.0 FT MAJOR FLOOD STAGE 31.0 FT
:LATEST RIVER STAGE 9.3 FT AT 0045Z ON NOV 04
:obs Stage / 06Z / 12Z / 18Z / 00Z
: 1103 / 9.1 / 9.0 / 9.1 / 9.2
:
.AR :CREST: CRTN1 1107 Z DC202611040103/DH1200/HGIFFXZ 19.8
.ER CRTN1 20261104 Z DC202611040103/DH06/HGIFFZZ/DIH6
:Stage Fcst / 12Z / 18Z / 00Z / 06Z
.E1 : 1103 : / 12.2
.E2 : 1104 : / 14.0 / 15.1 / 15.2 / 15.0
.E3 : 1105 : / 15.1 / 15.9 / 16.9 / 17.7
.E4 : 1106 : / 18.4 / 19.1 / 19.5 / 19.7
.E5 : 1107 : / 19.8 / 19.7 / 19.4 / 18.9
.E6 : 1108 : / 18.4 / 17.7 / 17.0
:Local observed 6-hr basin-averaged precip(inches) (PAST 24 hrs):
: / 06Z / 12Z / 18Z / 00Z
: 1103 / 0.22 / 0.35 / 0.26 / 0.11
:
:Local observed 24-hr basin-averaged precip total
: QPE Total Ending Nov 4 at 00Z is 0.94 inches
:
:Local forecast 6-hr basin-averaged precip(inches) (NEXT 48 hrs):
: / 12Z / 18Z / 00Z / 06Z
: 1103 / 0.01
: 1104 / 0.00 / 0.00 / 0.00 / 0.00
: 1105 / 0.01 / 0.00 / 0.00
:
:Local forecast 48-hr basin-averaged precip total
: QPF Total Ending Nov 06 0.02 inches
:________________________________________________________________
:DEWEESE 4 SE, NE - LITTLE BLUE RIVER HSA - GID
:MINOR FLOOD STAGE 10.0 FT FCST ISSUANCE STAGE 8.0 FT
:MODERATE FLOOD STAGE 16.0 FT MAJOR FLOOD STAGE 17.0 FT
:LATEST RIVER STAGE 6.7 FT AT 0015Z ON NOV 04
:obs Stage / 06Z / 12Z / 18Z / 00Z
: 1103 / 2.6 / 3.0 / 3.7 / 6.7
:
.AR :CREST: DWEN1 1104 Z DC202611040103/DH0600/HGIFFXZ 8.8
.ER DWEN1 20261104 Z DC202611040103/DH06/HGIFFZZ/DIH6
:Stage Fcst / 12Z / 18Z / 00Z / 06Z
.E1 : 1103 : / 8.8
.E2 : 1104 : / 8.7 / 7.6 / 7.2 / 6.8
.E3 : 1105 : / 6.4 / 6.1 / 5.8 / 5.5
.E4 : 1106 : / 5.2 / 4.9 / 4.6 / 4.3
.E5 : 1107 : / 3.9 / 3.6 / 3.4 / 3.2
.E6 : 1108 : / 3.1 / 3.0 / 2.9
:Local observed 6-hr basin-averaged precip(inches) (PAST 24 hrs):
: / 06Z / 12Z / 18Z / 00Z
: 1103 / 0.66 / 0.28 / 0.72 / 0.04
:
:Local observed 24-hr basin-averaged precip total
: QPE Total Ending Nov 4 at 00Z is 1.70 inches
:
:Local forecast 6-hr basin-averaged precip(inches) (NEXT 48 hrs):
: / 12Z / 18Z / 00Z / 06Z
: 1103 / 0.00
: 1104 / 0.00 / 0.00 / 0.00 / 0.00
: 1105 / 0.01 / 0.00 / 0.00
:
:Local forecast 48-hr basin-averaged precip total
: QPF Total Ending Nov 06 0.01 inches
:________________________________________________________________
:BARNES 4 NE, KS - LITTLE BLUE RIVER HSA - TOP
:MINOR FLOOD STAGE 16.0 FT FCST ISSUANCE STAGE 14.0 FT
:MODERATE FLOOD STAGE 23.0 FT MAJOR FLOOD STAGE 39.0 FT
:LATEST RIVER STAGE 4.8 FT AT 0030Z ON NOV 04
:obs Stage / 06Z / 12Z / 18Z / 00Z
: 1103 / 4.7 / 4.8 / 4.8 / 4.8
:
.AR :CREST: BANK1 1105 Z DC202611040103/DH1200/HGIFFXZ 15.4
.ER BANK1 20261104 Z DC202611040103/DH06/HGIFFZZ/DIH6
:Stage Fcst / 12Z / 18Z / 00Z / 06Z
.E1 : 1103 : / 5.4
.E2 : 1104 : / 6.5 / 9.0 / 12.4 / 14.7
.E3 : 1105 : / 15.4 / 15.2 / 14.5 / 13.6
.E4 : 1106 : / 12.8 / 11.8 / 10.7 / 9.7
.E5 : 1107 : / 9.0 / 8.3 / 7.8 / 7.4
.E6 : 1108 : / 7.2 / 6.9 / 6.7
:Local observed 6-hr basin-averaged precip(inches) (PAST 24 hrs):
: / 06Z / 12Z / 18Z / 00Z
: 1103 / 0.03 / 0.05 / 0.12 / 0.00
:
:Local observed 24-hr basin-averaged precip total
: QPE Total Ending Nov 4 at 00Z is 0.20 inches
:
:Local forecast 6-hr basin-averaged precip(inches) (NEXT 48 hrs):
: / 12Z / 18Z / 00Z / 06Z
: 1103 / 0.00
: 1104 / 0.00 / 0.00 / 0.00 / 0.00
: 1105 / 0.00 / 0.00 / 0.00
:
:Local forecast 48-hr basin-averaged precip total
: QPF Total Ending Nov 06 0.00 inches
:________________________________________________________________
:BLUE RAPIDS NO.2, KS - BIG BLUE RIVER HSA - TOP
:MINOR FLOOD STAGE 26.0 FT FCST ISSUANCE STAGE 24.0 FT
:MODERATE FLOOD STAGE 52.0 FT MAJOR FLOOD STAGE 68.0 FT
:LATEST RIVER STAGE 17.2 FT AT 0015Z ON NOV 04
:obs Stage / 06Z / 12Z / 18Z / 00Z
: 1103 / 17.4 / 17.3 / 17.2 / 17.2
:
:RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE AROUND 21Z ON 11/05/2026
.AR :CREST: BLRK1 1106 Z DC202611040103/DH0000/HGIFFXZ 26.1
:FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE AROUND 03Z ON 11/06/2026
.ER BLRK1 20261104 Z DC202611040103/DH06/HGIFFZZ/DIH6
:Stage Fcst / 12Z / 18Z / 00Z / 06Z
.E1 : 1103 : / 17.1
.E2 : 1104 : / 17.5 / 18.2 / 20.1 / 22.0
.E3 : 1105 : / 24.2 / 25.6 / 26.1 / 25.8
.E4 : 1106 : / 25.3 / 24.7 / 24.2 / 23.6
.E5 : 1107 : / 22.8 / 22.2 / 21.8 / 21.5
.E6 : 1108 : / 21.4 / 21.3 / 21.2
:Local observed 6-hr basin-averaged precip(inches) (PAST 24 hrs):
: / 06Z / 12Z / 18Z / 00Z
: 1103 / 0.02 / 0.00 / 0.02 / 0.00
:
:Local observed 24-hr basin-averaged precip total
: QPE Total Ending Nov 4 at 00Z is 0.04 inches
:
:Local forecast 6-hr basin-averaged precip(inches) (NEXT 48 hrs):
: / 12Z / 18Z / 00Z / 06Z
: 1103 / 0.00
: 1104 / 0.00 / 0.00 / 0.00 / 0.00
: 1105 / 0.00 / 0.00 / 0.00
:
:Local forecast 48-hr basin-averaged precip total
: QPF Total Ending Nov 06 0.00 inches
:****************************************************************
:COMMENT
:
:
:HSA - Hydrologic Service Area
:WFO - Weather Forecast Office
:OAX - NWS WFO Omaha, Nebraska
:TOP - NWS WFO Topeka, Kansas
:GID - NWS WFO Hastings, Nebraska
:OBS - Observed
:EST - Estimated
:M - Missing
:Stage Fcst - River Stage forecast including future precipitation
:Flow Fcst - River Flow forecast including future precipitation
:Precip - Precipitation
:QPE - Observed radar estimated precipitation
:QPF - Forecasted mean areal precipitation for local basin
:
:
$$
:MBRFC VJD
:...END of MESSAGE...