Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Binghamton, NY
Issued by NWS Binghamton, NY
388
FNUS51 KBGM 021931
FWFBGM
Fire Weather Planning Forecast for Central NY/Northeast PA
National Weather Service Binghamton NY
330 PM EDT Wed Apr 2 2025
.FIRE WEATHER...
This morning and early afternoon will see low RH values in the
25-35% range for several hours before moisture increases late in
the day or early evening. South winds increase in the afternoon
between 10-20 mph with some higher gusts, especially in the mid
to late afternoon. Also, temperatures will be warming up into
the lower 50s for the lower elevations and valleys. There should
be a 4 to 5 hour window where RH and winds get to near critical
thresholds from about 1200 to 1600/1700 EDT. This will be
dependent on incoming moisture in the afternoon and this window
may increase/decrease depending on the exact timing of incoming
moisture advection. At this time, there is not enough confidence
for an SPS for the NY Leather Stocking Fire Zone. Also, with
rainfall likely moving into the region tomorrow evening and
tomorrow night, if any fires were to start, it is likely that
the conditions in the evening will quickly suppress any activity.
NYZ210-030800-
Leatherstocking-
330 PM EDT Wed Apr 2 2025
Tonight Thu Thu Night Fri
Cloud Cover Mcldy Mcldy Mcldy Pcldy
Precip Type Tstms Tstms Showers None
Chance Precip (%) 70 90 40 0
Chance of Thunder (%) 20 20 0 0
Temp (24h trend) 35 (+12) 70 (+25) 40 56
RH % (24h trend) 96 (0) 51 (+26) 93 34
Wind 20ft/early(mph) SE 11-15 G29 S 12-16 G31 W 6-10 G19 NW 4-8
Wind 20ft/late(mph) S 12-16 G32 SW 10-14 G24 NW 4-8 NW 6-10
Precip Amount 0.08 0.10 0.02 0.00
Precip Duration 5 5 2
Precip Begin 6 PM Continuing Continuing
Precip End Continuing Continuing 6 AM
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl) 3090 3290
Transport Wnd (mph) SW 30 NW 16
Vent Rate (kt-ft) 140250 75180
DSI 1 1 3 1
Sunshine Hours 3 5
ADI early 50 Gen Good 49 Gen Good 38 Fair 57 Gen Good
ADI late 23 Fair 69 Good 14 Gen Poor 60 Gen Good
Max LVORI early 3 4 3 4
Max LVORI late 4 4 4 1
Remarks: ADI is Atmospheric Dispersion Index by Lavdas.
LVORI is Low Visibility Occurrence Risk Index.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SATURDAY...Rain. Lows in the upper 30s. Highs in the lower 50s.
Chance of rain near 100 percent. East winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Rain. Lows in the lower 40s. Highs in the lower 50s.
Chance of rain near 100 percent. South winds around 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly cloudy. Rain showers likely and a chance of snow
showers. Lows in the mid 30s. Highs in the mid 40s. Chance of
precipitation 70 percent. West winds 5 to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly cloudy. A 40 percent chance of snow and rain
showers. Lows in the upper 20s. Highs in the upper 30s. West
winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Partly cloudy. A slight chance of snow showers. Lows
in the lower 20s. Highs in the lower 40s. West winds around
10 mph.
$$
PAZ038-039-043-030800-
Bradford-Susquehanna-Wyoming-
Including the cities of Sayre, Towanda, Hallstead, Montrose,
and Tunkhannock
330 PM EDT Wed Apr 2 2025
Tonight Thu Thu Night Fri
Cloud Cover Mcldy Mcldy Mcldy Mcldy
Precip Type Showers Tstms Tstms Showers
Chance Precip (%) 50 80 70 70
Chance of Thunder (%) 0 20 20 0
Temp (24h trend) 38 (+15) 71 (+23) 43 59
RH % (24h trend) 100 (+12) 61 (+35) 96 40
Wind 20ft/early(mph) S 12-16 G32 S 10-14 G28 W 4-8 G19 Lgt/Var
Wind 20ft/late(mph) S 12-16 G31 SW 9-13 G26 Lgt/Var N 3-7
Precip Amount 0.02 0.06 0.16 0.06
Precip Duration 1 5 8 2
Precip Begin 6 PM Continuing Continuing Continuing
Precip End Continuing Continuing Continuing 2 PM
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl) 3260 3290
Transport Wnd (mph) SW 28 N 12
Vent Rate (kt-ft) 106850 40170
DSI 1 1 2 1
Sunshine Hours 2 3
ADI early 54 Gen Good 47 Gen Good 38 Fair 38 Fair
ADI late 23 Fair 64 Good 9 Poor 45 Gen Good
Max LVORI early 3 5 4 4
Max LVORI late 5 4 5 2
Remarks: ADI is Atmospheric Dispersion Index by Lavdas.
LVORI is Low Visibility Occurrence Risk Index.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SATURDAY...Rain. Lows in the lower 40s. Highs in the mid 50s.
Chance of rain near 100 percent. Southeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Rain and a slight chance of thunderstorms. Lows in the
mid 40s. Highs in the mid 50s. Chance of precipitation near
100 percent. South winds around 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly cloudy. Rain showers likely and a slight chance
of snow showers. Lows in the mid 30s. Highs in the upper 40s.
Chance of precipitation 70 percent. Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly cloudy. A 30 percent chance of snow and rain
showers. Lows in the upper 20s. Highs in the lower 40s. West
winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Partly cloudy. A slight chance of snow showers. Lows
in the lower 20s. Highs in the mid 40s. Northwest winds around
10 mph.
$$
PAZ044-047-030800-
Lackawanna-Luzerne-
Including the cities of Scranton, Hazleton, and Wilkes-Barre
330 PM EDT Wed Apr 2 2025
Tonight Thu Thu Night Fri
Cloud Cover Mcldy Mcldy Mcldy Mcldy
Precip Type Showers Tstms Tstms Showers
Chance Precip (%) 50 80 80 80
Chance of Thunder (%) 0 20 20 0
Temp (24h trend) 37 (+11) 72 (+23) 46 60
RH % (24h trend) 100 (+16) 63 (+38) 96 39
Wind 20ft/early(mph) S 11-15 G27 S 9-13 G24 W 5-9 G19 Lgt/Var
Wind 20ft/late(mph) S 9-13 G25 SW 9-13 G24 Lgt/Var NW 3-7
Precip Amount 0.02 0.09 0.20 0.10
Precip Duration 1 6 9 3
Precip Begin 6 PM Continuing Continuing Continuing
Precip End Continuing Continuing Continuing 2 PM
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl) 2820 3100
Transport Wnd (mph) SW 25 N 12
Vent Rate (kt-ft) 75300 40430
DSI 1 1 2 1
Sunshine Hours 2 3
ADI early 51 Gen Good 32 Fair 35 Fair 32 Fair
ADI late 21 Fair 54 Gen Good 9 Poor 38 Fair
Max LVORI early 3 5 4 5
Max LVORI late 5 4 5 2
Remarks: ADI is Atmospheric Dispersion Index by Lavdas.
LVORI is Low Visibility Occurrence Risk Index.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SATURDAY...Rain. Lows in the mid 40s. Highs in the mid 50s.
Chance of rain 90 percent. East winds up to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly cloudy with rain likely. Lows in the mid 40s.
Highs in the lower 60s. Chance of rain 70 percent. South winds
around 5 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly cloudy. Rain showers likely. Cooler. Lows in the
upper 30s. Highs in the lower 50s. Chance of showers 70 percent.
Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Partly cloudy. A slight chance of rain and snow
showers. Lows around 30. Highs in the lower 40s. Northwest winds
5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 20s. Highs in the mid
40s. Northwest winds around 10 mph.
$$
PAZ040-048-072-030800-
Northern Wayne-Pike-Southern Wayne-
Including the cities of Damascus, Equinunk, Milford,
and Honesdale
330 PM EDT Wed Apr 2 2025
Tonight Thu Thu Night Fri
Cloud Cover Mcldy Mcldy Mcldy Mcldy
Precip Type Showers Tstms Tstms Showers
Chance Precip (%) 50 80 70 70
Chance of Thunder (%) 0 20 20 0
Temp (24h trend) 35 (+10) 69 (+23) 44 60
RH % (24h trend) 100 (+16) 71 (+41) 93 40
Wind 20ft/early(mph) SE 8-12 G23 S 7-11 G23 W 4-8 G19 NW 3-7
Wind 20ft/late(mph) S 7-11 G22 SW 7-11 G23 NW 3-7 NW 4-8
Precip Amount 0.03 0.06 0.14 0.08
Precip Duration 2 5 5 3
Precip Begin 6 PM Continuing Continuing Continuing
Precip End Continuing Continuing Continuing 2 PM
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl) 2790 3170
Transport Wnd (mph) SW 26 NW 15
Vent Rate (kt-ft) 78740 50680
DSI 1 1 2 1
Sunshine Hours 2 3
ADI early 49 Gen Good 36 Fair 32 Fair 50 Gen Good
ADI late 20 Gen Poor 59 Gen Good 12 Poor 52 Gen Good
Max LVORI early 4 5 5 4
Max LVORI late 5 4 5 1
Remarks: ADI is Atmospheric Dispersion Index by Lavdas.
LVORI is Low Visibility Occurrence Risk Index.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SATURDAY...Rain. Lows in the lower 40s. Highs around 50. Chance
of rain near 100 percent. East winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly cloudy with rain likely. Warmer. Lows in the
lower 40s. Highs in the lower 60s. Chance of rain 70 percent.
South winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly cloudy. Rain showers likely. Cooler. Lows in the
mid 30s. Highs around 50. Chance of showers 70 percent. Northwest
winds 5 to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly cloudy. A slight chance of rain and snow
showers. Lows around 30. Highs in the lower 40s. West winds 5 to
10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 20s. Highs in the
mid 40s. Northwest winds around 10 mph.
$$