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FNUS71 KBGM 201012
FWSBGM

Spot Forecast for Steuben HAZMAT...Steuben County
National Weather Service Binghamton NY
612 AM EDT Thu Jun 20 2024

Forecast is based on forecast start time of 0700 EDT on June 20.
If conditions become unrepresentative...contact the National Weather
Service.

...HEAT ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM EDT FRIDAY...

.DISCUSSION...

Nearly calm winds presently, but a weakening outflow boundary may
bring brief NW winds of 5-10 mph, gusts to 15 mph, between 7 AM
and 9 AM. Otherwise, light west to SW winds will prevail later this
morning and through the day. Thunderstorms are likely to develop
this afternoon and evening along a stalled boundary, with localized
torrential downpours possible, along with localized and erratic
gusty winds (not reflected in the table below). The odd pop-up storm
is possible any time today, but best timing for stronger storms
looks to be between 3 PM and 7 PM.

Light and variable winds will prevail again overnight, with some
fog possible in the valleys.


.TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Partly sunny (65-75 percent) then becoming
                    cloudy (85-95 percent). Chance of showers and
                    slight chance of thunderstorms in the morning,
                    then showers with thunderstorms likely in the
                    afternoon.
Chance of pcpn......80 percent.
Chance of rain......80 percent.
Chance of thunder...60 percent.
Begin/end of pcpn...
Max temperature.....Around 93.
Min humidity........51 percent.
Surface winds (mph).Light winds becoming west around 5 mph late in
                    the afternoon, then becoming light late in the
                    afternoon.
Mixing height.......5000 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....West 3 to 8 mph shifting to the northwest
                    around 6 mph late in the afternoon.
LVORI...............4.
ADI.................4 to 36.

TIME (EDT)      7 AM   9 AM   11 AM  1 PM   3 PM   5 PM
Sky (%).........66     60     55     67     78     88
Weather cov.....S CHC  S CHC  CHANCE CHANCE LIKELY DEFNTE
Weather type....RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR
Tstm cov........S CHC         S CHC  CHANCE CHANCE LIKELY
Chc of pcpn (%).20     20     30     50     70     80
Chc of rain (%).20     20     30     50     70     80
Chc of thdr (%).20     20     20     40     50     60
Temp............71     82     88     92     91     88
RH..............93     69     61     54     54     57
Surface wind....NW 7   W 5    W 3    SW 5   SW 5   W 3
Surface wnd gst.15     3      6      7      7      6
Mix hgt (ft)....800    2200   3900   5000   4400   2500
Transport wind..W 7    W 6    W 3    SW 5   W 6    N 6
LVORI...........5      3      2      1      1      2
ADI.............5      13     17     32     33     19

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (70-80 percent). Showers and
                    thunderstorms likely early in the evening, then
                    chance of showers and thunderstorms early in
                    the evening. Slight chance of showers and
                    thunderstorms overnight.
Chance of pcpn......70 percent.
Chance of rain......70 percent.
Chance of thunder...60 percent.
Begin/end of pcpn...
Min temperature.....Around 66.
Max humidity........100 percent.
Surface winds (mph).Light winds.
Mixing height.......700 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Northwest 5 to 6 mph shifting to the west 3 to
                    5 mph early in the evening.
LVORI...............6.
ADI.................1 to 12.

TIME (EDT)      6 PM   8 PM   10 PM  MIDNGT 2 AM   4 AM
Sky (%).........86     82     67     63     70     70
Weather cov.....LIKELY CHANCE CHANCE S CHC  S CHC
Weather type....RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR NONE
Tstm cov........LIKELY CHANCE CHANCE S CHC  S CHC
Chc of pcpn (%).70     50     30     20     20     10
Chc of rain (%).70     50     30     20     20     10
Chc of thdr (%).60     50     40     20     20     10
Temp............87     82     75     71     68     67
RH..............59     69     87     100    100    100
Surface wind....W 2    NW 1   N 0    N 0    S 1    W 1
Surface wnd gst.5      2                    2      2
Mix hgt (ft)....1800   900    800    800    800    800
Transport wind..NW 6   W 5    W 5    W 5    W 5    W 3
LVORI...........2      3      6      10     10     10
ADI.............12     2      1      2      2      2

.FRIDAY...

Sky/weather.........Partly sunny (55-65 percent). Chance of showers
                    and thunderstorms in the morning, then showers
                    and thunderstorms likely in the afternoon.
Chance of pcpn......70 percent.
Chance of rain......70 percent.
Chance of thunder...60 percent.
Begin/end of pcpn...
Max temperature.....Around 90.
Min humidity........58 percent.
Surface winds (mph).Light winds becoming north 5 to 6 mph in the
                    afternoon.
Mixing height.......3700 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....West 3 to 6 mph shifting to the northwest 7 to
                    8 mph in the afternoon.
LVORI...............5.
ADI.................2 to 36.

TIME (EDT)      6 AM      9 AM      NOON      3 PM
Sky (%).........71        64        49        55
Weather cov.....          CHANCE    CHANCE    LIKELY
Weather type....NONE      RNSHWR    RNSHWR    RNSHWR
Tstm cov........                    CHANCE    LIKELY
Chc of pcpn (%).10        30        50        60
Chc of rain (%).10        30        50        60
Chc of thdr (%).0         0         30        60
Temp............66        78        89        89
RH..............100       82        59        59
Surface wind....W 1       S 1G2     NW 3G6    NW 6G9
Mix hgt (ft)....800       1900      3700      3400
Transport wind..W 3       SW 3      W 6       NW 8
LVORI...........9         4         2         1
ADI.............2         9         27        35

$$
Forecaster...Hardiman
Requested by...Tim Marshall
Type of request...HAZMAT
.TAG 2416426.0/BGM
.DELDT 06/20/24
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL tmarshall@steubencountyny.gov