007
FXUS63 KBIS 220537
AFDBIS

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Bismarck ND
1237 AM CDT Sat Aug 22 2026

.KEY MESSAGES...

- Near average temperatures are favored to continue through next
  week, with Monday being a slightly warmer day.

- Medium chances (30 to 60 percent) for showers and
  thunderstorms late Saturday night through Monday.

&&

.UPDATE...
Issued at 1236 AM CDT Sat Aug 22 2026

With high pressure settling over the region under a mostly
clear sky, the overnight low temperature forecast was lowered
by a few degrees. Otherwise, the forecast remains in good shape.

UPDATE
Issued at 923 PM CDT Fri Aug 21 2026

A quiet night continues with no updates needed at this time.

UPDATE Issued at 621 PM CDT Fri Aug 21 2026

Showers and thundershowers have exited the forecast area.
Therefore, removed any remaining PoPs early this evening.
Otherwise, the forecast remains on track.

&&

.DISCUSSION...
Issued at 345 PM CDT Fri Aug 21 2026

Currently, northwest flow aloft with an elongated upper level
ridge stretched from the Southern Rockies into the Pacific
Northwest. Embedded wave and subtle frontal boundary
contributing to an area of showers/isolated thunderstorms moving
south-southeast across the area this afternoon. This activity
will move out of the general area over the next few hours, with
a quiet night expected with sfc high pressure building in.

Surface high pressure building into the Northern Plains will
result in quiet weather to start the weekend. As the sfc high
develops east across the region, increasing southerly return
flow will see increasing chances for showers and thunderstorms
along with temperature trending warmer Sunday into Monday.

The remainder of the week will see a Rockies upper level ridge
rebuilding and periodically breaking down, resulting in seasonal
temperatures though periods of enhanced precipitation chances.

&&

.AVIATION /06Z TAFS THROUGH 06Z SUNDAY/...
Issued at 1236 AM CDT Sat Aug 22 2026

VFR conditions are expected through the forecast period. Winds
will remain light and variable in central North Dakota while
becoming southeast around 10 kts in western North Dakota on
Saturday.

&&

.BIS WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
None.

&&

$$

UPDATE...Hollan
DISCUSSION...NH
AVIATION...Hollan