Flood Potential Outlook
Issued by NWS Bismarck, ND
Issued by NWS Bismarck, ND
308 FGUS73 KBIS 082042 ESFBIS NDC015-059-090445- Hydrologic Outlook National Weather Service Bismarck ND 242 PM CST Mon Dec 8 2025 ...MISSOURI RIVER BEGINS FORMING ICE IN THE BISMARCK AND MANDAN AREA... Ice formation has picked up on the Missouri River below Garrison Dam with ice observed moving through the Bismarck and Mandan area. While it is unlikely that the Missouri River will become ice covered in the next few days as temperatures will not favor ice formation on Tuesday and Wednesday, favorable conditions for ice formation will revisit the area beginning Thursday and into the weekend. At some point ice will begin to once again accumulate in the Missouri River south of the Bismarck and Mandan area and eventually up through the metro area itself. As a reminder to those who live along the river, when this happens the Missouri River will rise, often erratically, and rapidly due to the constriction the ice creates in the river. Since 2010, these normal rises in the river have ranged from a low of 4.9 feet to as much as 6.9 feet, often in well under 24 hours. The USGS river gage in Bismarck has been around a stage of 4.1 feet the past several days, this would suggest the reasonable range for the Missouri River once ice does accumulate will be between 9.0 and 11.0 feet, but with ice constricting the normal flow in the river, there is always the potential for a larger rise than normal. Minor Flood Stage for the Missouri River in Bismarck is 14.5 feet. Residents along the river are advised to be prepared for rapidly rising water and should ensure their personal property, such as boat docks, etc are safely above the reasonably expected water levels. Lastly, when the eventual freezing of the river does take place, any problematic high water should be reported to your local emergency management office. $$ Schlag