Flood Potential Outlook
Issued by NWS Bismarck, ND
Issued by NWS Bismarck, ND
527 FGUS73 KBIS 111812 ESFBIS NDC015-059-120215- Hydrologic Outlook National Weather Service Bismarck ND 1212 PM CST Thu Dec 11 2025 ...MISSOURI RIVER BELOW GARRISON DAM ICE UPDATE... The Missouri River below Garrison Dam remains largely ice free all the way down past the Hazelton boat ramp. While colder weather over upcoming weekend is likely to cause the formation of small, mobile sheets of ice on the Missouri River, this will likely be short-lived and not lead to an ice covered river in the Bismarck and Mandan area. Daily high temperatures in the high 20s and 40s revisit the area around the middle of next week. This will again cease ice production until perhaps sometime around Christmas. While this is shaping up to be a somewhat later than normal freezing in of the Missouri River, since 2010...there have been years where the Missouri River in and around the Bismarck area did not become ice covered until late February. Nonetheless, the normal rise in the river as it develops its ice cover have ranged from a low of 4.9 feet to as much as 6.9 feet, often in well under 24 hours. The USGS river gage in Bismarck has been around a stage of 4.1 feet the past several days, this would suggest the reasonable range for the Missouri River once ice does accumulate will be between 9.0 and 11.0 feet, but with ice constricting the normal flow in the river, there is always the potential for a larger rise than normal. Minor Flood Stage for the Missouri River in Bismarck is 14.5 feet. Residents along the river are advised to be prepared for rapidly rising water and should ensure their personal property, such as boat docks, etc are safely above the reasonably expected water levels. Lastly, when the eventual freezing of the river does take place, any problematic high water should be reported to your local emergency management office. $$ Schlag