Spot Forecast
Issued by NWS Bismarck, ND

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Spot Forecast for Upper Souris Wildlife Refuge Fire...ND Watch Center
National Weather Service Bismarck ND
409 PM CDT Mon Jul 27 2026

Forecast is based on forecast start time of 1600 CDT on July 27.
If conditions become unrepresentative, contact the National Weather
Service.

.DISCUSSION...

This evening there are chances for showers and
thunderstorms between 430pm and 700pm, the highest chance will
be between 430pm and 6pm, but low chances for a wetting rain.
With these showers erratic and gusty winds are possible.
Otherwise winds should generally be northerly at 10mph. Relative
humidity should climb from 39 percent this evening to 75 percent
overnight. Temperatures will peak at 90 early this evening, before cooling
to 65 overnight.

.REST OF TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Partly sunny. Patchy smoke. Slight chance of
                    showers and thunderstorms.
CWR.................5 percent.
Chance of pcpn......30 percent.
Chance of thunder...18 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 91.
Min humidity........39 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........North winds around 10 mph. Gusty and erratic
                    winds expected near thunderstorms.
Mixing height.......4600 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....North 9 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor (26600 knot-ft).

TIME (CDT)      4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........63  75
Weather cov.....SCH SCH
Weather type....RW  RW
Tstm cov........SCH SCH
CWR.............10  10
Chc of pcpn (%).20  30
Chc of thdr (%).20  20
Temp............88  88
RH..............39  39
20 FT wind dir..N   NE
20 FT wind spd..8   8
20 FT wind gust.11  10
Mix hgt (kft)...4.6 3.8
Transp wind dir.N   N
Transp wind spd.9   8
Dispr kt-ft/1K..37  27

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy then becoming partly cloudy.
                    Slight chance of showers and thunderstorms
                    early in the evening. Patchy smoke through the
                    night.
CWR.................5 percent.
Chance of pcpn......20 percent.
Chance of thunder...19 percent.
Min temperature.....Around 63.
Max humidity........84 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Northeast winds 5 to 7 mph shifting to the south
                    overnight becoming light. Gusty and erratic
                    winds expected near thunderstorms early in the
                    evening.
Mixing height.......400 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Northeast 6 to 7 mph shifting to the south 9 to
                    10 mph overnight.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor (3200 knot-ft).

TIME (CDT)      6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
Sky (%).........52  57  32  40  44  41  41  35  41  33  37  30
Weather cov.....SCH PTY PTY PTY PTY PTY PTY PTY PTY PTY PTY PTY
Weather type....RW  SMK SMK SMK SMK SMK SMK SMK SMK SMK SMK SMK
Tstm cov........SCH
CWR.............10  0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
Chc of pcpn (%).20  10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10  0   0
Chc of thdr (%).20  0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
Temp............88  87  84  80  75  73  71  69  68  67  66  65
RH..............39  39  40  49  60  64  68  73  73  75  78  81
20 FT wind dir..N   NE  E   E   E   SE  S   S   S   S   S   S
20 FT wind spd..7   5   3   4   5   5   5   5   5   4   4   4
20 FT wind gust.10  7       5   6   6               5   5
Mix hgt (kft)...3.6 3.0 0.7 0.5 0.5 0.4 0.5 0.5 0.4 0.5 0.5 0.4
Transp wind dir.N   N   NE  E   E   E   SE  SE  S   S   S   S
Transp wind spd.6   7   7   8   8   9   9   10  9   9   9   10
Dispr kt-ft/1K..18  18  4   3   3   4   4   4   4   4   4   4

$$
Forecaster...SMITH
Requested by...kristina Thomas
Type of request...WILDFIRE
.TAG 2618442.0/BIS
.DELDT 07/27/26
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL watchcenter@nd.gov