Spot Forecast
Issued by NWS Bismarck, ND

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FNUS73 KBIS 062314
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Spot Forecast for Blue Barn...McKenzie County rural fire prot dist
National Weather Service Bismarck ND
614 PM CDT Mon Oct 6 2025

Forecast is based on forecast start time of 1800 CDT on October 06.
If conditions become unrepresentative, contact the National Weather
Service.

.DISCUSSION...

Westerly winds around 10 to 14 mph with gusts to 20 will diminish
this evening with the loss of daytime heating, becoming light and
variable late. On Tuesday, skies are expected to be mainly clear as
temperatures climb to around 65 degrees, while humidity values
drop into the 30s by mid-afternoon. Winds will be light and
southeasterly in the morning, becoming southerly and increasing to
around 7 to 11 mph in the afternoon. For Tuesday night, winds may
actually increase during the night a bit as a low level jet develops
over the region.

.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy.
CWR.................0 percent.
Chance of pcpn......0 percent.
Chance of thunder...0 percent.
Min temperature.....Around 32.
Max humidity........85 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........West winds 10 to 14 mph gusting to 20 mph
                    in the early evening becoming 4 to 7 mph
                    later in the evening. After midnight winds
                    become light and variable.
Mixing height.......800 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....West 14 to 22 mph decreasing to 7 to 12 mph
                    by mid evening. Becoming light overnight.
Smoke dispersal.....Good (87300 knot-ft) early in the evening
                    decreasing to poor (3800 knot-ft) late in the
                    night.

TIME (CDT)      6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
Sky (%).........26  26  26  32  44  34  30  22  16  17  25  29
CWR.............0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
Chc of pcpn (%).0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
Chc of thdr (%).0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
Temp............58  54  50  47  45  43  42  41  40  39  38  37
RH..............39  45  51  58  63  65  65  70  70  73  76  79
20 FT wind dir..W   W   W   W   W   W   SW  W   SW  SW  SW  SW
20 FT wind spd..14  10  7   5   5   4   3   2   2   2   2   1
20 FT wind gust.20  15  13  11  9   7   6   5   4   3   3   3
Mix hgt (kft)...4.6 1.4 0.8 0.8 0.8 0.8 0.8 0.8 0.8 0.8 0.8 0.8
Transp wind dir.W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W
Transp wind spd.22  14  10  10  12  10  12  12  9   8   7   6


.TUESDAY...
Sky/weather.........Sunny.
CWR.................0 percent.
Chance of pcpn......0 percent.
Chance of thunder...0 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 65.
Min humidity........34 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds becoming southeast 5 to 8 mph late
                    in the morning, then shifting to the south 7 to
                    9 mph during the afternoon.
Mixing height.......5600 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southeast 6 to 9 mph shifting to the south 9 to
                    10 mph in the afternoon.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor (3800 knot-ft) early in the morning
                    increasing to fair (50500 knot-ft) in the
                    afternoon.

TIME (CDT)      6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........26  26  13  1   0   0   1   0   1   1   0   1
CWR.............0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
Chc of pcpn (%).0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
Chc of thdr (%).0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
Temp............36  35  35  38  44  50  54  58  61  63  64  65
RH..............82  82  85  82  70  58  52  45  39  36  35  34
20 FT wind dir..SE  SE  SE  E   SE  SE  SE  S   S   S   S   S
20 FT wind spd..2   2   2   2   4   5   7   8   8   9   8   7
20 FT wind gust.3   3   4   5   7   10  11  14  14  14  14  13
Mix hgt (kft)...0.8 0.8 0.7 0.7 1.1 1.5 2.2 2.8 3.8 4.7 5.6 4.0
Transp wind dir.E   SE  E   SE  SE  SE  S   S   S   S   S   S
Transp wind spd.6   6   7   9   7   8   9   9   9   10  10  10

.TUESDAY NIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Mostly clear.
Min temperature.....Around 42.
Max humidity........86 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........South winds 8 to 13 mph. Gusts up to 20 mph
                    overnight.
Mixing height.......700 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....South 13 to 21 mph.


$$
Forecaster...SCHILD
Requested by...oscar knudtson
Type of request...WILDFIRE
.TAG 2523061.0/BIS
.DELDT 10/06/25
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL wcfire@restel.com, jeffrey.schild@noaa.gov