Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Birmingham, AL

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592
FXUS64 KBMX 102310
AFDBMX

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Birmingham AL
610 PM CDT Fri Oct 10 2025

...New AVIATION...

.SHORT TERM...
(This evening through Saturday)
Issued at 1232 PM CDT FRI OCT 10 2025

GOES TPW imagery this afternoon reveals a swath of much drier air
spreading across the region. As a result, a pleasant afternoon is
underway with temps currently in the mid to upper 70s. Highs today
will only warm up a few more degrees with those in our SW areas
seeing the low 80s today. Another cool night is in store with lows
dropping into the low to mid 50s. A ridge to our west will begin to
shift our way over the next couple days so we can expect a dry
forecast to continue due to little moisture and increased
subsidence.

95/Castillo

&&

.LONG TERM...
(Saturday night through next Thursday)
Issued at 1232 PM CDT FRI OCT 10 2025

Upper level ridging builds in over the weekend as an upper trough is
pushed towards the east coast. This will promote continued warm and
dry conditions through much of the long term forecast. Temperatures
will quickly warm back up with highs rebounding back into the mid
80s by mid week.

95/Castillo

&&

.AVIATION...
(00Z TAFS)
Issued at 607 PM CDT FRI OCT 10 2025

VFR conditions to persist. Winds will likely pick back up at AUO
and MGM during the late morning hours Saturday.

16

&&

.FIRE WEATHER...

Warm and dry conditions are expected to continue over the next week.
MinRHs will likely fall into the 30-40% range each afternoon.
However, winds will remain on the lighter side. There are no
immediate fire weather concerns over the weekend as our
Significant Fire Potential remains low. That risk does increase to
moderate early next week so we will need to monitor the trends.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Gadsden     51  79  49  80 /   0   0   0   0
Anniston    52  78  51  80 /   0   0   0   0
Birmingham  54  79  53  81 /   0   0   0   0
Tuscaloosa  54  82  53  84 /   0   0   0   0
Calera      53  82  52  83 /   0   0   0   0
Auburn      57  79  55  80 /  10   0   0   0
Montgomery  57  81  53  82 /   0   0   0   0
Troy        56  79  52  80 /  10   0   0   0

&&

.BMX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
None.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...95
LONG TERM....95
AVIATION...16