Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Birmingham, AL

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434
FXUS64 KBMX 270501
AFDBMX

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Birmingham AL
1101 PM CST Wed Nov 26 2025

...New DISCUSSION, AVIATION...

.KEY MESSAGES...
Updated at 1101 PM CST WED NOV 26 2025

 - Clear and colder conditions expected on Thanksgiving Day.

 - A rainy pattern should take hold for Saturday night through
   Tuesday.

&&

.DISCUSSION...
(Overnight through next Wednesday)
Issued at 1101 PM CST WED NOV 26 2025

Cold advection and dry conditions will continue through Friday
with morning lows ranging from the mid 20s to lower 30s. An
extended period of enhanced rain chances should begin Saturday
night and continue through Tuesday as west-southwesterly flow
becomes established at 500 mb across the southern CONUS. A frontal
passage will bring a return to cool and dry conditions for
Wednesday.

87/Grantham

&&

.AVIATION...
(06Z TAFS)
Issued at 1101 PM CST WED NOV 26 2025

VFR conditions will prevail through the TAF period with north to
northwest winds of 5 to 10 knots and gusts up to 15 knots.

87/Grantham

&&

.FIRE WEATHER...

A very dry airmass will overspread the region on Thursday with
afternoon RH values falling to 25-30 percent. Wind speeds should
fall just short of Reg Flag criteria. Lighter winds are expected
for Friday and Saturday, and RH values may drop as low as 20
percent in the afternoon in our southeastern counties.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Gadsden     31  51  25  49 /   0   0   0   0
Anniston    32  51  26  49 /   0   0   0   0
Birmingham  33  52  28  50 /   0   0   0   0
Tuscaloosa  34  55  29  53 /   0   0   0   0
Calera      32  54  28  52 /   0   0   0   0
Auburn      36  53  31  51 /   0   0   0   0
Montgomery  35  56  30  54 /   0   0   0   0
Troy        35  57  31  54 /   0   0   0   0

&&

.BMX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
None.
&&

$$

DISCUSSION...87/Grantham
AVIATION...87/Grantham