Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Birmingham, AL
Issued by NWS Birmingham, AL
108 FXUS64 KBMX 111104 AFDBMX Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Birmingham AL 604 AM CDT Sat Oct 11 2025 ...New AVIATION... .SHORT TERM... (Tonight through Sunday) Issued at 1157 PM CDT FRI OCT 10 2025 Over the weekend, our forecast area will remain on the dry, western side of a coastal low pressure system centered just off the South Carolina coast. Tranquil weather conditions are expected with persistent north to northeasterly flow. 87/Grantham && .LONG TERM... (Sunday night through next Friday) Issued at 1157 PM CDT FRI OCT 10 2025 As the trough over the eastern CONUS gradually moves eastward during the upcoming work week, a very prominent 500 mb ridge is expected to develop across the southern CONUS. A warming trend will accompany the expanding ridge, and afternoon temperatures by midweek may be just a few degrees shy of record values. There is no relief in sight from the worsening drought conditions. 87/Grantham && .AVIATION... (12Z TAFS) Issued at 604 AM CDT SAT OCT 11 2025 VFR Conditions are anticipated for the entire TAF period. /44/ && .FIRE WEATHER... Warm and dry conditions are expected to continue over the next week. MinRHs will likely fall into the 30-40 percent range each afternoon. 20 foot winds may approach 10 mph this afternoon, but RH values should remain just shy of Red Flag criteria. Winds should become lighter for Sunday and Monday. Outdoor burning remains highly discouraged due to ongoing drought conditions. && .PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS... Gadsden 78 48 79 49 / 0 0 0 0 Anniston 78 50 79 52 / 0 0 0 0 Birmingham 79 53 80 54 / 0 0 0 0 Tuscaloosa 82 52 83 52 / 0 0 0 0 Calera 80 52 81 53 / 0 0 0 0 Auburn 78 55 80 56 / 0 0 0 0 Montgomery 82 53 83 53 / 0 0 0 0 Troy 80 51 81 52 / 0 0 0 0 && .BMX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... None. && $$ SHORT TERM...87 LONG TERM....87 AVIATION.../44/