906
FXUS64 KBMX 111841
AFDBMX

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Birmingham AL
1241 PM CST Tue Nov 11 2025

...New DISCUSSION...

.KEY MESSAGES...
Updated at 1241 PM CST TUE NOV 11 2025

- Due to the widespread freeze this morning across ALL of Central
  Alabama, Freeze Watches/Warnings and Frost Advisories have
  ended, and will resume on March 15th, 2026 for the Spring
  growing season.

- Dry conditions will persist through late week with gradual
  moderating temperatures.

&&

.DISCUSSION...
(This evening through next Monday)
Issued at 1241 PM CST TUE NOV 11 2025

The forecast for the next seven days is fairly tranquil with a
slow moderating temperatures updward through the rest of the week
and into the weekend. A front tries to work through on Sunday, but
there just is never a rebound of moisture ahead of the front as
ridging remains in place over the Southeast until then. An
effective warm front will lift through our area on Monday with the
next frontal boundary sliding into the region next Tuesday. There
is quite a bit of differences with the models after Saturday, but
they are trending drier for Sunday, so PoPs are limited to the
northwest for Sunday and Monday. If these trends continue would
expect most of the area to be dry on Sunday and Monday with
showers and storms increasing in chances next Tuesday/Wednesday
timeframe.

16

&&

.AVIATION...
(18Z TAFS)
Issued at 1104 AM CST TUE NOV 11 2025

VFR conditions expected. Winds will be around 6 to 8 kts through
00z, then drop to less than 5 kts. Winds increase again to 7 kts
after 15z Wednesday.

16

&&

.FIRE WEATHER...

Drought conditions will persist across much of the area this week
as dry weather continues. Surface high pressure builds over the
area, resulting in lighter winds. RH values will drop into the
20 to 26 range this afternoon. There is a low probability of rain
chances Sunday and Monday, mainly across the north, but models are
trending drier with this, so no appreciable rain is expected until
early next week.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Gadsden     31  65  37  69 /   0   0   0   0
Anniston    34  65  40  68 /   0   0   0   0
Birmingham  36  65  44  70 /   0   0   0   0
Tuscaloosa  35  70  46  73 /   0   0   0   0
Calera      33  68  43  73 /   0   0   0   0
Auburn      34  66  45  71 /   0   0   0   0
Montgomery  32  69  46  73 /   0   0   0   0
Troy        32  69  45  73 /   0   0   0   0

&&

.BMX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
None.
&&

$$

DISCUSSION...16
AVIATION...16