401
FXUS64 KBMX 271725
AFDBMX

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Birmingham AL
1125 AM CST Thu Nov 27 2025

...New AVIATION...

.KEY MESSAGES...
Updated at 1122 AM CST THU NOV 27 2025

 - Clear and colder conditions expected on Thanksgiving Day.

 - A rainy pattern should take hold for Saturday night through
   Tuesday.

&&

.DISCUSSION...
(Overnight through next Wednesday)
Issued at 1101 PM CST WED NOV 26 2025

Cold advection and dry conditions will continue through Friday
with morning lows ranging from the mid 20s to lower 30s. An
extended period of enhanced rain chances should begin Saturday
night and continue through Tuesday as west-southwesterly flow
becomes established at 500 mb across the southern CONUS. A frontal
passage will bring a return to cool and dry conditions for
Wednesday.

87/Grantham

&&

.AVIATION...
(18Z TAFS)
Issued at 1122 AM CST THU NOV 27 2025

Essentially just a wind speed/gust forecast for central Alabama
TAF sites over the next 24 hours. Gusty winds this afternoon will
diminish pretty quickly after sunset. Otherwise, all signs point
to clear skies.

/61/

&&

.FIRE WEATHER...

A very dry airmass will overspread the region this afternoon with
RH values falling to 25-30 percent. Wind speeds should fall just
short of Reg Flag criteria. Lighter winds are expected for Friday
and Saturday, and RH values may drop as low as 20 percent in the
afternoon in our southeastern counties.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Gadsden     51  25  49  25 /   0   0   0   0
Anniston    52  26  49  28 /   0   0   0   0
Birmingham  51  28  49  32 /   0   0   0   0
Tuscaloosa  55  29  52  31 /   0   0   0   0 on Thursday
Calera      55  28  53  30 /   0   0   0   0
Auburn      54  31  51  33 /   0   0   0   0
Montgomery  55  29  52  32 /   0   0   0   0
Troy        55  30  52  32 /   0   0   0   0

&&

.BMX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
None.
&&

$$

DISCUSSION...87/Grantham
AVIATION.../61/