Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Birmingham, AL
Issued by NWS Birmingham, AL
099 FXUS64 KBMX 071705 AFDBMX Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Birmingham AL 1205 PM CDT Sun Sep 7 2025 ...New SHORT TERM, LONG TERM, AVIATION... .SHORT TERM... (This afternoon through Monday) Issued at 1159 AM CDT SUN SEP 7 2025 GOES TPW imagery shows a large area of much drier air pushing across the area. PWATs currently range from 0.50" across our northwestern areas to 1.5" over our far southeastern counties. This influx of dry air will keep us dry through the short term (and really over the next week). Winds will pick up a bit through early this afternoon in the wake of the cold front. Gusts will generally be up to 20 MPH with a low chance of gusts over 25 MPH. Temperatures will be rather pleasant over the next couple of days with highs in the low to mid 80s with lows ranging from the mid 50s to the low 60s. 95/Castillo && .LONG TERM... (Monday night through next Saturday) Issued at 1159 AM CDT SUN SEP 7 2025 No changes needed with this long term forecast update. We will see very low rain chances across our southern counties early in the work week as we see a slight uptick in moisture as a weak trough hovers aloft. Upper level ridging is on track to build in by the middle of the work week. 95/Castillo Previous long-term discussion: (Monday night through next Saturday) Issued at 1036 PM CDT SAT SEP 6 2025 Guidance continues to indicate a rain free pattern for the extended. The Gulf Coast front should continue further SWD through the week with E Conus surface ridging expected to continue. In the upper levels, weak troughing will be present across the Deep South, but with only meager moisture available. Any precip will likely remain to the S of C AL. For the second half of the week, upper ridging spreads across the Central US from W TX with weak NRLY flow into AL and dry conditions. High temperatures slowly moderate upward through the extended. While lows should increase some for Monday night, overall lows should remain steady through the rest week and be a little below normal for early/mid Sept. 08 && .AVIATION... (18Z TAFS) Issued at 1159 AM CDT SUN SEP 7 2025 VFR conditions prevail through this TAF cycle. Northerly winds will gust to around 20 knots through the afternoon before becoming light overnight through Monday morning. 95/Castillo && .FIRE WEATHER... Rain free weather is forecast to prevail across Central Alabama for the most part through next week. While drier, post-frontal air will overspread the region, afternoon minimum RHs are currently forecast to average above critical thresholds. However, if dew points trend slightly lower mid to late week, RHs could bottom out just below currently forecast minimums in the lower 30s. 20 foot winds will be northerly around 10 mph on Sunday and then northeast to east between 5-10 mph Monday and Tuesday. && .PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS... Gadsden 81 58 84 60 / 0 0 0 0 Anniston 81 59 82 61 / 0 0 0 0 Birmingham 82 60 84 64 / 0 0 0 0 Tuscaloosa 83 59 86 65 / 0 0 0 0 Calera 83 60 85 64 / 0 0 0 0 Auburn 85 64 82 64 / 0 0 0 0 Montgomery 86 60 87 66 / 0 0 10 0 Troy 86 63 85 65 / 0 0 10 10 && .BMX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... None. && $$ SHORT TERM...95/Castillo LONG TERM....95/Castillo AVIATION...95/Castillo