Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Birmingham, AL
Issued by NWS Birmingham, AL
065 FXUS64 KBMX 130457 AFDBMX Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Birmingham AL 1157 PM CDT Sun Oct 12 2025 ...New SHORT TERM, LONG TERM, AVIATION... .SHORT TERM... (Tonight through Tuesday) Issued at 1157 PM CDT SUN OCT 12 2025 Dry northerly flow will continue as a slow-moving upper-level trough persists to our east, while a ridge expands across the Ark-La-Tex region. Temperatures will continue to trend upward, reaching the low to mid 80s on Monday and perhaps the upper 80s in a few locations on Tuesday. 87/Grantham && .LONG TERM... (Tuesday night through next Sunday) Issued at 1157 PM CDT SUN OCT 12 2025 The synoptic pattern will remain rather stagnant for Wednesday and Thursday, though some modest progression is expected as the ridge to our west shifts eastward. Eventually the ridge should move far enough to the east to support moist southerly flow ahead of an upper-level trough ejecting across the Plains and Mississippi Valley. This scenario would result in organized showers and storms in the warm sector and along a cold front Saturday night into Sunday. 87/Grantham && .AVIATION... (06Z TAFS) Issued at 1157 PM CDT SUN OCT 12 2025 VFR conditions and light northerly winds are expected through the next 24 hours. 87/Grantham && .FIRE WEATHER... Warm and dry conditions are expected to continue through Friday. Minimum RH values of 27-35 percent are expected each afternoon through Thursday before a moistening trend begins on Friday. 20 foot winds should remain below Red Flag criteria. Outdoor burning remains highly discouraged due to ongoing drought conditions. && .PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS... Gadsden 49 81 52 82 / 0 0 0 0 Anniston 51 81 54 82 / 0 0 0 0 Birmingham 53 82 56 84 / 0 0 0 0 Tuscaloosa 53 85 55 86 / 0 0 0 0 Calera 52 84 56 85 / 0 0 0 0 Auburn 54 81 57 83 / 0 0 0 0 Montgomery 52 86 55 87 / 0 0 0 0 Troy 52 84 54 85 / 0 0 0 0 && .BMX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... None. && $$ SHORT TERM...87/Grantham LONG TERM....87/Grantham AVIATION...87/Grantham