298
FNUS74 KBMX 062116
FWSBMX

Spot Forecast for Odum Point...USFS
National Weather Service Birmingham AL
416 PM CDT Mon Oct 6 2025

Forecast is based on forecast start time of 1600 CDT on October 06.
If conditions become unrepresentative...contact the National Weather
Service.

.DISCUSSION...

Variable cloudiness is forecast through tomorrow with a low
(10-20%) chance of a few passing light rain showers. Higher
chances will occur well away from the wildfire location based on
the latest trends and forecast.

RHs will remain above critical thresholds, including during
afternoon mixing/minimums.

East-northeast winds this afternoon will become southeast by
early Tuesday morning. Speeds should average around 5-10 mph with
gusts upwards of 20 mph into tonight, easing to near 5 mph with a
much lower risk of a few gusts on Tuesday.

A low cloud deck, as low as ~700 feet, is forecast to develop
across portions of the Gulf Coast region shortly before sunrise on
Tuesday, lifting by mid morning. At this time, the low cloud deck
is not forecast to develop or reach the wildfire location.

.REST OF TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (65-75 percent).
CWR.................10 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 76.
Min humidity........69 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Southeast winds around 7 mph.
Mixing height.......2800 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....East around 16 mph.
Dispersion index....37.
LVORI...............3.

TIME (CDT)      4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........74  68
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
CWR.............10  10
Temp............75  75
RH..............69  69
20 FT wind dir..SE  E
20 FT wind dir..120 110
20 FT wind spd..7   7
20 FT wind gust.14  14
Mix hgt (kft)...2.8 2.6
Transp wind dir.E   E
Transp wind spd.16  16
Dispersion idx..37  36
LVORI...........3   3

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (70-80 percent). Slight chance of
                    showers overnight.
CWR.................10 percent increasing to 20 percent overnight.
Min temperature.....Around 65.
Max humidity........100 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Southeast winds 7 to 12 mph.
Mixing height.......0 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southeast 13 to 16 mph.
Dispersion index....17 decreasing to 3 in the evening, then
                    increasing to 13 overnight.
LVORI...............6.

TIME (CDT)      6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
Sky (%).........61  66  75  76  77  80  84  86  86  86  86  86
Weather cov.....                            SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH
Weather type....                            RW  RW  RW  RW  RW
Tstm cov........
CWR.............10  10  10  10  10  10  10  20  20  20  20  20
Temp............74  70  69  68  68  68  67  68  67  67  66  66
RH..............71  87  93  97  97  100 100 97  100 100 100 100
20 FT wind dir..E   E   E   E   SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE
20 FT wind dir..110 110 110 110 120 120 120 120 120 130 130 130
20 FT wind spd..7   7   8   9   10  12  12  12  12  10  9   9
20 FT wind gust.14  14  16  16  16  16  16  14  16  16  14  14
Mix hgt (kft)...1.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.5 0.3 0.1 0.1 0.1
Transp wind dir.E   E   E   SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE
Transp wind spd.14  13  13  15  15  15  16  16  15  15  15  13
Dispersion idx..17  0   0   0   0   5   14  14  13  13  13  11
LVORI...........3   8   8   8   8   8   8   5   5   5   5   5

.TUESDAY...

Sky/weather.........Partly sunny (65-75 percent). Slight chance of
                    showers early in the morning. Slight chance of
                    showers in the afternoon.
CWR.................20 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 79.
Min humidity........60 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Southeast winds 5 to 8 mph becoming light.
Mixing height.......3100 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southeast 8 to 14 mph.
Dispersion index....16 increasing to 23 in the afternoon.
LVORI...............4.

TIME (CDT)      6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........85  85  83  84  83  78  70  63  58  54  52  50
Weather cov.....SCH                         SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH
Weather type....RW                          RW  RW  RW  RW  RW
Tstm cov........
CWR.............20  10  10  10  10  10  10  20  20  20  20  20
Temp............66  65  67  68  71  73  76  77  77  79  77  77
RH..............97  100 93  87  79  73  64  62  62  60  64  64
20 FT wind dir..SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  S   SE  S   S
20 FT wind dir..120 130 130 130 140 140 140 150 160 150 160 160
20 FT wind spd..8   8   7   7   7   7   6   5   5   5   5   3
20 FT wind gust.14  13  13  13  13  11  10  10  10  10  8   7
Mix hgt (kft)...0.1 0.2 0.6 0.9 1.3 1.7 2.5 3.0 3.1 2.9 2.6 2.3
Transp wind dir.SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  S   S   S   S   S   S   S
Transp wind spd.13  13  14  14  14  12  12  10  10  9   9   8
Dispersion idx..11  11  12  12  15  20  25  25  25  22  21  24
LVORI...........5   5   5   5   3   3   3   2   2   2   2   2

$$
Forecaster...Satterwhite
Requested by...Troy McFarland
Type of request...WILDFIRE
.TAG 2523057.0/BMX
.DELDT 10/06/25
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0