827
FNUS74 KBMX 052041
FWSBMX

Spot Forecast for Odum Point...USFS
National Weather Service Birmingham AL
341 PM CDT Sun Oct 5 2025

Forecast is based on forecast start time of 1600 CDT on October 05.
If conditions become unrepresentative...contact the National Weather
Service.

.DISCUSSION...

Due to an established pressure gradient across the region,
easterly flow will persist with wind speeds between 5-10 mph and
gusts upwards of 20 mph through Monday. Winds are not forecast to
totally relax tonight due to the pressure gradient.

RHs are forecast to remain well above critical thresholds, even
during afternoon mixing/minimums.

Cloudiness will continue through Monday with a low chance (~20%)
of a passing light rain shower with a comparatively lower chance
(~10%) for a passing thunderstorm.


.REST OF TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (80-90 percent). Slight chance of
                    showers and thunderstorms.
CWR.................20 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 70.
Min humidity........66 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........East winds 8 to 9 mph with gusts to around 18
                    mph. Gusty and erratic winds expected near
                    thunderstorms.
Mixing height.......2400 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....East around 17 mph.
Dispersion index....35.
LVORI...............4.

TIME (CDT)      4 PM
Sky (%).........87
Weather cov.....S CHC
Weather type....RNSHWR
Tstm cov........S CHC
CWR.............20
Temp............69
RH..............81
20 FT wind......E 8
20 FT wind gust.17
20 FT wind dir..100
Mix hgt (ft)....2400
Transport wind..E 17
Dispersion idx..37
LVORI...........4

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Cloudy (85-95 percent). Slight chance of
                    thunderstorms early in the evening. Slight
                    chance of showers in the evening, then slight
                    chance of showers after 3 am.
CWR.................20 percent.
Min temperature.....Around 65.
Max humidity........100 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........East winds 9 to 10 mph with gusts to around 20
                    mph. Gusty and erratic winds expected near
                    thunderstorms early in the evening.
Mixing height.......0 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southeast 15 to 18 mph.
Dispersion index....24 decreasing to 13 early in the evening, then
                    decreasing to 2 early in the evening increasing
                    to 15 overnight.
LVORI...............7.

TIME (CDT)      6 PM   8 PM   10 PM  MIDNGT 2 AM   4 AM
Sky (%).........87     87     87     89     91     92
Weather cov.....S CHC  S CHC  S CHC  S CHC         S CHC
Weather type....RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR NONE   RNSHWR
Tstm cov........S CHC
CWR.............20     20     20     20     10     20
Temp............68     68     67     66     66     66
RH..............84     93     97     100    100    97
20 FT wind......E 10   E 10   E 10   E 9    E 9    E 9
20 FT wind gust.18     20     19     18     18     18
20 FT wind dir..100    100    110    110    110    110
Mix hgt (ft)....1200   200    BLW100 BLW100 100    100
Transport wind..E 17   E 17   SE 17  SE 17  SE 18  E 16
Dispersion idx..24     3      0      15     16     14
LVORI...........4      6      9      9      5      5

.MONDAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (70-80 percent). Slight chance of
                    showers early in the morning. Slight chance of
                    showers early in the afternoon.
CWR.................20 percent decreasing to 10 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 75.
Min humidity........66 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........East winds 7 to 9 mph. Gusts up to 22 mph in
                    the morning then 20 mph early in the afternoon.
Mixing height.......2200 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....East 14 to 17 mph.
Dispersion index....14 increasing to 28 late in the morning.
LVORI...............4.

TIME (CDT)      6 AM   8 AM   10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM
Sky (%).........91     92     93     81     69     64
Weather cov.....S CHC  S CHC                S CHC
Weather type....RNSHWR RNSHWR NONE   NONE   RNSHWR NONE
Tstm cov........
CWR.............20     20     10     10     20     10
Temp............65     67     69     73     75     75
RH..............97     90     81     68     66     66
20 FT wind......E 9    E 9    E 9    E 8    E 8    E 8
20 FT wind gust.18     18     18     16     16     14
20 FT wind dir..110    110    110    110    110    110
Mix hgt (ft)....BLW100 400    1000   1700   2000   1700
Transport wind..E 15   E 17   E 16   E 17   E 16   E 14
Dispersion idx..13     15     14     30     31     24
LVORI...........5      5      3      3      3      3

$$
Forecaster...Satterwhite
Requested by...Ashley Sawtelle
Type of request...WILDFIRE
.TAG 2522998.0/BMX
.DELDT 10/05/25
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0